Stoke City vs Middlesbrough - AI Match Preview

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England Championship

Stoke City

Middlesbrough

Match Events

Tomáš Rigo

15'

Bosun Lawal

45'

48'

Alan Browne

52'

Luke Ayling

59'

Tommy Conway

Ben Pearson

66'

Bosun Lawal

77'

Bosun Lawal

77'

Preview

Stoke City vs Middlesbrough: Championship Clash of Form and Style

Stoke City host Middlesbrough in a Championship encounter that pits the hosts' recent defensive solidity against Middlesbrough's more potent attacking form. While Middlesbrough have shown a stronger overall season record, Stoke's recent defensive improvements, particularly at home, suggest a potentially tight affair.

This fixture presents an interesting tactical contrast. Middlesbrough's preference for possession and their higher average shots per game suggest they will aim to dictate play and probe Stoke's defence. Stoke, on the other hand, have shown recent defensive resilience, particularly in their last home game where they stifled opposition attacks effectively, conceding no goals. The hosts might look to a compact block to frustrate Middlesbrough, seeking to exploit any defensive vulnerabilities through quick transitions or set-pieces, particularly given their higher corner count at home.

Team statistics

England Championship

Stoke City

Middlesbrough

Matches played

12 - 5 - 10

Results

14 - 7 - 6

44.4%

Win %

51.9%

1.2

Goals scored

1.5

0.9

Goals conceded

Shots on target

4.1

Shots off target

5.3

3.6

Blocked shots

4.9

54.1

Ball possession

57.3

79.7

Pass accuracy

Fouls

9.3

2.7

Goalkeeper saves

2.1

Yellow cards

1.5

0.1

Red cards

League averages

Key points

• Middlesbrough average 1.5 goals scored per game overall, compared to Stoke's 1.2.
• Stoke City have conceded just 0.8 goals per game at home this season, a significant defensive strength.
• Middlesbrough's recent away form shows a tendency to concede, with 1.7 goals shipped in their last three away matches.

AI Prediction

Middlesbrough's overall attacking prowess and recent goal-scoring form, combined with Stoke's home advantage and recent defensive solidity, point towards a match where both teams are likely to score. While Middlesbrough have the edge in overall season stats, Stoke's home record and recent defensive shutout make them a tough opponent. The odds suggest a close encounter, and the data supports a high-scoring draw as a strong possibility.

AI

Confidence

Pick

Recent Win% (20)
nova-lite-v1 (fr)

by amazon

70%

AWAY

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

23%

O/U

43%

BTTS

40%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ar)

by google

68%

AWAY

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

47%

O/U

47%

BTTS

70%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (es)

by google

65%

X DRAW

BTTS YES

2.5 UNDER

1x2

40%

O/U

63%

BTTS

70%

H2H

Championship H2H 기록입니다.

Match date	Team	Score	Team	O/U 2.5	BTTS
9/30/2025	Stoke City	D 0 - 0 D	Middlesbrough HOME	U	N
2/25/2025	HOME Stoke City	L 1 - 3 W	Middlesbrough	O	Y
9/28/2024	Stoke City	L 0 - 2 W	Middlesbrough HOME	U	N
3/2/2024	HOME Stoke City	W 2 - 0 L	Middlesbrough	U	N
10/28/2023	Stoke City	W 2 - 0 L	Middlesbrough HOME	U	N

Includes records from 2023 onwards.

Team recent

Stoke City

H/A	VS	Score	Results	O/U 2.5	BTTS	Cor 9.5
HOME	QPR	0 - 0	D	U	N	Y
AWAY	Norwich	2 - 0	W	U	N	N
AWAY	Hull City	1 - 0	W	U	N	Y
HOME	Sheffield Utd	1 - 2	L	O	Y	Y
HOME	Preston	0 - 0	D	U	N	Y
AWAY	Watford	0 - 1	L	U	N	Y
HOME	Swansea	2 - 1	W	O	Y	Y
AWAY	Ipswich	0 - 1	L	U	N	N
AWAY	Sheffield Utd	0 - 4	L	O	N	Y
HOME	Hull City	1 - 2	L	O	Y	Y

Stoke City have demonstrated a solid foundation this season, boasting a positive goal difference and a respectable win rate. Their home form is particularly encouraging, where they concede less than a goal per game on average and maintain good possession. However, their last three home outings have seen a concerning dip in scoring, managing only a single goal across those fixtures, despite significant possession and corner kick counts. This suggests a potential struggle to convert dominance into goals in front of their own fans recently.

Middlesbrough

H/A	VS	Score	Results	O/U 2.5	BTTS	Cor 9.5
AWAY	West Brom	3 - 2	W	O	Y	N
HOME	Southampton	4 - 0	W	O	N	Y
AWAY	Derby	0 - 1	L	U	N	Y
HOME	Hull City	0 - 1	L	U	N	Y
HOME	Blackburn	0 - 0	D	U	N	N
AWAY	Bristol City	0 - 2	L	U	N	Y
HOME	QPR	3 - 1	W	O	Y	Y
AWAY	Charlton	2 - 1	W	O	Y	Y
AWAY	Hull City	4 - 1	W	O	Y	Y
HOME	Derby	2 - 1	W	O	Y	Y

Middlesbrough arrive with a strong overall season record, underpinned by a higher scoring average and more wins than their hosts. Their recent form, however, paints a mixed picture. While they secured two wins in their last three, these were bookended by a significant defensive lapse in their most recent outing, conceding three goals. Despite this, their away statistics show a tendency to create chances, averaging over 14 shots per game and maintaining a high pass completion rate, indicating a team that can move the ball effectively.

Over

Under

Yes

Odds

1x2

HOME

2.8

DRAW

3.3

AWAY

2.45

2.5 OVER/UNDER

OVER

UNDER

1.8

BTTS

YES

1.73

Lineups

Stoke City

(4-2-3-1)

Tommy Simkin

Bosun Lawal

Ben Wilmot

Ashley Phillips

Maksym Talovierov

Ben Pearson

Tomáš Rigo

Sorba Thomas

Jun-Ho Bae

Million Manhoef

Lamine Cissé

Tommy Conway

Alexander Gilbert

Morgan Whittaker

Samuel Silvera

Aidan Morris

Hayden Hackney

Matt Targett

Adilson Malanda

Luke Ayling

Alan Browne

Solomon Brynn

Middlesbrough

(4-2-3-1)

Average Player Rating

Injuries / suspensions

Stoke City

Name	Reason	Type	G/A
R. Bozenik	Shoulder Injury	Missing Fixture	1 / 0
V. Johansson	Shoulder Injury	Missing Fixture	0 / 1
J. Tchamadeu	Injury	Missing Fixture	1 / 2
A. Cresswell	Injury	Questionable	0 / 3
D. Mubama	Injury	Questionable	5 / 1
L. Baker	Ankle Injury	Missing Fixture	4 / 1

Middlesbrough

Name	Reason	Type	G/A
A. Bangura	Injury	Missing Fixture	0 / 1
C. Brittain	Inactive	Missing Fixture	0 / 4
G. Edmundson	Injury	Missing Fixture	0 / 0
A. Jones	Injury	Missing Fixture	1 / 1
D. Lenihan	Achilles Tendon Injury	Missing Fixture	0 / 0
R. McGree	Injury	Missing Fixture	4 / 3
M. K. Sene	Inactive	Missing Fixture	2 / 0
D. Strelec	Inactive	Missing Fixture	5 / 0

League table

England Championship

#	Team	Played	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Coventry	24	15	7	2	54	23	31	52	WDWDL
2	Middlesbrough	23	12	7	4	33	24	9	43	DLWWW
3	Ipswich	24	10	9	5	38	23	15	39	DWLWW
4	Hull City	23	11	5	7	39	37	2	38	DWWWL
5	Preston	23	9	10	4	30	23	7	37	DDWDD
6	Bristol City	23	10	6	7	32	25	7	36	WWLDL
7	Millwall	23	10	6	7	25	31	-6	36	DLLDW
8	Watford	23	9	8	6	33	29	4	35	WWDDW
9	QPR	23	10	5	8	33	35	-2	35	DWLWW
10	Stoke City	23	10	4	9	28	21	7	34	DLWLL
11	Derby	23	8	8	7	32	31	1	32	DDWDL
12	Southampton	23	8	7	8	37	33	4	31	LDLWW
13	Wrexham	23	7	10	6	32	30	2	31	WLDLD
14	Leicester	23	8	7	8	32	33	-1	31	LLWDW
15	Birmingham	23	8	6	9	31	30	1	30	DLDLL
16	West Brom	23	8	4	11	26	31	-5	28	LLWLL
17	Charlton	22	7	6	9	21	27	-6	27	LWDLL
18	Blackburn	22	7	5	10	22	26	-4	26	DWLDD
19	Sheffield Utd	23	8	2	13	31	36	-5	26	LWLDW
20	Swansea	23	7	5	11	24	31	-7	26	LWLWW
21	Oxford United	23	5	7	11	24	32	-8	22	WLLDL
22	Portsmouth	22	5	7	10	19	29	-10	22	DDWLL
23	Norwich	23	5	6	12	26	35	-9	21	WDWDL
24	Sheffield Wednesday	22	1	7	14	18	45	-27	-8	DLLDL

Stoke City vs Middlesbrough AI Match Preview, Prediction, Team Stats Comparison, League table

Match Events

Preview

Stoke City vs Middlesbrough: Championship Clash of Form and Style

Team statistics

Team Stats Comparison

Key points

AI Prediction

H2H

Team recent

Stoke City Team recent

Middlesbrough Team recent

Odds

Lineups

Stoke City

Middlesbrough

Injuries / suspensions

Stoke City Injuries / suspensions

Middlesbrough Injuries / suspensions

League table