Derby vs West Brom - AI Match Preview

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England Championship

Derby

West Brom

Match Events

Karlan Grant

40'

Aune Selland Heggebø

Patrick Agyemang

44'

53'

Jayson Molumby

Lewis Travis

59'

Callum Elder

83'

90'

Chris Mepham

Preview

Derby vs West Brom: A Championship Clash of Contrasting Fortunes

Derby County host West Bromwich Albion in a Championship fixture that pits a team showing recent signs of life against a side in a worrying slump. While the visitors possess a strong overall defensive record, their recent form suggests vulnerabilities that the Rams may be able to exploit.

This fixture presents a fascinating tactical dynamic. Derby's recent attacking improvement, coupled with their home advantage and the visitors' dire away form, suggests they will aim to seize control. They'll look to leverage their improved shot volume in recent games and potentially exploit West Brom's defensive frailties. The Baggies, despite their overall defensive solidity, have shown they can be breached recently, especially in their last fixture where their back line was porous. Derby's recent uptick in corner kicks might also offer a route to goal. West Brom's possession-based style may struggle to assert itself given Derby's own recent improvements and the visitors' struggles away from home.

Team statistics

England Championship

Derby

West Brom

Matches played

11 - 8 - 9

Results

9 - 4 - 15

39.3%

Win %

32.1%

1.4

Goals scored

1.1

1.3

Goals conceded

1.5

3.4

Shots on target

4.4

3.8

Shots off target

5.4

2.9

Blocked shots

4.1

42.1

Ball possession

51.7

72.1

Pass accuracy

81.5

11.8

Fouls

10.1

2.9

Goalkeeper saves

2.1

2.5

Yellow cards

1.6

0.1

Red cards

0.1

League averages

Key points

• West Brom have lost 78.6% of their away games this season.
• Derby have won two of their last three matches, a marked improvement.
• West Brom conceded an average of 3.3 goals per game in their last three fixtures.

AI Prediction

The stark contrast in recent form between Derby and West Brom is too significant to ignore. While West Brom's season-long defensive numbers are respectable, their last three games have been disastrous, conceding heavily. Derby, conversely, have shown recent signs of life, particularly at home. The odds suggest a relatively even contest, but Derby's momentum and West Brom's away day woes point towards a home victory.

AI

Confidence

Pick

Recent Win% (20)
nova-lite-v1 (fr)

by amazon

78%

HOME

BTTS YES

2.5 UNDER

1x2

57%

O/U

43%

BTTS

47%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ar)

by google

65%

X DRAW

BTTS YES

2.5 UNDER

1x2

47%

O/U

47%

BTTS

70%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (es)

by google

68%

X DRAW

BTTS NO

2.5 UNDER

1x2

40%

O/U

63%

BTTS

70%

H2H

Championship H2H 기록입니다.

Match date	Team	Score	Team	O/U 2.5	BTTS
9/13/2025	Derby	W 1 - 0 L	West Brom HOME	U	N
4/21/2025	Derby	W 3 - 1 L	West Brom HOME	O	Y
12/26/2024	HOME Derby	W 2 - 1 L	West Brom	O	Y

Includes records from 2023 onwards.

Team recent

Derby

H/A	VS	Score	Results	O/U 2.5	BTTS	Cor 9.5
AWAY	Charlton	2 - 1	W	O	Y	N
AWAY	Preston	1 - 0	W	U	N	Y
HOME	Wrexham	1 - 2	L	O	Y	Y
HOME	Middlesbrough	1 - 0	W	U	N	N
AWAY	Leicester	1 - 2	L	O	Y	N
AWAY	Birmingham	1 - 1	D	U	Y	N
HOME	Portsmouth	1 - 1	D	U	Y	Y
AWAY	Sheffield Wednesday	3 - 0	W	O	N	Y
HOME	Millwall	1 - 1	D	U	Y	Y
HOME	Leicester	1 - 3	L	O	Y	Y

Derby County find themselves in a peculiar position. Season-long statistics paint a picture of a side that struggles for consistency, with a negative goal difference and a win rate barely above 30%. However, their last three outings show a significant upturn, yielding two wins and a more respectable scoring average. This recent surge, particularly the last home performance which saw them concede twice, indicates they might be building some momentum, though their overall home record remains unconvincing. They've been drawing more than winning at home and concede more than they score there across the season.

West Brom

H/A	VS	Score	Results	O/U 2.5	BTTS	Cor 9.5
HOME	Norwich	0 - 5	L	O	N	Y
HOME	Middlesbrough	2 - 3	L	O	Y	N
AWAY	Leicester	1 - 2	L	O	Y	N
AWAY	Swansea	0 - 1	L	U	N	Y
HOME	QPR	2 - 1	W	O	Y	Y
HOME	Bristol City	1 - 2	L	O	Y	Y
AWAY	Hull City	0 - 1	L	U	N	N
HOME	Sheffield Utd	2 - 0	W	U	N	Y
AWAY	Southampton	2 - 3	L	O	Y	Y
AWAY	QPR	1 - 3	L	O	Y	N

West Bromwich Albion's season statistics suggest a team that is defensively sound but lacks a potent attacking edge, conceding more than they score overall. Their away record is particularly concerning, with a staggering 78.6% of their away fixtures ending in defeat. This alarming trend is further amplified by their last three matches, where they've suffered three straight losses, conceding an average of over three goals per game. The most recent defeat was particularly heavy, highlighting a significant defensive fragility that will worry their supporters.

Over

Under

Yes

Odds

1x2

HOME

2.5

DRAW

3.1

AWAY

2.88

2.5 OVER/UNDER

OVER

2.38

UNDER

1.57

BTTS

YES

1.91

1.8

Lineups

Derby

(4-2-3-1)

Jacob Widell Zetterström

Callum Elder

Danny Batth

Sondre Langås

Joe Ward

David Ozoh

Lewis Travis

Rhian Brewster

Bobby Clark

Ben Brereton Díaz

Patrick Agyemang

Aune Selland Heggebø

Karlan Grant

Jayson Molumby

Ousmane Diakité

Michael Johnston

Callum Styles

George Campbell

Nathaniel Phillips

Krystian Bielik

Isaac Price

Max O'Leary

West Brom

(5-4-1)

Average Player Rating

Injuries / suspensions

Derby

Name	Reason	Type	G/A
D. Sanderson	Inactive	Questionable	1 / 0
M. Clarke	Red Card	Missing Fixture	3 / 4
M. Johnston	Hamstring Injury	Missing Fixture	0 / 0
C. Morris	Ankle Injury	Missing Fixture	12 / 2
D. Batth	Inactive	Questionable	0 / 0

West Brom

Name	Reason	Type	G/A
O. Diakite	Injury	Missing Fixture	1 / 0
J. Molumby	Inactive	Questionable	2 / 2
A. Mowatt	Inactive	Questionable	1 / 4

League table

England Championship

#	Team	Played	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
Championship
1	Coventry	24	15	7	2	54	23	31	52	WDWDL
2	Middlesbrough	23	12	7	4	33	24	9	43	DLWWW
3	Ipswich	24	10	9	5	38	23	15	39	DWLWW
4	Hull City	23	11	5	7	39	37	2	38	DWWWL
5	Preston	23	9	10	4	30	23	7	37	DDWDD
6	Bristol City	23	10	6	7	32	25	7	36	WWLDL
7	Millwall	23	10	6	7	25	31	-6	36	DLLDW
8	Watford	23	9	8	6	33	29	4	35	WWDDW
9	QPR	23	10	5	8	33	35	-2	35	DWLWW
10	Stoke City	23	10	4	9	28	21	7	34	DLWLL
11	Derby	23	8	8	7	32	31	1	32	DDWDL
12	Southampton	23	8	7	8	37	33	4	31	LDLWW
13	Wrexham	23	7	10	6	32	30	2	31	WLDLD
14	Leicester	23	8	7	8	32	33	-1	31	LLWDW
15	Birmingham	23	8	6	9	31	30	1	30	DLDLL
16	West Brom	23	8	4	11	26	31	-5	28	LLWLL
17	Charlton	22	7	6	9	21	27	-6	27	LWDLL
18	Blackburn	22	7	5	10	22	26	-4	26	DWLDD
19	Sheffield Utd	23	8	2	13	31	36	-5	26	LWLDW
20	Swansea	23	7	5	11	24	31	-7	26	LWLWW
21	Oxford United	23	5	7	11	24	32	-8	22	WLLDL
22	Portsmouth	22	5	7	10	19	29	-10	22	DDWLL
23	Norwich	23	5	6	12	26	35	-9	21	WDWDL
24	Sheffield Wednesday	22	1	7	14	18	45	-27	-8	DLLDL

Derby vs West Brom AI Match Preview, Prediction, Team Stats Comparison, League table

Match Events

Preview

Derby vs West Brom: A Championship Clash of Contrasting Fortunes

Team statistics

Team Stats Comparison

Key points

AI Prediction

H2H

Team recent

Derby Team recent

West Brom Team recent

Odds

Lineups

Derby

West Brom

Injuries / suspensions

Derby Injuries / suspensions

West Brom Injuries / suspensions

League table