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Sturm Graz vs Rapid Vienna: Hosts Look to Leverage Home Advantage in Bundesliga Showdown
Sturm Graz host Rapid Vienna in a crucial Bundesliga fixture. While Sturm Graz have a mixed home record this season, they come into this encounter with a statistically stronger profile than their visitors, who have been particularly poor on the road recently. This match could well be decided by the home side's ability to impose their game.
This fixture pits Sturm Graz's more patient build-up, evidenced by higher passing accuracy and possession figures, against Rapid Vienna's tendency for faster transitions, particularly in their recent away form. Sturm Graz's home advantage, where they typically enjoy more of the ball, suggests they will attempt to control the rhythm of the game, probing for openings. Rapid Vienna, despite their overall possession stats, have shown a vulnerability in their recent away matches, conceding an average of 2 goals per game across their last three away fixtures, which Sturm Graz will likely aim to exploit.
Team statistics
Team Stats Comparison
Key points
- • Sturm Graz have averaged 1.6 goals per game overall this season, compared to Rapid Vienna's 1.2.
- • Rapid Vienna have lost two of their last three matches, conceding 1.7 goals per game in that period.
- • Sturm Graz's home record shows an equal split of wins, draws, and losses, but they have drawn their last three home games.
AI Prediction
Sturm Graz's home fixture against Rapid Vienna sees the hosts as slight favourites, supported by their superior overall defensive record and the visitors' concerning recent away form. While Rapid Vienna have decent away statistics over the season, their last three away games show a marked decline in defensive stability and goal-scoring threat. Sturm Graz, despite recent draws, have the offensive capability and home advantage to secure a victory here, and the likelihood of both teams finding the net is high given their respective scoring and conceding patterns.
- AIConfidencePickRecent Win% (20)
nova-lite-v1 (fr)by amazon70% HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x230%O/U60%BTTS43%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ar)by google65%X DRAWBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x230%O/U63%BTTS47%- gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (es)by google70% HOMEBTTS NO2.5 UNDER1x243%O/U57%BTTS50%
- gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ru)by google70% HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x243%O/U60%BTTS53%
- gemini-2.5-flash-lite (en)by google65% HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x243%O/U60%BTTS50%
llama-3.1-8b-instruct (it)by meta-llama80% HOMEBTTS YES2.5 UNDER1x233%O/U70%BTTS60%- llama-3.3-70b-instruct (pt)by meta-llama65% HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x240%O/U60%BTTS60%
gpt-oss-120b:free (tr)by openai78% HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x237%O/U63%BTTS57%
grok-4.1-fast (ja)by x-ai72% HOMEBTTS NO2.5 UNDER1x240%O/U60%BTTS53%- grok-4.1-fast (ko)by x-ai78% HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x240%O/U70%BTTS53%
H2H
Team recent
Sturm Graz Team recent
| Match date | H/A | VS | Score | Results | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | Cor 9.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AWAY | TSV Hartberg | 4 - 2 | |||||
AWAY | Red Bull Salzburg | 1 - 1 | |||||
HOME | Austria Vienna | 1 - 1 | |||||
HOME | Lask Linz | 1 - 1 | |||||
AWAY | Lask Linz | 1 - 1 | |||||
HOME | TSV Hartberg | 0 - 0 | |||||
AWAY | Rapid Vienna | 2 - 0 | |||||
HOME | Red Bull Salzburg | 1 - 1 | |||||
AWAY | Austria Vienna | 5 - 2 | |||||
HOME | SCR Altach | 2 - 0 |
Sturm Graz have endured a somewhat inconsistent season, particularly at home where they've managed a win and a loss in equal measure across their last ten outings. However, their overall season statistics paint a picture of a side that is generally more solid, averaging more goals scored than their opponents this campaign. Recent form shows three consecutive draws, suggesting a team that is difficult to beat but struggles to convert promising positions into victories, a trend amplified in their last three home games where they've only managed to draw.
Rapid Vienna Team recent
| Match date | H/A | VS | Score | Results | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | Cor 9.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HOME | Austria Vienna | 0 - 2 | |||||
AWAY | Lask Linz | 1 - 3 | |||||
HOME | Red Bull Salzburg | 1 - 0 | |||||
HOME | TSV Hartberg | 0 - 2 | |||||
AWAY | TSV Hartberg | 2 - 2 | |||||
AWAY | Austria Vienna | 1 - 1 | |||||
HOME | Sturm Graz | 0 - 2 | |||||
HOME | Lask Linz | 4 - 2 | |||||
AWAY | Red Bull Salzburg | 1 - 0 | |||||
HOME | Red Bull Salzburg | 1 - 0 |
Rapid Vienna present a curious case. Their overall season record is respectable, and they've actually performed better away from home in terms of scoring and winning than at their own ground. However, their most recent form is a significant concern. Two losses in their last three matches, coupled with a very poor showing in their last outing where they conceded two goals and failed to score, points to a team struggling for cutting edge and defensive solidity. Their away form in the last three games has also seen them concede more than they score.
Odds
Lineup information is currently unavailable. It will be updated 1 hour before kickoff.