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Legia Warszawa vs Motor Lublin: Hosts Eye Strong Finish in Ekstraklasa
Legia Warszawa host Motor Lublin in the final round of the Ekstraklasa season. The home side, despite a somewhat inconsistent campaign, have shown a strong defensive resolve recently and will be looking to secure a victory against a Motor Lublin side that has struggled on the road.
Legia Warszawa will likely aim to leverage their recent defensive solidity and home advantage. Expect them to build from a compact shape, using their slightly superior ball possession to probe for openings. Their recent upturn suggests a more patient build-up, looking to avoid the defensive lapses that have plagued them at times. Motor Lublin, particularly away from home, might adopt a more reactive approach, hoping to hit Legia on the counter. However, their struggles to contain opponents on the road, coupled with Legia's recent defensive resilience, suggests the hosts will have more control over the match's rhythm, potentially forcing Motor into turnovers in dangerous areas.
Team statistics
Team Stats Comparison
Key points
- • Legia Warszawa have won their last three matches in all competitions, conceding just one goal.
- • Motor Lublin have lost 7 of their 16 away games this season, conceding an average of 1.8 goals per away fixture.
- • The odds suggest a home win for Legia Warszawa, with odds of 1.53 for the hosts.
AI Prediction
Legia Warszawa's recent defensive improvements at home, combined with their superior overall home record, make them the clear favourites. Motor Lublin's away defence is a concern, but they do possess an attacking threat and have shown they can score goals. The odds also support a home win, and with both sides having shown a capacity to concede recently, a game with a few goals seems plausible.
- AIConfidencePickRecent Win% (20)
nova-lite-v1 (fr)by amazon85%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x227%O/U50%BTTS67%
deepseek-v4-pro (ja)by deepseek82%
HOMEBTTS NO2.5 UNDER1x237%O/U57%BTTS63%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ar)by google68%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x233%O/U47%BTTS70%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (es)by google70%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x230%O/U50%BTTS63%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ru)by google70%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x227%O/U47%BTTS67%
gemini-2.5-flash-lite (en)by google70%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x230%O/U43%BTTS53%
llama-3.1-8b-instruct (it)by meta-llama80%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x233%O/U37%BTTS53%
llama-3.3-70b-instruct (pt)by meta-llama70%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x223%O/U53%BTTS57%
gpt-oss-120b:free (tr)by openai78%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x237%O/U33%BTTS57%
grok-4.3 (ko)by x-ai78%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x227%O/U37%BTTS60%
H2H
Team recent
Legia Warszawa Team recent
| Match date | H/A | VS | Score | Results | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | Cor 9.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AWAY | Lechia Gdansk | 2 - 1 | |||||
AWAY | Nieciecza | 1 - 0 | |||||
HOME | Widzew Łódź | 1 - 0 | |||||
AWAY | Lech Poznan | 0 - 4 | |||||
HOME | Zaglebie Lubin | 1 - 0 | |||||
HOME | Gornik Zabrze | 1 - 1 | |||||
AWAY | Pogon Szczecin | 2 - 0 | |||||
HOME | Raków Częstochowa | 1 - 1 | |||||
AWAY | Radomiak Radom | 1 - 1 | |||||
HOME | Cracovia Krakow | 1 - 0 |
Legia Warszawa have endured a mixed season, reflected in their 33.3% win rate overall. However, their home form has been more solid, with 43.8% of matches at home resulting in a win, and they've conceded less than a goal per game on average at the Polish Army Stadium. Recent form is particularly encouraging, with three consecutive wins and a significantly tightened defence, conceding only 0.3 goals per game over their last three outings. They've also maintained decent possession figures at home, suggesting they can control the narrative in this fixture.
Motor Lublin Team recent
| Match date | H/A | VS | Score | Results | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | Cor 9.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HOME | Cracovia Krakow | 3 - 3 | |||||
AWAY | Wisla Plock | 4 - 0 | |||||
HOME | Lech Poznan | 0 - 1 | |||||
AWAY | Widzew Łódź | 0 - 2 | |||||
AWAY | GKS Katowice | 2 - 3 | |||||
HOME | Raków Częstochowa | 1 - 1 | |||||
AWAY | Radomiak Radom | 1 - 1 | |||||
HOME | Zaglebie Lubin | 1 - 0 | |||||
AWAY | Nieciecza | 2 - 1 | |||||
HOME | Gornik Zabrze | 0 - 0 |
Motor Lublin's season has also been a tale of two halves, with their overall record showing just over a 30% win rate. While their home record is respectable, their away form leaves much to be desired, having lost 43.8% of their road matches and conceding a concerning 1.8 goals per game. Although their last outing saw a dominant 4-0 victory, their recent away form has been patchy, with only one win in their last three away matches and a higher number of shots conceded. Their possession stats are stable, but translating that into consistent defensive solidity away from home has been a challenge.
Odds
Lineup information is currently unavailable. It will be updated 1 hour before kickoff.
