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Germany Bundesliga
Hamburger SV logo
Hamburger SV
RB Leipzig logo
RB Leipzig

Match Events

F. Vieira
22'
31'
Willi Orbán
36'
Romulo Cardoso
Philip Otele
45'
50'
Y. Diomande
63'
Rômulo
Miro Muheim
81'
Yussuf Poulsen
82'

Preview

Hamburger SV vs RB Leipzig: Hosts Seek Home Boost Against Leipzig's Attack

Hamburger SV hosts RB Leipzig in a Bundesliga clash where the home side will be looking to leverage their improved home form against a Leipzig team that, despite recent unbeaten runs, has shown defensive frailties. Expect a contest where Leipzig's attacking intent clashes with Hamburg's desire to solidify their home turf.

This fixture pits Leipzig's typically possession-based, attacking style against a Hamburg side that has shown an uptick in home performance. Leipzig will likely aim to dominate the ball, using their higher passing accuracy to build attacks, potentially focusing on wide areas. Hamburg, on the other hand, might adopt a more direct approach when they win possession, looking to use their recent home scoring form to hit Leipzig on the counter or exploit any defensive lapses. The hosts' resilience in recent home draws suggests they can frustrate opponents, but Leipzig's overall attacking quality is undeniable.

Team statistics

Germany Bundesliga
Filter by Period

Team Stats Comparison

Home Team Matches
Away Team Matches
Hamburger SV
VS
RB Leipzig
22
Matches played
23
6 - 8 - 8
Results
12 - 5 - 6
27.3%
Win %
52.2%
1.1
Goals scored
1.9
1.5
Goals conceded
1.4
4.8
Shots on target
5.7
5.1
Shots off target
5.9
3.3
Blocked shots
4.7
47.5
Ball possession
53.7
81.3
Pass accuracy
84.5
12.4
Fouls
9.2
3
Goalkeeper saves
2.5
2.5
Yellow cards
1.5
0.3
Red cards
0
League averages

Key points

  • • RB Leipzig average 1.9 goals per game this season, compared to Hamburger SV's 1.1.
  • • Hamburger SV have a positive scoring record at home, averaging 1.6 goals in 11 games.
  • • RB Leipzig are unbeaten in their last three matches, though two were draws.

AI Prediction

While Hamburg's home form is encouraging, Leipzig's superior attacking statistics and overall quality make them the slightly stronger proposition. The odds reflect this, favouring the visitors. Both teams have shown recent form that suggests scoring potential, leaning towards a game with goals, making 'both teams to score' and 'over 2.5 goals' attractive propositions.

  • AI
    Confidence
    Pick
    Recent Win% (20)
  • amazon/nova-lite-v1
    nova-lite-v1 (fr)
    by amazon
    70%
    X DRAW
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    23%
    O/U
    47%
    BTTS
    47%
  • google/gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001
    gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ar)
    by google
    70%
    RB Leipzig AWAY
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    47%
    O/U
    47%
    BTTS
    70%
  • google/gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001
    gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (es)
    by google
    65%
    X DRAW
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    40%
    O/U
    63%
    BTTS
    70%

H2H

Bundesliga
Match dateTeamScoreTeamO/U 2.5BTTS
10/18/2025
Hamburger SV
L 1 - 2 W
RB Leipzig
AWAY
OY
Includes records from 2023 onwards.

Team recent

Hamburger SV Team recent

Hamburger SV logo
Hamburger SV
Home Team Matches
Match dateH/AVSScoreResultsO/U 2.5BTTSCor 9.5
AWAY
FSV Mainz 051 - 1DUYN
HOME
Union Berlin3 - 2WOYY
AWAY
1. FC Heidenheim2 - 0WUNY
HOME
Bayern München2 - 2DOYN
AWAY
FC St. Pauli0 - 0DUNN
HOME
Borussia Mönchengladbach0 - 0DUNN
AWAY
SC Freiburg1 - 2LOYN
HOME
Eintracht Frankfurt1 - 1DUYY
AWAY
1899 Hoffenheim1 - 4LOYN
HOME
Werder Bremen3 - 2WOYY

Hamburger SV have shown flashes of resilience, particularly at home where their win rate has climbed to over 45% over the season, averaging 1.6 goals per game. Their recent form of three unbeaten home games, including a high-scoring 3-2 victory in their last outing, suggests they can pose a threat. However, their overall season record still shows more draws and losses than wins, indicating a struggle for consistent dominance, and their average of 1.2 goals conceded at home suggests they can be breached.

RB Leipzig Team recent

RB Leipzig logo
RB Leipzig
Away Team Matches
Match dateH/AVSScoreResultsO/U 2.5BTTSCor 9.5
HOME
Borussia Dortmund2 - 2DOYY
HOME
VfL Wolfsburg2 - 2DOYY
AWAY
1. FC Köln2 - 1WOYN
HOME
FSV Mainz 051 - 2LOYY
AWAY
FC St. Pauli1 - 1DUYN
AWAY
1. FC Heidenheim3 - 0WONN
HOME
Bayern München1 - 5LOYY
HOME
SC Freiburg2 - 0WUNY
HOME
Bayer Leverkusen1 - 3LOYN
AWAY
Union Berlin1 - 3LOYY

RB Leipzig arrive as the more potent attacking force, averaging 1.9 goals per game across the season and a respectable 1.5 away from home. Their recent form is solid, with an unbeaten streak of three games, though two of those were draws. While their away goal scoring has been consistent, they've also conceded 1.4 goals on the road this season, which Hamburg might be able to exploit. Leipzig's possession stats are strong, indicating they like to play on the front foot.

O
Over
U
Under
Y
Yes
N
No

Odds

1x2
Hamburger SV
HOME
3.7
DRAW
3.9
RB Leipzig
AWAY
1.9
2.5 OVER/UNDER
OVER
1.57
UNDER
2.38
BTTS
YES
1.53
NO
2.38

Lineups

Hamburger SV

Hamburger SV

(3-4-2-1)

Daniel Heuer Fernandes
Jordan Torunarigha
Luka Vušković
Nicolás Capaldo
Miro Muheim
Nicolai Remberg
Fábio Vieira
William Mikelbrencis
Philip Otele
Ransford Yeboah Königsdörffer
Damion Downs
Antonio Nusa
Rômulo
Yan Diomande
Christoph Baumgartner
Nicolas Seiwald
Brajan Gruda
David Raum
Castello Lukeba
Willi Orbán
Ridle Baku
Maarten Vandevoordt
RB Leipzig

RB Leipzig

(4-3-3)

Average Player Rating

Injuries / suspensions

Hamburger SV Injuries / suspensions

Hamburger SV logo
Hamburger SV
NameReasonTypeG/A
A. GronbaekThigh InjuryMissing Fixture- / -
A. S. LokongaInjuryMissing Fixture4 / 0
A. Rossing-LelesiitInjuryMissing Fixture0 / 1

RB Leipzig Injuries / suspensions

RB Leipzig logo
RB Leipzig
NameReasonTypeG/A
V. GebelKnee InjuryMissing Fixture0 / 0
P. GulacsiKnee InjuryMissing Fixture0 / 0
K. NedeljkovicBack InjuryMissing Fixture0 / 0
A. OuedraogoKnee InjuryMissing Fixture3 / 3
S. SaniAnkle InjuryMissing Fixture- / -
X. SchlagerGroin InjuryMissing Fixture3 / 1

League table

Germany Bundesliga
#TeamPlayedWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Bayern München15132055114441WDWWW
2Borussia Dortmund1595126121432WDWWD
3Bayer Leverkusen1592433201329WWLLW
4RB Leipzig1592430191129LLWDW
51899 Hoffenheim158342920927DWLWD
6VfB Stuttgart158252522326DWLLD
7Eintracht Frankfurt157443030025DWLDW
8Union Berlin156362023-321WWLLW
9SC Freiburg155552526-120WDLWL
10Werder Bremen154561828-1017DLLDL
111. FC Köln154472224-216LLDDL
12Borussia Mönchengladbach154471824-616LLWDW
13Hamburger SV154471625-916DLWWL
14VfL Wolfsburg154382328-515LWWDL
15FC Augsburg154291728-1114DLWLW
16FC St. Pauli153391326-1312DWDLL
171. FC Heidenheim1532101334-2111LLWWL
18FSV Mainz 05151591326-138DDLLD
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