Leicester vs Watford - AI Match Preview

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England Championship

Leicester

Watford

Preview Team statistics AI Prediction H2H Team recent Odds Lineups Injuries / suspensions League table

Match Events

Jordan James

Abdul Fatawu Issahaku

19'

Oliver Skipp

42'

45'

Othmane Maamma

48'

Imrân Louza

61'

Hector Kyprianou

Stephy Mavididi

63'

65'

Matthew Pollock

Preview

Leicester vs Watford: Championship Clash of Contrasting Home and Away Fortunes

Leicester City host Watford in a Championship fixture that pits the Foxes' solid home form against Watford's dismal away record. While both teams have identical overall win percentages, their recent performances and home/away splits suggest a clear advantage for the hosts.

This match sets up as a battle between Leicester's desire to control possession at home and Watford's potential to hit on the counter, though their away effectiveness in this regard is questionable. The Foxes will likely look to build from the back with their accurate passing, aiming to exploit the flanks and create shooting opportunities. Watford, conversely, might adopt a more cautious approach away from home, seeking to frustrate Leicester and capitalize on any defensive lapses, but their recent away defensive record (conceding 1.6 per game) suggests they could be vulnerable to Leicester's attacking intent.

Team statistics

England Championship

Leicester

Watford

Matches played

8 - 7 - 7

Results

8 - 8 - 6

36.4%

Win %

36.4%

1.4

Goals scored

1.4

Goals conceded

1.3

Shots on target

4.9

4.3

Shots off target

5.3

Blocked shots

53.2

Ball possession

51.9

82.5

Pass accuracy

80.7

11.3

Fouls

11.7

3.1

Goalkeeper saves

2.5

Yellow cards

0.1

Red cards

0.1

League averages

Key points

• Leicester have won 40% of their home league games this season, while Watford have only managed 10% of their away matches.
• Watford concede an average of 1.6 goals per away game, compared to Leicester's 1.1 goals conceded at home.
• Leicester's recent home form shows an average of 2.3 goals scored per game in their last three.

AI Prediction

Leicester's superior home form and Watford's abysmal away record are the primary drivers here. While Watford have been unbeaten in their last three overall, their away struggles are stark. Leicester's recent home form shows an attacking uptick, and despite Watford's overall defensive solidity, their away concessions suggest they are susceptible. The odds also slightly favour Leicester, aligning with the statistical picture.

AI

Confidence

Pick

Recent Win% (20)
nova-lite-v1 (fr)

by amazon

85%

HOME

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

47%

O/U

67%

BTTS

50%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ar)

by google

65%

X DRAW

BTTS YES

2.5 UNDER

1x2

47%

O/U

50%

BTTS

57%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (es)

by google

70%

HOME

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

53%

O/U

63%

BTTS

57%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ru)

by google

68%

HOME

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

53%

O/U

50%

BTTS

53%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (vi)

by google

72%

HOME

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

57%

O/U

53%

BTTS

50%
gemini-2.5-flash-lite (en)

by google

75%

HOME

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

53%

O/U

47%

BTTS

57%
llama-3.1-8b-instruct (it)

by meta-llama

72%

X DRAW

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

60%

O/U

47%

BTTS

50%
llama-3.1-8b-instruct (nl)

by meta-llama

75%

HOME

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

47%

O/U

50%

BTTS

43%
llama-3.3-70b-instruct (pt)

by meta-llama

65%

HOME

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

50%

O/U

40%

BTTS

53%
phi-4-multimodal-instruct (id)

by microsoft

85%

HOME

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

53%

O/U

40%

BTTS

50%
mistral-nemo (de)

by mistralai

85%

HOME

BTTS NO

2.5 UNDER

1x2

50%

O/U

47%

BTTS

50%
gpt-oss-120b:exacto (tr)

by openai

68%

AWAY

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

43%

O/U

53%

BTTS

53%
qwen-turbo (th)

by qwen

85%

HOME

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

47%

O/U

53%

BTTS

50%
grok-4.1-fast (ja)

by x-ai

70%

HOME

BTTS YES

2.5 UNDER

1x2

50%

O/U

63%

BTTS

43%
grok-4.1-fast (ko)

by x-ai

72%

HOME

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

50%

O/U

63%

BTTS

43%

H2H

Championship

Match date	Team	Score	Team	O/U 2.5	BTTS
2/10/2024	Leicester	W 2 - 1 L	Watford AWAY	O	Y
11/25/2023	HOME Leicester	W 2 - 0 L	Watford	U	N

Includes records from 2023 onwards.

Team recent

Leicester

H/A	VS	Score	Results	O/U 2.5	BTTS	Cor 9.5
AWAY	QPR	1 - 4	L	O	Y	N
HOME	Ipswich	3 - 1	W	O	Y	Y
AWAY	Bristol City	2 - 2	D	O	Y	N
AWAY	Derby	3 - 1	W	O	Y	N
HOME	Sheffield Utd	2 - 3	L	O	Y	N
AWAY	Southampton	0 - 3	L	O	N	N
HOME	Stoke City	2 - 1	W	O	Y	N
AWAY	Norwich	2 - 1	W	O	Y	N
HOME	Middlesbrough	1 - 1	D	U	Y	N
HOME	Blackburn	0 - 2	L	U	N	Y

Leicester City have shown a decent, albeit not spectacular, level of performance throughout the season, scoring and conceding at an average rate of 1.4 goals per game. Their home form is a noticeable positive, with a 40% win rate and a tendency to score slightly more than their season average. Recent home performances have been particularly encouraging, with two wins in their last three at home, including a strong 3-1 victory in their most recent outing. They maintain decent possession at home and generally control the passing game.

Watford

H/A	VS	Score	Results	O/U 2.5	BTTS	Cor 9.5
HOME	Stoke City	1 - 0	W	U	N	Y
AWAY	Wrexham	2 - 2	D	O	Y	N
HOME	Sheffield Wednesday	1 - 1	D	U	Y	Y
HOME	Norwich	3 - 2	W	O	Y	Y
AWAY	Birmingham	1 - 2	L	O	Y	Y
HOME	Preston	1 - 1	D	U	Y	Y
AWAY	Derby	3 - 2	W	O	Y	N
HOME	Bristol City	1 - 1	D	U	Y	Y
AWAY	Ipswich	1 - 1	D	U	Y	Y
HOME	Middlesbrough	3 - 0	W	O	N	N

Watford present a curious statistical profile. Overall, they mirror Leicester's win percentage but their away form is a significant concern, marked by only one win in ten attempts and a concerning 50% loss rate. They concede more goals on the road than they score, and their recent away form has seen them struggle to convert chances, despite generating a decent number of shots in their last away game. Their recent overall form is unbeaten in three, but this includes two draws, and their last match ended 1-1 after a challenging away performance.

Over

Under

Yes

Odds

1x2

HOME

2.25

DRAW

3.4

AWAY

3.2

2.5 OVER/UNDER

OVER

1.91

UNDER

1.91

BTTS

YES

1.67

2.1

Lineups

Lineup information is currently unavailable. It will be updated 1 hour before kickoff.

Average Player Rating

Injuries / suspensions

Leicester

Name	Reason	Type	G/A
P. Daka	International duty	Missing Fixture	3 / 3
B. Soumare	Knee Injury	Missing Fixture	0 / 2
H. Souttar	Achilles Tendon Injury	Missing Fixture	- / -
V. Kristiansen	Knock	Questionable	0 / 0

Watford

Name	Reason	Type	G/A
K. Baah	Hamstring Injury	Missing Fixture	1 / 1
M. Doumbia	International duty	Missing Fixture	5 / 0
J. Grieves	Ankle Injury	Missing Fixture	0 / 0
R. Vata	Hamstring Injury	Missing Fixture	2 / 2
C. Wiley	Muscle Injury	Missing Fixture	0 / 0
E. Kayembe	International duty	Missing Fixture	4 / 1

League table

England Championship

#	Team	Played	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Coventry	24	15	7	2	54	23	31	52	WDWDL
2	Middlesbrough	23	12	7	4	33	24	9	43	DLWWW
3	Ipswich	24	10	9	5	38	23	15	39	DWLWW
4	Hull City	23	11	5	7	39	37	2	38	DWWWL
5	Preston	23	9	10	4	30	23	7	37	DDWDD
6	Bristol City	23	10	6	7	32	25	7	36	WWLDL
7	Millwall	23	10	6	7	25	31	-6	36	DLLDW
8	Watford	23	9	8	6	33	29	4	35	WWDDW
9	QPR	23	10	5	8	33	35	-2	35	DWLWW
10	Stoke City	23	10	4	9	28	21	7	34	DLWLL
11	Derby	23	8	8	7	32	31	1	32	DDWDL
12	Southampton	23	8	7	8	37	33	4	31	LDLWW
13	Wrexham	23	7	10	6	32	30	2	31	WLDLD
14	Leicester	23	8	7	8	32	33	-1	31	LLWDW
15	Birmingham	23	8	6	9	31	30	1	30	DLDLL
16	West Brom	23	8	4	11	26	31	-5	28	LLWLL
17	Charlton	22	7	6	9	21	27	-6	27	LWDLL
18	Blackburn	22	7	5	10	22	26	-4	26	DWLDD
19	Sheffield Utd	23	8	2	13	31	36	-5	26	LWLDW
20	Swansea	23	7	5	11	24	31	-7	26	LWLWW
21	Oxford United	23	5	7	11	24	32	-8	22	WLLDL
22	Portsmouth	22	5	7	10	19	29	-10	22	DDWLL
23	Norwich	23	5	6	12	26	35	-9	21	WDWDL
24	Sheffield Wednesday	22	1	7	14	18	45	-27	-8	DLLDL

Leicester vs Watford AI Match Preview, Prediction, Team Stats Comparison, League table

Preview

Leicester vs Watford: Championship Clash of Contrasting Home and Away Fortunes

Team statistics

Team Stats Comparison

Key points

AI Prediction

H2H

Team recent

Leicester Team recent

Watford Team recent

Odds

Injuries / suspensions

Leicester Injuries / suspensions

Watford Injuries / suspensions

League table