Derby vs Swansea - AI Match Preview

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England Championship

Derby

Swansea

Match Events

Patrick Agyemang

27'

44'

Marko Stamenić

Rhian Brewster

47'

Matthew Clarke

51'

Patrick Agyemang

67'

76'

Ben Cabango

Preview

Championship Showdown: Derby Host Swansea in Crucial Mid-Table Clash

Derby County welcome Swansea City to Pride Park in a Championship fixture that could significantly impact their respective league positions. While Derby have shown recent attacking promise, Swansea arrive with a formidable recent away record, setting the stage for a fascinating tactical battle.

This match pits Derby's recent attacking resurgence against Swansea's newfound defensive resilience and potent away form. Derby, who tend to dominate possession at home, will likely seek to build from the back and utilize their passing game to break down Swansea. The visitors, however, have shown a capacity to be clinical in transition, and their recent high shot volume suggests they will look to exploit any spaces left by Derby's attacking forays. Expect Swansea to employ a compact shape when out of possession, aiming to stifle Derby's midfield and launch quick counter-attacks.

Team statistics

England Championship

Derby

Swansea

Matches played

12 - 9 - 10

Results

12 - 6 - 13

38.7%

Win %

38.7%

1.5

Goals scored

1.2

1.3

Goals conceded

1.2

3.3

Shots on target

3.8

Shots off target

4.3

2.9

Blocked shots

4.2

42.9

Ball possession

54.9

Pass accuracy

79.5

11.8

Fouls

9.7

2.9

Goalkeeper saves

3.3

2.4

Yellow cards

0.1

Red cards

League averages

Key points

• Swansea have won all of their last three matches, scoring an average of 2.3 goals per game.
• Derby's recent form has seen their scoring average jump to 2.3 goals per game over their last three fixtures.
• Swansea's last away game saw them score 5 goals, a significant improvement on their season average.

AI Prediction

The odds suggest a relatively tight contest, with Derby slightly favoured at home. However, Swansea's recent impressive form, especially their attacking prowess in their last three games and their last away fixture, cannot be ignored. Derby's own recent goal-scoring surge and home advantage make them a threat. Given both teams' recent offensive output and the statistics suggesting potential for goals at both ends, a high-scoring draw appears the most likely outcome.

AI

Confidence

Pick

Recent Win% (20)
nova-lite-v1 (fr)

by amazon

70%

AWAY

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

30%

O/U

50%

BTTS

63%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ar)

by google

65%

X DRAW

BTTS YES

2.5 UNDER

1x2

53%

O/U

70%

BTTS

67%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (es)

by google

68%

X DRAW

BTTS NO

2.5 UNDER

1x2

57%

O/U

57%

BTTS

47%

H2H

Championship

Match date	Team	Score	Team	O/U 2.5	BTTS
11/25/2025	Derby	W 2 - 1 L	Swansea AWAY	O	Y
4/5/2025	Derby	L 0 - 1 W	Swansea AWAY	U	N
11/27/2024	HOME Derby	L 1 - 2 W	Swansea	O	Y

Includes records from 2023 onwards.

Team recent

Derby

H/A	VS	Score	Results	O/U 2.5	BTTS	Cor 9.5
HOME	Ipswich	1 - 2	L	O	Y	N
AWAY	Bristol City	5 - 0	W	O	N	N
HOME	West Brom	1 - 1	D	U	Y	N
AWAY	Charlton	2 - 1	W	O	Y	N
AWAY	Preston	1 - 0	W	U	N	Y
HOME	Wrexham	1 - 2	L	O	Y	Y
HOME	Middlesbrough	1 - 0	W	U	N	N
AWAY	Leicester	1 - 2	L	O	Y	N
AWAY	Birmingham	1 - 1	D	U	Y	N
HOME	Portsmouth	1 - 1	D	U	Y	Y

Derby County have endured a somewhat inconsistent season, balancing periods of solid performance with frustrating dips. Their overall record shows a team that struggles to win away from home, often conceding more than they score. However, recent form offers a glimmer of hope, particularly in their last three outings where their offensive output has significantly increased, averaging over two goals per game. This attacking surge has been evident even in their home fixtures during this short spell, though a loss in their most recent home game would be a concern.

Swansea

H/A	VS	Score	Results	O/U 2.5	BTTS	Cor 9.5
HOME	Sheffield Wednesday	4 - 0	W	O	N	Y
AWAY	Watford	2 - 0	W	U	N	Y
AWAY	Hull City	1 - 2	L	O	Y	Y
HOME	Blackburn	3 - 1	W	O	Y	N
HOME	Birmingham	1 - 1	D	U	Y	Y
AWAY	Millwall	1 - 2	L	O	Y	N
HOME	West Brom	1 - 0	W	U	N	N
AWAY	Oxford United	1 - 0	W	U	N	Y
AWAY	Coventry	0 - 1	L	U	N	N
HOME	Wrexham	2 - 1	W	O	Y	Y

Swansea City present a stark contrast in recent form. They have been outstanding in their last three matches, securing maximum points and showing a remarkable defensive solidity, conceding less than a goal per game on average. This recent upturn is particularly notable away from home, where they are in a rich vein of scoring form, finding the net multiple times in their last fixture. Their overall season statistics indicate a team capable of scoring but often undone by defensive frailties on the road, making their current away form all the more impressive.

Over

Under

Yes

Odds

1x2

HOME

2.45

DRAW

3.2

AWAY

2.88

2.5 OVER/UNDER

OVER

2.2

UNDER

1.67

BTTS

YES

1.83

Lineups

Lineup information is currently unavailable. It will be updated 1 hour before kickoff.

Average Player Rating

Injuries / suspensions

Derby

Name	Reason	Type	G/A
S. Langas	Hamstring Injury	Missing Fixture	- / -
C. Morris	Ankle Injury	Missing Fixture	- / -
L. Travis	Red Card	Missing Fixture	- / -
J. Widell Zetterstrom	Illness	Missing Fixture	- / -
M. Johnston	Hamstring Injury	Questionable	- / -

Swansea

Name	Reason	Type	G/A
A. Idah	Groin Injury	Missing Fixture	- / -
Z. Inoussa	Injury	Missing Fixture	- / -
R. Santos	Inactive	Missing Fixture	- / -
M. Widell	Inactive	Questionable	- / -

League table

England Championship

#	Team	Played	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Coventry	24	15	7	2	54	23	31	52	WDWDL
2	Middlesbrough	23	12	7	4	33	24	9	43	DLWWW
3	Ipswich	24	10	9	5	38	23	15	39	DWLWW
4	Hull City	23	11	5	7	39	37	2	38	DWWWL
5	Preston	23	9	10	4	30	23	7	37	DDWDD
6	Bristol City	23	10	6	7	32	25	7	36	WWLDL
7	Millwall	23	10	6	7	25	31	-6	36	DLLDW
8	Watford	23	9	8	6	33	29	4	35	WWDDW
9	QPR	23	10	5	8	33	35	-2	35	DWLWW
10	Stoke City	23	10	4	9	28	21	7	34	DLWLL
11	Derby	23	8	8	7	32	31	1	32	DDWDL
12	Southampton	23	8	7	8	37	33	4	31	LDLWW
13	Wrexham	23	7	10	6	32	30	2	31	WLDLD
14	Leicester	23	8	7	8	32	33	-1	31	LLWDW
15	Birmingham	23	8	6	9	31	30	1	30	DLDLL
16	West Brom	23	8	4	11	26	31	-5	28	LLWLL
17	Charlton	22	7	6	9	21	27	-6	27	LWDLL
18	Blackburn	22	7	5	10	22	26	-4	26	DWLDD
19	Sheffield Utd	23	8	2	13	31	36	-5	26	LWLDW
20	Swansea	23	7	5	11	24	31	-7	26	LWLWW
21	Oxford United	23	5	7	11	24	32	-8	22	WLLDL
22	Portsmouth	22	5	7	10	19	29	-10	22	DDWLL
23	Norwich	23	5	6	12	26	35	-9	21	WDWDL
24	Sheffield Wednesday	22	1	7	14	18	45	-27	-8	DLLDL

Derby vs Swansea AI Match Preview, Prediction, Team Stats Comparison, League table

Match Events

Preview

Championship Showdown: Derby Host Swansea in Crucial Mid-Table Clash

Team statistics

Team Stats Comparison

Key points

AI Prediction

H2H

Team recent

Derby Team recent

Swansea Team recent

Odds

Lineups

Injuries / suspensions

Derby Injuries / suspensions

Swansea Injuries / suspensions

League table