MVV vs Jong Ajax - AI Match Preview

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Netherlands Eerste Divisie

MVV

Jong Ajax

Preview Team statistics AI Prediction H2H Team recent Odds Lineups Injuries / suspensions League table

Match Events

Marko Kleinen

33'

59'

Emre Ünüvar

Djairo Tehubyuluw

60'

78'

Paul Reverson

Stan Van Dessel

79'

Kanou Sy

90'

Preview

MVV vs Jong Ajax: Hosts Seek Home Advantage Amidst Defensive Struggles

MVV hosts Jong Ajax in a Eerste Divisie clash where the home side's inconsistent form clashes with the visitors' notoriously leaky away defence. Both teams have shown defensive frailties, suggesting a potentially open game with goals at both ends.

This fixture pits MVV's need for points against Jong Ajax's desire to play out from the back. The home side's recent struggles at home, particularly defensively, suggest they might adopt a more cautious approach, looking to exploit any spaces left by Jong Ajax's attacking ambitions. However, Jong Ajax's persistent struggles away from home, especially their inability to keep clean sheets, coupled with MVV's own defensive vulnerabilities, points towards a game where both teams might find the net. The hosts will likely aim to leverage their home crowd and try to dictate play through direct attacking, while Jong Ajax will try to build from deep, potentially leaving them exposed to counter-attacks.

Team statistics

Netherlands Eerste Divisie

MVV

Jong Ajax

Matches played

5 - 4 - 10

Results

2 - 6 - 11

26.3%

Win %

10.5%

1.2

Goals scored

1.4

1.8

Goals conceded

4.3

Shots on target

4.3

4.7

Shots off target

4.4

2.6

Blocked shots

3.9

44.4

Ball possession

53.1

78.2

Pass accuracy

83.4

11.9

Fouls

11.1

4.3

Goalkeeper saves

4.3

1.6

Yellow cards

1.8

Red cards

League averages

Key points

• Jong Ajax have lost 7 of their 9 away games this season, conceding an average of 2.4 goals.
• MVV have conceded an average of 1.8 goals per game overall this season.
• The odds suggest a home win is the most likely outcome, with BTTS and Over 2.5 goals seen as probable.

AI Prediction

While MVV's overall record is poor, their home form is marginally better, and they face a Jong Ajax side that has been abysmal away from home, struggling defensively and failing to win. The odds also favour the hosts, suggesting the market anticipates an MVV victory. Given both teams' defensive records and Jong Ajax's attacking intent, goals are expected from both sides, pushing the match towards an over 2.5 goal outcome.

AI

Confidence

Pick

Recent Win% (20)
nova-lite-v1 (fr)

by amazon

65%

AWAY

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

47%

O/U

40%

BTTS

40%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ar)

by google

65%

X DRAW

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

57%

O/U

47%

BTTS

43%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (es)

by google

65%

HOME

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

50%

O/U

43%

BTTS

50%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ru)

by google

70%

HOME

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

60%

O/U

43%

BTTS

40%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (vi)

by google

70%

HOME

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

47%

O/U

53%

BTTS

40%
gemini-2.5-flash-lite (en)

by google

70%

HOME

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

57%

O/U

47%

BTTS

40%
llama-3.1-8b-instruct (it)

by meta-llama

75%

HOME

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

53%

O/U

57%

BTTS

40%
llama-3.1-8b-instruct (nl)

by meta-llama

72%

AWAY

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

50%

O/U

53%

BTTS

50%
llama-3.3-70b-instruct (pt)

by meta-llama

65%

HOME

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

63%

O/U

47%

BTTS

40%
phi-4-multimodal-instruct (id)

by microsoft

82%

HOME

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

53%

O/U

33%

BTTS

37%
mistral-nemo (de)

by mistralai

70%

HOME

BTTS NO

2.5 UNDER

1x2

60%

O/U

47%

BTTS

43%
gpt-oss-120b:exacto (tr)

by openai

68%

AWAY

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

46%

O/U

46%

BTTS

36%
qwen-turbo (th)

by qwen

75%

AWAY

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

60%

O/U

53%

BTTS

47%
grok-4.1-fast (ja)

by x-ai

72%

HOME

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

60%

O/U

47%

BTTS

47%
grok-4.1-fast (ko)

by x-ai

72%

HOME

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

60%

O/U

57%

BTTS

50%

H2H

Eerste Divisie

Match date	Team	Score	Team	O/U 2.5	BTTS
8/29/2025	MVV	D 0 - 0 D	Jong Ajax AWAY	U	N
5/2/2025	HOME MVV	W 1 - 0 L	Jong Ajax	U	N
8/19/2024	MVV	D 0 - 0 D	Jong Ajax AWAY	U	N
2/12/2024	MVV	L 0 - 3 W	Jong Ajax AWAY	O	N
9/1/2023	HOME MVV	W 2 - 1 L	Jong Ajax	O	Y

Includes records from 2023 onwards.

Team recent

MVV

H/A	VS	Score	Results	O/U 2.5	BTTS	Cor 9.5
AWAY	Helmond Sport	4 - 2	W	O	Y	N
HOME	Roda	0 - 0	D	U	N	N
AWAY	Waalwijk	0 - 1	L	U	N	N
HOME	Jong AZ	1 - 3	L	O	Y	N
AWAY	Almere City FC	0 - 4	L	O	N	N
HOME	ADO Den Haag	3 - 4	L	O	Y	N
AWAY	Willem II	2 - 2	D	O	Y	N
HOME	Vitesse	3 - 2	W	O	Y	N
AWAY	Jong Utrecht	1 - 3	L	O	Y	Y
HOME	FC Eindhoven	3 - 1	W	O	Y	Y

MVV have endured a difficult season, with over half their games ending in defeat. While their home record shows a slight improvement over their overall performance, they still concede nearly two goals per game on average. Their recent form has been particularly concerning, with two losses in their last three home outings, conceding a worrying 2.3 goals per game in that stretch. The last fixture offered a glimmer of hope with a draw and a significant increase in shots on goal, but it's a fragile foundation to build upon.

Jong Ajax

H/A	VS	Score	Results	O/U 2.5	BTTS	Cor 9.5
AWAY	Almere City FC	2 - 3	L	O	Y	N
HOME	Vitesse	2 - 0	W	U	N	N
AWAY	Helmond Sport	1 - 2	L	O	Y	N
HOME	FC Eindhoven	1 - 3	L	O	Y	Y
HOME	Dordrecht	0 - 0	D	U	N	Y
AWAY	Cambuur	1 - 4	L	O	Y	N
HOME	Emmen	0 - 1	L	U	N	N
AWAY	FC OSS	1 - 1	D	U	Y	N
HOME	Jong PSV U21	2 - 2	D	O	Y	Y
HOME	De Graafschap	2 - 2	D	O	Y	N

Jong Ajax, despite their possession-based approach, have a dismal away record, failing to secure a single victory this season and losing seven of their nine away fixtures. They concede a high average of 2.4 goals on the road, a stark contrast to their slightly better home defensive record. Recent form has been poor, with three consecutive losses, conceding an alarming 3 goals per game in their last three matches overall. Despite the negative results, they maintain a decent attacking output, averaging 1.3 goals in their last three.

Over

Under

Yes

Odds

1x2

HOME

1.8

DRAW

4.1

AWAY

3.6

2.5 OVER/UNDER

OVER

1.48

UNDER

2.6

BTTS

YES

1.5

2.5

Lineups

MVV

(4-2-3-1)

Sem Westerveld

Djairo Tehubyuluw

Adam Zaian

Finn Dicke

Lenn-Minh Tran

Stan Van Dessel

Marko Kleinen

Thijme Verheijen

Amine Amgar

Luca Foubert

Sven Braken

Emre Ünüvar

Don O`Niel

Abdellah Ouazane

Nassef Chourak

Tijn Peters

Skye Vink

Ethan Butera

Mylo van der Lans

Jinairo Johnson

Avery Appiah

Paul Reverson

Jong Ajax

(4-2-3-1)

Average Player Rating

Injuries / suspensions

MVV

Name	Reason	Type	G/A

Jong Ajax

Name	Reason	Type	G/A
T. Gooijer	Jumpers knee	Missing Fixture	- / -

League table

Netherlands Eerste Divisie

#	Team	Played	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	ADO Den Haag	20	17	1	2	56	21	35	52	LWWWW
2	Cambuur	21	14	5	2	46	22	24	47	WWWDW
3	De Graafschap	21	11	4	6	42	33	9	37	WLWWW
4	Roda	21	9	7	5	36	30	6	34	WWLDL
5	Jong PSV U21	21	10	4	7	41	39	2	34	WLLWL
6	Almere City FC	21	10	2	9	45	35	10	32	WWWWW
7	Den Bosch	21	10	2	9	40	39	1	32	WLLWL
8	VVV Venlo	21	10	0	11	28	30	-2	30	WWWLL
9	Willem II	21	8	6	7	27	30	-3	30	DLWLW
10	Waalwijk	21	8	5	8	33	33	0	29	WLLLW
11	Emmen	21	8	4	9	39	39	0	28	LWLWD
12	FC Eindhoven	21	8	3	10	29	41	-12	27	WWWLW
13	Jong Utrecht	21	7	5	9	33	37	-4	26	LWLWW
14	Dordrecht	21	6	6	9	26	31	-5	24	LLLLW
15	Helmond Sport	21	7	3	11	29	36	-7	24	DLLDW
16	MVV	21	6	4	11	25	40	-15	22	LWWDL
17	Jong AZ	21	6	2	13	32	43	-11	20	LLWLL
18	FC OSS	21	4	8	9	26	37	-11	20	LLDLW
19	Vitesse	20	7	5	8	31	33	-2	14	LWDLL
20	Jong Ajax	21	2	6	13	27	42	-15	12	LLLWL

MVV vs Jong Ajax AI Match Preview, Prediction, Team Stats Comparison, League table

Preview

MVV vs Jong Ajax: Hosts Seek Home Advantage Amidst Defensive Struggles

Team statistics

Team Stats Comparison

Key points

AI Prediction

H2H

Team recent

MVV Team recent

Jong Ajax Team recent

Odds

MVV

Jong Ajax

Injuries / suspensions

MVV Injuries / suspensions

Jong Ajax Injuries / suspensions

League table