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England Championship
Hull City logo
Hull City
Middlesbrough logo
Middlesbrough

Preview

Hull City vs Middlesbrough: Championship Final Showdown - Defensive Prowess Meets Attacking Flair

The Championship Final sees Hull City host Middlesbrough in what promises to be a fascinating tactical battle. Hull's recent defensive solidity faces Middlesbrough's potent, if inconsistent, attack, with both sides having shown flashes of brilliance throughout the season.

This final looks set to be a clash of styles. Hull's recent tactical shift, evidenced by a drop in possession and passing accuracy, points towards a more compact, potentially low-block approach, aiming to frustrate Middlesbrough and hit them on transitions or set pieces. Middlesbrough, with their higher possession and shot counts, will look to probe Hull's defence, likely employing patient build-up play and wide overloads. The key will be Hull's ability to maintain their recent defensive discipline against Middlesbrough's increased attacking output, particularly their high volume of shots and corners. Middlesbrough’s recent struggles with defensive solidity, conceding in all of their last three matches, might offer Hull an avenue.

Team statistics

England Championship
Filter by Period

Team Stats Comparison

Home Team Matches
Away Team Matches
Hull City
VS
Middlesbrough
48
Matches played
48
22 - 11 - 15
Results
22 - 16 - 10
45.8%
Win %
45.8%
1.5
Goals scored
1.5
1.4
Goals conceded
1
4.1
Shots on target
5
3.6
Shots off target
5.6
3.3
Blocked shots
5.8
45.4
Ball possession
59.2
72.1
Pass accuracy
84
11.2
Fouls
9.5
3.2
Goalkeeper saves
2.3
2.5
Yellow cards
1.6
0
Red cards
0
League averages

Key points

  • • Hull City have conceded only 0.3 goals per game in their last three matches.
  • • Middlesbrough average 16.3 shots per game over the season, significantly higher than Hull's 11.1.
  • • Middlesbrough's away scoring record is slightly better than their home record, averaging 1.6 goals per game on the road.

AI Prediction

While Hull's recent defensive form is impressive, Middlesbrough's season-long attacking statistics and higher shot volume suggest they possess the tools to break them down. The odds favour Middlesbrough, and their greater attacking threat, despite recent draws, edges them as the slight favourite. Both teams have shown they can score and concede, pointing towards a game where both find the net.

  • AI
    Confidence
    Pick
    Recent Win% (20)
  • amazon/nova-lite-v1
    nova-lite-v1 (fr)
    by amazon
    70%
    X DRAW
    BTTS NO
    2.5 UNDER
    1x2
    27%
    O/U
    50%
    BTTS
    67%
  • deepseek/deepseek-v4-pro
    deepseek-v4-pro (ja)
    by deepseek
    68%
    Middlesbrough AWAY
    BTTS YES
    2.5 UNDER
    1x2
    37%
    O/U
    57%
    BTTS
    63%
  • google/gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001
    gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ar)
    by google
    68%
    Middlesbrough AWAY
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    33%
    O/U
    47%
    BTTS
    70%
  • google/gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001
    gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (es)
    by google
    68%
    Middlesbrough AWAY
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    30%
    O/U
    50%
    BTTS
    63%
  • google/gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001
    gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ru)
    by google
    68%
    Middlesbrough AWAY
    BTTS YES
    2.5 UNDER
    1x2
    27%
    O/U
    47%
    BTTS
    67%
  • google/gemini-2.5-flash-lite
    gemini-2.5-flash-lite (en)
    by google
    65%
    Middlesbrough AWAY
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    30%
    O/U
    43%
    BTTS
    53%
  • meta-llama/llama-3.1-8b-instruct
    llama-3.1-8b-instruct (it)
    by meta-llama
    80%
    Hull City HOME
    BTTS NO
    2.5 UNDER
    1x2
    33%
    O/U
    37%
    BTTS
    53%
  • meta-llama/llama-3.3-70b-instruct
    llama-3.3-70b-instruct (pt)
    by meta-llama
    65%
    Middlesbrough AWAY
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    23%
    O/U
    53%
    BTTS
    57%
  • openai/gpt-oss-120b:free
    gpt-oss-120b:free (tr)
    by openai
    68%
    X DRAW
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    37%
    O/U
    33%
    BTTS
    57%
  • x-ai/grok-4.3
    grok-4.3 (ko)
    by x-ai
    67%
    Middlesbrough AWAY
    BTTS YES
    2.5 UNDER
    1x2
    27%
    O/U
    37%
    BTTS
    60%

H2H

Championship
Match dateTeamScoreTeamO/U 2.5BTTS
12/29/2025
Hull City
W 1 - 0 L
Middlesbrough
AWAY
UN
12/5/2025HOME
Hull City
L 1 - 4 W
Middlesbrough
OY
1/1/2025HOME
Hull City
L 0 - 1 W
Middlesbrough
UN
11/30/2024
Hull City
L 1 - 3 W
Middlesbrough
AWAY
OY
4/10/2024HOME
Hull City
D 2 - 2 D
Middlesbrough
OY
12/13/2023
Hull City
W 2 - 1 L
Middlesbrough
AWAY
OY
Includes records from 2023 onwards.

Team recent

Hull City Team recent

Hull City logo
Hull City
Home Team Matches
Match dateH/AVSScoreResultsO/U 2.5BTTSCor 9.5
AWAY
Millwall2 - 0WUNY
HOME
Millwall0 - 0DUNN
HOME
Norwich2 - 1WOYN
AWAY
Charlton1 - 2LOYY
AWAY
Leicester2 - 2DOYY
HOME
Birmingham1 - 1DUYN
AWAY
Sheffield Utd1 - 2LOYN
HOME
Coventry0 - 0DUNN
AWAY
Oxford United1 - 1DUYY
HOME
Sheffield Wednesday3 - 1WOYN

Hull City have navigated the season with a respectable, if not spectacular, record. Their overall numbers show a team that scores and concedes at a similar rate, often relying on a solid structure. However, their recent form is the real story here; a remarkable three-match unbeaten run, featuring two draws and a win, has been built on an exceptionally stingy defence that has conceded just 0.3 goals per game over that spell. This defensive resilience, even with a dip in possession and passing accuracy in those recent games, suggests they can make themselves very difficult to break down in a high-stakes final.

Middlesbrough Team recent

Middlesbrough logo
Middlesbrough
Away Team Matches
Match dateH/AVSScoreResultsO/U 2.5BTTSCor 9.5
AWAY
Southampton1 - 1DUYY
HOME
Southampton0 - 0DUNY
AWAY
Wrexham2 - 2DOYN
HOME
Watford5 - 1WOYY
HOME
Sheffield Wednesday1 - 0WUNY
AWAY
Ipswich2 - 2DOYN
HOME
Portsmouth0 - 1LUNY
AWAY
Swansea2 - 2DOYY
HOME
Millwall1 - 2LOYY
AWAY
Blackburn0 - 0DUNY

Middlesbrough, conversely, have demonstrated a more attacking intent over the season, boasting higher shot volumes and possession statistics. Their recent form, however, has been a mixed bag. While they haven't lost in their last three, all have been draws, with their attack managing 1 goal per game and their defence conceding the same. This suggests a team that can create chances but struggles to fully assert dominance, particularly evident in their last outing where possession dropped significantly and they conceded a goal. Their away form over the season is solid, but recent struggles to convert dominance into wins could be a concern.

O
Over
U
Under
Y
Yes
N
No

Odds

1x2
Hull City
HOME
4.1
DRAW
3.7
Middlesbrough
AWAY
1.83
2.5 OVER/UNDER
OVER
2
UNDER
1.8
BTTS
YES
1.83
NO
1.83
Lineups

Lineup information is currently unavailable. It will be updated 1 hour before kickoff.

Average Player Rating

Injuries / suspensions

No injury/suspension information available.

League table

England Championship
#TeamPlayedWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Coventry24157254233152WDWDL
2Middlesbrough2312743324943DLWWW
3Ipswich24109538231539DWLWW
4Hull City2311573937238DWWWL
5Preston2391043023737DDWDD
6Bristol City2310673225736WWLDL
7Millwall2310672531-636DLLDW
8Watford239863329435WWDDW
9QPR2310583335-235DWLWW
10Stoke City2310492821734DLWLL
11Derby238873231132DDWDL
12Southampton238783733431LDLWW
13Wrexham2371063230231WLDLD
14Leicester238783233-131LLWDW
15Birmingham238693130130DLDLL
16West Brom2384112631-528LLWLL
17Charlton227692127-627LWDLL
18Blackburn2275102226-426DWLDD
19Sheffield Utd2382133136-526LWLDW
20Swansea2375112431-726LWLWW
21Oxford United2357112432-822WLLDL
22Portsmouth2257101929-1022DDWLL
23Norwich2356122635-921WDWDL
24Sheffield Wednesday2217141845-27-8DLLDL
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