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Werder Bremen vs Borussia Dortmund: Hosts Seek Home Spark Against High-Flying Visitors
In the final matchday of the Bundesliga season, struggling Werder Bremen host a Borussia Dortmund side that has secured their Champions League spot. Bremen will be looking to end their campaign on a positive note at home, but Dortmund's superior form and attacking prowess make them strong favourites.
Dortmund are expected to dominate possession and push the tempo, looking to exploit Bremen's defensive frailties through quick transitions and their potent attack. Bremen, playing at home, might aim to establish a more patient build-up, but their recent poor offensive output and the pressure of facing a superior opponent suggests they may struggle to break down Dortmund's defence. The home side's recent discipline issues, including a red card in their last match, could be a critical vulnerability against a Dortmund side that has been clinical in attack.
Team statistics
Team Stats Comparison
Key points
- • Borussia Dortmund average 1.8 goals per away game, significantly outscoring Werder Bremen's 1.2 at home.
- • Werder Bremen have lost two of their last three home matches, scoring only one goal in that period.
- • Dortmund have won 50% of their away games this season, demonstrating consistent performance on the road.
AI Prediction
Borussia Dortmund's superior attacking numbers, strong away form, and recent scoring record clearly position them as favourites. While Bremen have shown flashes at home, their recent slump and defensive concerns against a potent Dortmund attack make an away win the most logical outcome. The odds reflect Dortmund's favouritism, and given both teams' scoring tendencies, a game with over 2.5 goals and both teams finding the net seems probable.
- AIConfidencePickRecent Win% (20)
nova-lite-v1 (fr)by amazon85% AWAYBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x247%O/U60%BTTS47%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ar)by google70% AWAYBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x237%O/U73%BTTS57%- gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (es)by google70% AWAYBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x250%O/U70%BTTS60%
- gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ru)by google70% AWAYBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x247%O/U60%BTTS60%
- gemini-2.5-flash-lite (en)by google72% AWAYBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x240%O/U63%BTTS57%
llama-3.1-8b-instruct (it)by meta-llama85% AWAYBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x243%O/U77%BTTS67%- llama-3.3-70b-instruct (pt)by meta-llama80% AWAYBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x243%O/U67%BTTS63%
gpt-oss-120b:free (tr)by openai78% AWAYBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x247%O/U60%BTTS53%
grok-4.1-fast (ja)by x-ai78% AWAYBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x243%O/U63%BTTS63%- grok-4.1-fast (ko)by x-ai78% AWAYBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x243%O/U67%BTTS70%
H2H
Team recent
Werder Bremen Team recent
| Match date | H/A | VS | Score | Results | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | Cor 9.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AWAY | 1899 Hoffenheim | 0 - 1 | |||||
HOME | FC Augsburg | 1 - 3 | |||||
AWAY | VfB Stuttgart | 1 - 1 | |||||
HOME | Hamburger SV | 3 - 1 | |||||
AWAY | 1. FC Köln | 1 - 3 | |||||
HOME | RB Leipzig | 1 - 2 | |||||
AWAY | VfL Wolfsburg | 1 - 0 | |||||
HOME | FSV Mainz 05 | 0 - 2 | |||||
AWAY | Union Berlin | 4 - 1 | |||||
HOME | 1. FC Heidenheim | 2 - 0 |
Werder Bremen have endured a difficult season, particularly at home where they've managed only five wins from sixteen outings. Their overall scoring record of 1.1 goals per game is modest, and this dips significantly in their most recent form, with just one goal scored in their last three home matches. The last outing saw a concerning zero goals and a red card, highlighting their struggles to create and finish chances. Possession figures often favour them at home, but this hasn't translated into consistent results.
Borussia Dortmund Team recent
| Match date | H/A | VS | Score | Results | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | Cor 9.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HOME | Eintracht Frankfurt | 3 - 2 | |||||
AWAY | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 0 - 1 | |||||
HOME | SC Freiburg | 4 - 0 | |||||
AWAY | 1899 Hoffenheim | 1 - 2 | |||||
HOME | Bayer Leverkusen | 0 - 1 | |||||
AWAY | VfB Stuttgart | 2 - 0 | |||||
HOME | Hamburger SV | 3 - 2 | |||||
HOME | FC Augsburg | 2 - 0 | |||||
AWAY | 1. FC Köln | 2 - 1 | |||||
HOME | Bayern München | 2 - 3 |
Borussia Dortmund have enjoyed a far more successful season, securing a strong position in the league and a place in next year's Champions League. Their away form is solid, with half of their games on the road yielding victories. They score an impressive 1.8 goals per game on average away from home and have been in good scoring touch recently, netting 2.3 goals across their last three fixtures. Despite a recent loss on the road, their overall attacking threat remains significant.
Odds
Lineup information is currently unavailable. It will be updated 1 hour before kickoff.