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Preview
Stoke City vs Swansea: Hosts Aim to Halt Slump Against Struggling Swans
Stoke City host Swansea City in the Championship, with the Potters desperate to arrest a concerning winless streak. Swansea, meanwhile, have endured a torrid run of away form and will be looking to rediscover their attacking spark.
Stoke City, despite their recent struggles, tend to dominate possession and build play from the back, as indicated by their higher passing accuracy and average ball possession. They will likely aim to leverage their home advantage and attacking output from earlier in the season, focusing on wide overloads and creating chances through higher shot volumes. Swansea, on the other hand, have shown a capacity for quick transitions in attack when they've been successful, but their recent away performances suggest a potential susceptibility to conceding goals, especially against teams that can establish control and create sustained pressure.
Team statistics
Team Stats Comparison
Key points
- • Stoke City have won 55.6% of their home games this season.
- • Swansea have lost 55.6% of their away games this season.
- • Stoke conceded 2.3 goals per game in their last three matches.
AI Prediction
Stoke City's home form and overall season performance suggest they hold the edge over a Swansea side that has been particularly poor on the road. While Stoke's recent results are alarming, their underlying statistics at home remain solid. Swansea's recent away form is dire, and despite a last-gasp win, their overall away scoring and conceding record is unimpressive. The odds favour the hosts, aligning with the statistical picture, and a narrow home win feels probable.
- AIConfidencePickRecent Win% (20)
nova-lite-v1 (fr)by amazon72%
AWAYBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x250%O/U30%BTTS47%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ar)by google68%
HOMEBTTS NO2.5 UNDER1x237%O/U50%BTTS37%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (es)by google68%
HOMEBTTS NO2.5 UNDER1x247%O/U50%BTTS37%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ru)by google68%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x247%O/U37%BTTS43%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (vi)by google68%
AWAYBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x243%O/U60%BTTS53%
gemini-2.5-flash-lite (en)by google70%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 UNDER1x247%O/U50%BTTS40%
llama-3.1-8b-instruct (it)by meta-llama75%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 UNDER1x230%O/U47%BTTS50%
llama-3.1-8b-instruct (nl)by meta-llama75%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x237%O/U47%BTTS53%
llama-3.3-70b-instruct (pt)by meta-llama68%X DRAWBTTS YES2.5 UNDER1x240%O/U47%BTTS43%
phi-4-multimodal-instruct (id)by microsoft85%
HOMEBTTS NO2.5 UNDER1x243%O/U37%BTTS40%
mistral-nemo (de)by mistralai65%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x240%O/U30%BTTS40%
gpt-oss-120b:exacto (tr)by openai78%
AWAYBTTS NO2.5 UNDER1x237%O/U47%BTTS33%
qwen-turbo (th)by qwen85%
AWAYBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x243%O/U57%BTTS53%
grok-4.1-fast (ja)by x-ai72%
HOMEBTTS NO2.5 UNDER1x240%O/U47%BTTS33%
grok-4.1-fast (ko)by x-ai72%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 UNDER1x237%O/U47%BTTS33%
H2H
Team recent
Stoke City Team recent
| Match date | H/A | VS | Score | Results | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | Cor 9.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AWAY | Ipswich | 0 - 1 | |||||
AWAY | Sheffield Utd | 0 - 4 | |||||
HOME | Hull City | 1 - 2 | |||||
HOME | Charlton | 3 - 0 | |||||
AWAY | Leicester | 1 - 2 | |||||
HOME | Coventry | 0 - 1 | |||||
AWAY | Oxford United | 3 - 0 | |||||
HOME | Bristol City | 5 - 1 | |||||
AWAY | Portsmouth | 1 - 0 | |||||
AWAY | Millwall | 0 - 2 |
Stoke City have seen their season stutter of late, particularly in their last three matches where they've failed to secure a single point and have been shipping goals at an alarming rate, conceding over two per game. This recent dip in form contrasts sharply with their overall season performance, where they've averaged 1.3 goals scored and maintained a respectable home record with over half their games won. However, their last outing saw them fire blanks offensively while looking vulnerable at the back, suggesting underlying issues that need urgent attention.
Swansea Team recent
| Match date | H/A | VS | Score | Results | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | Cor 9.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HOME | Portsmouth | 1 - 0 | |||||
HOME | Oxford United | 2 - 0 | |||||
AWAY | West Brom | 2 - 3 | |||||
HOME | Derby | 1 - 2 | |||||
AWAY | Bristol City | 0 - 3 | |||||
HOME | Ipswich | 1 - 4 | |||||
AWAY | Preston | 1 - 2 | |||||
AWAY | Charlton | 1 - 1 | |||||
HOME | Norwich | 2 - 1 | |||||
HOME | QPR | 0 - 1 |
Swansea City's recent form is a story of two halves, with an impressive win in their last outing against a struggling opponent offering a glimmer of hope, yet this victory followed three consecutive defeats where they conceded heavily. Their away form throughout the season has been particularly concerning, with over half of their away fixtures ending in defeat and a meagre goal return. Despite a slight improvement in their last match at home, their overall away statistics paint a picture of a side finding it tough on the road, struggling to score and leaking goals.
Odds
Stoke City
(4-2-3-1)
Swansea
(4-2-3-1)
Injuries / suspensions
Stoke City Injuries / suspensions
Swansea Injuries / suspensions
