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Poland Ekstraklasa
Motor Lublin logo
Motor Lublin
Jagiellonia logo
Jagiellonia
Match Events
Ivo Rodrigues
32'
32'
Jesús Imaz
39'
A. Pululu
K. Czubak
44'
Marek Kristián Bartoš
72'

Preview

Motor Lublin vs Jagiellonia: A Tight Ekstraklasa Encounter on the Horizon

Motor Lublin host Jagiellonia in a fixture that looks poised to be a closely contested affair. While Jagiellonia boast a stronger overall season record, Motor Lublin have shown resilience at home, particularly in recent weeks, suggesting a balanced battle is on the cards.

This match looks like a classic clash between a home side that grinds out results and an away team that prefers to control possession and probe for openings. Motor Lublin's recent home resilience suggests they may opt for a compact shape, looking to frustrate Jagiellonia and hit them on transitional moments. Jagiellonia's strength lies in their ability to build attacks patiently and exploit space, which might be tested by Motor's potentially deep defensive block. The midfield battle will be crucial, as Jagiellonia aim to leverage their superior possession statistics, while Motor will seek to disrupt their rhythm and exploit any defensive frailties.

Team statistics

Poland Ekstraklasa
Filter by Period

Team Stats Comparison

Home Team Matches
Away Team Matches
Motor Lublin
VS
Jagiellonia
17
Matches played
16
4 - 8 - 5
Results
8 - 4 - 4
23.5%
Win %
50%
1.3
Goals scored
1.8
1.6
Goals conceded
1.3
3.6
Shots on target
5.2
4.5
Shots off target
5.3
3.9
Blocked shots
4.1
51.6
Ball possession
59.8
82.8
Pass accuracy
84.2
13.4
Fouls
11.7
2.8
Goalkeeper saves
3.7
2.3
Yellow cards
2.3
0.1
Red cards
0
League averages

Key points

  • • Motor Lublin have drawn 8 of their 17 league games this season, with 5 of those draws coming at home.
  • • Jagiellonia average 1.8 goals per game overall but drop to 1.1 goals per game in their away fixtures.
  • • Both teams' recent form suggests a tendency for goals, with their last three matches seeing a combined average of 2 goals per game.

AI Prediction

The odds suggest a very evenly matched contest, with all outcomes priced similarly. Motor Lublin's strong home draws and improved recent home scoring, coupled with Jagiellonia's potent attack that still manages to score away, point towards goals at both ends. While Jagiellonia are the stronger side statistically over the season, Motor's home resilience, especially their recent unbeaten run at home, makes a draw a very realistic outcome.

  • AI
    Confidence
    Pick
    Recent Win% (20)
  • amazon/nova-lite-v1
    nova-lite-v1 (fr)
    by amazon
    72%
    X DRAW
    BTTS YES
    2.5 UNDER
    1x2
    50%
    O/U
    60%
    BTTS
    53%
  • google/gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001
    gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ar)
    by google
    68%
    Jagiellonia AWAY
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    43%
    O/U
    50%
    BTTS
    63%
  • google/gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001
    gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (es)
    by google
    65%
    X DRAW
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    43%
    O/U
    67%
    BTTS
    53%
  • google/gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001
    gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ru)
    by google
    68%
    Jagiellonia AWAY
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    47%
    O/U
    57%
    BTTS
    63%
  • google/gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001
    gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (vi)
    by google
    72%
    Jagiellonia AWAY
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    47%
    O/U
    50%
    BTTS
    47%
  • google/gemini-2.5-flash-lite
    gemini-2.5-flash-lite (en)
    by google
    65%
    X DRAW
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    50%
    O/U
    57%
    BTTS
    60%
  • meta-llama/llama-3.1-8b-instruct
    llama-3.1-8b-instruct (it)
    by meta-llama
    75%
    X DRAW
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    53%
    O/U
    53%
    BTTS
    43%
  • meta-llama/llama-3.1-8b-instruct
    llama-3.1-8b-instruct (nl)
    by meta-llama
    80%
    Jagiellonia AWAY
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    50%
    O/U
    47%
    BTTS
    50%
  • meta-llama/llama-3.3-70b-instruct
    llama-3.3-70b-instruct (pt)
    by meta-llama
    60%
    X DRAW
    BTTS YES
    2.5 UNDER
    1x2
    47%
    O/U
    60%
    BTTS
    53%
  • microsoft/phi-4-multimodal-instruct
    phi-4-multimodal-instruct (id)
    by microsoft
    85%
    Jagiellonia AWAY
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    43%
    O/U
    47%
    BTTS
    43%
  • mistralai/mistral-nemo
    mistral-nemo (de)
    by mistralai
    70%
    Motor Lublin HOME
    BTTS YES
    2.5 UNDER
    1x2
    53%
    O/U
    67%
    BTTS
    60%
  • openai/gpt-oss-120b:exacto
    gpt-oss-120b:exacto (tr)
    by openai
    78%
    Motor Lublin HOME
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    33%
    O/U
    53%
    BTTS
    57%
  • qwen/qwen-turbo
    qwen-turbo (th)
    by qwen
    78%
    Jagiellonia AWAY
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    47%
    O/U
    50%
    BTTS
    40%
  • x-ai/grok-4.1-fast
    grok-4.1-fast (ja)
    by x-ai
    70%
    X DRAW
    BTTS YES
    2.5 UNDER
    1x2
    47%
    O/U
    53%
    BTTS
    63%
  • x-ai/grok-4.1-fast
    grok-4.1-fast (ko)
    by x-ai
    72%
    Jagiellonia AWAY
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    57%
    O/U
    53%
    BTTS
    67%

H2H

Ekstraklasa
Match dateTeamScoreTeamO/U 2.5BTTS
2/16/2025
Motor Lublin
L 0 - 3 W
Jagiellonia
AWAY
ON
9/25/2024HOME
Motor Lublin
L 0 - 2 W
Jagiellonia
UN
1/17/2024
Motor Lublin
D 0 - 0 D
Jagiellonia
AWAY
UN
7/4/2023HOME
Motor Lublin
D 1 - 1 D
Jagiellonia
UY
1/21/2023HOME
Motor Lublin
D 1 - 1 D
Jagiellonia
UY
Includes records from 2023 onwards.

Team recent

Motor Lublin Team recent

Motor Lublin logo
Motor Lublin
Home Team Matches
Match dateH/AVSScoreResultsO/U 2.5BTTSCor 9.5
AWAY
Arka Gdynia0 - 1LUNY
HOME
Legia Warszawa1 - 1DUYY
AWAY
Cracovia Krakow2 - 1WOYY
HOME
Wisla Plock1 - 1DUYY
AWAY
Lech Poznan2 - 2DOYN
HOME
Widzew Łódź3 - 0WONY
HOME
GKS Katowice2 - 5LOYY
AWAY
Raków Częstochowa0 - 2LUNY
HOME
Radomiak Radom2 - 2DOYY
AWAY
Zaglebie Lubin2 - 2DOYY

Motor Lublin's season has been characterised by a high number of draws, with over 47% of their games ending all square. They've managed to secure more points at home, where their defence tightens up considerably, conceding just 1.3 goals per game on average. While their scoring rate at home is modest at 1.4 goals, their recent form shows an uptick, with their last three home matches yielding a more promising 1.7 goals scored and a remarkably solid 0.7 conceded. They come into this fixture following a draw where they managed only 4 shots, but their home form has seen them avoid defeat in their last eight home games.

Jagiellonia Team recent

Jagiellonia logo
Jagiellonia
Away Team Matches
Match dateH/AVSScoreResultsO/U 2.5BTTSCor 9.5
AWAY
Nieciecza1 - 2LOYY
AWAY
Zaglebie Lubin0 - 0DUNY
AWAY
Pogon Szczecin2 - 1WOYN
HOME
Raków Częstochowa1 - 2LOYY
AWAY
Gornik Zabrze1 - 2LOYN
HOME
Arka Gdynia4 - 0WONN
HOME
Korona Kielce3 - 1WOYY
AWAY
Lech Poznan2 - 2DOYY
AWAY
Legia Warszawa0 - 0DUNN
AWAY
Wisla Plock1 - 0WUNY

Jagiellonia present a more potent attacking force over the entire season, averaging 1.8 goals per game. Their away form, however, paints a different picture, with their scoring output dropping to 1.1 goals and their defence remaining relatively solid, conceding just one goal per away fixture. Despite a recent dip in overall form, losing their last outing, Jagiellonia's away record has seen them lose only twice in nine games. They tend to dominate possession and play with a high degree of passing accuracy, suggesting they can control periods of play even on the road.

O
Over
U
Under
Y
Yes
N
No

Odds

1x2
Motor Lublin
HOME
2.88
DRAW
3.6
Jagiellonia
AWAY
2.2
2.5 OVER/UNDER
OVER
1.67
UNDER
2.15
BTTS
YES
1.57
NO
2.25
Lineups
Motor Lublin

Motor Lublin

(4-1-4-1)

I. Brkic
F. Luberecki
H. Matthys
M. Bartos
F. Wojcik
S. Samper
Fabio Ronaldo
I. Rodrigues
B. Wolski
M. Krol
K. Czubak
A. Pululu
O. Pietuszewski
J. Imaz
A. Pozo
B. Mazurek
T. Romanczuk
B. Wdowik
D. Stojinovic
B. Vital
N. Wojtuszek
S. Abramowicz
Jagiellonia

Jagiellonia

(4-2-3-1)

Average Player Rating

Injuries / suspensions

No injury/suspension information available.

League table

Poland Ekstraklasa
#TeamPlayedWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Wisla Plock187922112930DDDDD
2Gornik Zabrze189362924530LLDLW
3Jagiellonia178542921829DLDWL
4Raków Częstochowa189272623329LWWLW
5Zaglebie Lubin187743124728WWDLW
6Cracovia Krakow187652521427DDWLL
7Radomiak Radom187563530526DWLWW
8Lech Poznan176832926326DDWLD
9Korona Kielce186662119224DLWLD
10Pogon Szczecin186392832-421DLWLL
11Motor Lublin184952328-521DLDWD
12Arka Gdynia186391532-1721WLLWL
13Piast Gliwice175571919020WWLWW
14Lechia Gdansk187473737020WWDWL
15Widzew Łódź1862102628-220LWLLD
16GKS Katowice176292328-520LWLWW
17Legia Warszawa184771921-219LLDDL
18Nieciecza185492435-1119WLWWL
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