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Piast Gliwice vs Raków Częstochowa: Tactical Battle Ahead in Ekstraklasa
A closely contested Ekstraklasa fixture sees Piast Gliwice host Raków Częstochowa. While both sides boast similar overall season statistics, recent form and home/away splits suggest a tactical battle where fine margins could decide the outcome.
This encounter promises a tactical tussle, likely centered around midfield control. Piast Gliwice, with their higher average possession, will aim to set the rhythm of the game and build attacks methodically, potentially using wide overloads given their corner kick numbers. Raków, while also possessing good ball retention, has shown a greater propensity for directness in their recent away form, especially in their last match where they pushed hard for a result. The hosts' recent defensive solidity (conceding only 1 goal in their last 3) will be tested by Raków's potent away attack, while Piast's own recent attacking struggles might mean they need to be clinical when opportunities arise.
Team statistics
Team Stats Comparison
Key points
- • Piast Gliwice's home games average 2.3 goals, while Raków Częstochowa's away games average 3.1.
- • Raków Częstochowa has won 7 of their 16 away games this season, scoring an average of 1.6 goals.
- • Piast Gliwice is unbeaten in their last three matches, though two were draws.
AI Prediction
The statistics paint a picture of two evenly matched teams. Piast Gliwice's home advantage and recent unbeaten run are countered by Raków's superior attacking numbers away from home and better overall recent form. The odds suggest a tight contest, aligning with the statistical closeness. Both teams demonstrate a capacity to score, but Raków's recent defensive lapses and Piast's last outing suggest goals might be at a premium, leaning towards an under 2.5 outcome. A draw feels like the most probable outcome given the data.
- AIConfidencePickRecent Win% (20)
nova-lite-v1 (fr)by amazon70% HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x230%O/U60%BTTS43%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ar)by google68%X DRAWBTTS YES2.5 UNDER1x230%O/U63%BTTS47%- gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (es)by google65%X DRAWBTTS YES2.5 UNDER1x243%O/U57%BTTS50%
- gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ru)by google68%X DRAWBTTS YES2.5 UNDER1x243%O/U60%BTTS53%
- gemini-2.5-flash-lite (en)by google65%X DRAWBTTS YES2.5 UNDER1x243%O/U60%BTTS50%
llama-3.1-8b-instruct (it)by meta-llama70% HOMEBTTS YES2.5 UNDER1x233%O/U70%BTTS60%- llama-3.3-70b-instruct (pt)by meta-llama65% AWAYBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x240%O/U60%BTTS60%
gpt-oss-120b:free (tr)by openai78% HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x237%O/U63%BTTS57%
grok-4.1-fast (ja)by x-ai72%X DRAWBTTS NO2.5 UNDER1x240%O/U60%BTTS53%- grok-4.1-fast (ko)by x-ai72% AWAYBTTS YES2.5 UNDER1x240%O/U70%BTTS53%
H2H
Team recent
Piast Gliwice Team recent
| Match date | H/A | VS | Score | Results | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | Cor 9.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HOME | GKS Katowice | 0 - 0 | |||||
AWAY | Korona Kielce | 1 - 1 | |||||
HOME | Arka Gdynia | 4 - 1 | |||||
AWAY | Lechia Gdansk | 1 - 1 | |||||
HOME | Pogon Szczecin | 0 - 2 | |||||
AWAY | Nieciecza | 2 - 3 | |||||
HOME | Radomiak Radom | 3 - 1 | |||||
AWAY | Jagiellonia | 2 - 1 | |||||
HOME | Zaglebie Lubin | 1 - 3 | |||||
AWAY | Cracovia Krakow | 3 - 2 |
Piast Gliwice, playing at home, presents a fairly consistent, if unspectacular, season-long profile, averaging 1.2 goals and conceding 1.1 per game. Their home form shows a slight edge in scoring (1.2) compared to their overall average, with a decent possession share of over 57%. Recent form has been a mixed bag; they remain unbeaten in their last three, securing two draws, but their last outing yielded a goalless draw despite significant possession and shot volume, indicating potential struggles in converting chances. Discipline remains a concern, with a consistent yellow card rate.
Raków Częstochowa Team recent
| Match date | H/A | VS | Score | Results | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | Cor 9.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HOME | Jagiellonia | 0 - 2 | |||||
HOME | Korona Kielce | 2 - 0 | |||||
AWAY | Lechia Gdansk | 2 - 1 | |||||
HOME | Cracovia Krakow | 4 - 1 | |||||
AWAY | Motor Lublin | 1 - 1 | |||||
HOME | Widzew Łódź | 1 - 1 | |||||
AWAY | Legia Warszawa | 1 - 1 | |||||
AWAY | Gornik Zabrze | 1 - 3 | |||||
HOME | Pogon Szczecin | 2 - 0 | |||||
AWAY | Lech Poznan | 3 - 4 |
Raków Częstochowa has a slightly more potent attack overall (1.4 goals scored vs 1.2 for the hosts) and a marginally weaker defence (1.2 conceded vs 1.1). Their away record is solid, with a 43.8% win rate and a strong scoring average of 1.6 goals per game, though they concede 1.5 on the road. Raków comes into this match in better recent form, having won two of their last three, though their last fixture was a defeat where they conceded two goals. They've shown an ability to create chances, evidenced by a high shot count in their last game, but also a tendency for their passing accuracy to dip on the road.
Odds
Lineup information is currently unavailable. It will be updated 1 hour before kickoff.