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West Brom vs QPR: Baggies Aim to Capitalise on Home Strength Against Struggling Visitors
West Brom host QPR in the Championship, with the Baggies looking to build on a strong recent home run. QPR, meanwhile, arrive with a dismal away record and will need a significant turnaround to get a result.
This fixture presents a clear contrast in home and away form. West Brom will likely look to leverage their superior home possession statistics and attacking threat to control the game. They'll aim to exploit QPR's defensive frailties, particularly on the counter-attack if QPR overcommit. The visitors, struggling significantly on the road, might adopt a more compact defensive shape, hoping to frustrate West Brom and hit them on transitional moments, though their recent passing struggles and discipline issues make this a tall order.
Team statistics
Team Stats Comparison
Key points
- • West Brom have won 45.5% of their home games this season, compared to QPR's 33.3% away win rate.
- • QPR have lost their last three away matches, conceding an average of 2.3 goals per game in that period.
- • West Brom's recent home form sees them scoring an average of two goals per game over their last three matches.
AI Prediction
West Brom's strong home form, coupled with QPR's abysmal away record, makes the home side the clear favourite. The Baggies have shown a recent upturn in attacking output at home, while QPR's defensive issues away from home are well-documented. Both teams have shown a tendency to concede and score recently, pointing towards goals at both ends and an 'over' outcome.
- AIConfidencePickRecent Win% (20)
nova-lite-v1 (fr)by amazon70%X DRAWBTTS YES2.5 UNDER1x253%O/U60%BTTS50%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ar)by google68%
HOMEBTTS NO2.5 UNDER1x250%O/U63%BTTS57%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (es)by google70%
HOMEBTTS NO2.5 UNDER1x250%O/U70%BTTS53%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ru)by google68%
HOMEBTTS NO2.5 UNDER1x247%O/U63%BTTS60%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (vi)by google70%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x257%O/U50%BTTS57%
gemini-2.5-flash-lite (en)by google85%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x247%O/U47%BTTS50%
llama-3.1-8b-instruct (it)by meta-llama80%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x243%O/U53%BTTS47%
llama-3.1-8b-instruct (nl)by meta-llama75%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x250%O/U47%BTTS57%
llama-3.3-70b-instruct (pt)by meta-llama65%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x243%O/U37%BTTS50%
phi-4-multimodal-instruct (id)by microsoft80%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x247%O/U50%BTTS60%
mistral-nemo (de)by mistralai70%
HOMEBTTS NO2.5 OVER1x253%O/U40%BTTS50%
gpt-oss-120b:exacto (tr)by openai78%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x253%O/U47%BTTS40%
qwen-turbo (th)by qwen88%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x250%O/U43%BTTS53%
grok-4.1-fast (ja)by x-ai75%
HOMEBTTS NO2.5 UNDER1x247%O/U67%BTTS47%
grok-4.1-fast (ko)by x-ai72%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 UNDER1x253%O/U57%BTTS57%
H2H
Team recent
West Brom Team recent
| Match date | H/A | VS | Score | Results | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | Cor 9.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HOME | Bristol City | 1 - 2 | |||||
AWAY | Hull City | 0 - 1 | |||||
HOME | Sheffield Utd | 2 - 0 | |||||
AWAY | Southampton | 2 - 3 | |||||
AWAY | QPR | 1 - 3 | |||||
HOME | Swansea | 3 - 2 | |||||
HOME | Birmingham | 1 - 1 | |||||
AWAY | Coventry | 2 - 3 | |||||
HOME | Oxford United | 2 - 1 | |||||
AWAY | Charlton | 0 - 1 |
West Brom have shown flashes of their potential, particularly at home, where they've secured more wins than losses this season. Their recent form has been a mixed bag overall, with two wins in their last three games, but this has been heavily buoyed by their home performances, where they've scored an average of two goals in their last three outings. They tend to dominate possession at home and create a good volume of shots, suggesting a side that can impose itself on opponents in familiar surroundings.
QPR Team recent
| Match date | H/A | VS | Score | Results | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | Cor 9.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AWAY | Portsmouth | 1 - 1 | |||||
HOME | Leicester | 4 - 1 | |||||
AWAY | Middlesbrough | 1 - 3 | |||||
HOME | Birmingham | 2 - 1 | |||||
HOME | West Brom | 3 - 1 | |||||
AWAY | Norwich | 1 - 3 | |||||
AWAY | Blackburn | 1 - 0 | |||||
HOME | Hull City | 3 - 2 | |||||
AWAY | Sheffield Utd | 0 - 0 | |||||
HOME | Southampton | 1 - 2 |
Queens Park Rangers find themselves in a precarious position, especially away from home. Their overall season record shows more losses than wins, and their away form is particularly concerning, with an astonishing 75% of their away games ending in defeat. While they've managed to score in most of their recent away matches, their defence has been porous, conceding an average of over two goals per game on the road. Their last outing was a particularly poor one, marked by a red card and a substantial drop in passing accuracy.
Odds
West Brom
(4-2-3-1)
QPR
(4-2-3-1)
Injuries / suspensions
West Brom Injuries / suspensions
QPR Injuries / suspensions
