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Preview
FC St. Pauli vs Wolfsburg: End of Season Battle for Pride
In the final round of the Bundesliga, FC St. Pauli host VfL Wolfsburg in a fixture that, while lacking ultimate stakes for either side, presents a chance for both to end the season on a more positive note. St. Pauli have endured a difficult campaign, particularly at home, while Wolfsburg have shown flashes of resilience on the road.
This match pits two sides who have struggled for consistency against each other. St. Pauli's possession numbers are low, and their recent form indicates a team struggling to impose itself, especially at home where they've conceded heavily. Wolfsburg's away strategy might involve a more cautious approach, focusing on quick transitions given their lower average possession away from home. The hosts, despite their poor overall record, have managed a decent number of shots on target at home recently, hinting they might try to be more proactive, but their defensive fragility could be exploited by Wolfsburg's capable, albeit inconsistent, attack.
Team statistics
Team Stats Comparison
Key points
- • FC St. Pauli have lost 19 of their 33 league games this season.
- • VfL Wolfsburg have a 50% loss rate in their away league matches.
- • Both teams concede over 1.7 goals per game on average across the season.
AI Prediction
Wolfsburg's away form, though not spectacular, has been more resilient than St. Pauli's overall dismal record, particularly their home struggles. The odds also favour the visitors slightly. Both teams concede a significant number of goals, suggesting BTTS is likely, and with attacking intent from both sides, an over 2.5 goals outcome is probable.
- AIConfidencePickRecent Win% (20)
nova-lite-v1 (fr)by amazon70% AWAYBTTS NO2.5 UNDER1x247%O/U60%BTTS47%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ar)by google65% AWAYBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x237%O/U73%BTTS57%- gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (es)by google68% AWAYBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x250%O/U70%BTTS60%
- gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ru)by google65% AWAYBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x247%O/U60%BTTS60%
- gemini-2.5-flash-lite (en)by google65% AWAYBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x240%O/U63%BTTS57%
llama-3.1-8b-instruct (it)by meta-llama72% AWAYBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x243%O/U77%BTTS67%- llama-3.3-70b-instruct (pt)by meta-llama65%X DRAWBTTS YES2.5 UNDER1x243%O/U67%BTTS63%
gpt-oss-120b:free (tr)by openai71% AWAYBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x247%O/U60%BTTS53%
grok-4.1-fast (ja)by x-ai72% AWAYBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x243%O/U63%BTTS63%- grok-4.1-fast (ko)by x-ai72% AWAYBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x243%O/U67%BTTS70%
H2H
Team recent
FC St. Pauli Team recent
| Match date | H/A | VS | Score | Results | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | Cor 9.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AWAY | RB Leipzig | 1 - 2 | |||||
HOME | FSV Mainz 05 | 1 - 2 | |||||
AWAY | 1. FC Heidenheim | 0 - 2 | |||||
HOME | 1. FC Köln | 1 - 1 | |||||
HOME | Bayern München | 0 - 5 | |||||
AWAY | Union Berlin | 1 - 1 | |||||
HOME | SC Freiburg | 1 - 2 | |||||
AWAY | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 0 - 2 | |||||
HOME | Eintracht Frankfurt | 0 - 0 | |||||
AWAY | 1899 Hoffenheim | 1 - 0 |
FC St. Pauli have found life tough back in the Bundesliga, with their overall season record painting a grim picture. They've struggled for wins, managing only 18.2% victories across 33 games, and a concerning 57.6% of matches have ended in defeat. While their home form, with 25% wins, is slightly better than their away record, they still concede nearly two goals per game at home. Recent form has been particularly dire, with three consecutive losses and an average of two goals conceded in their last three outings, suggesting defensive frailties remain.
VfL Wolfsburg Team recent
| Match date | H/A | VS | Score | Results | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | Cor 9.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HOME | Bayern München | 0 - 1 | |||||
AWAY | SC Freiburg | 1 - 1 | |||||
HOME | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 0 - 0 | |||||
AWAY | Union Berlin | 2 - 1 | |||||
HOME | Eintracht Frankfurt | 1 - 2 | |||||
AWAY | Bayer Leverkusen | 3 - 6 | |||||
HOME | Werder Bremen | 0 - 1 | |||||
AWAY | 1899 Hoffenheim | 1 - 1 | |||||
HOME | Hamburger SV | 1 - 2 | |||||
AWAY | VfB Stuttgart | 0 - 4 |
VfL Wolfsburg's season has also been largely disappointing, mirroring St. Pauli's win percentage but with a slightly better scoring record. Their away form, however, offers a glimmer of hope, with 25% of their away fixtures resulting in a win and a 50% loss rate, which is better than their home record. Recent form has been a mixed bag; they've managed two draws in their last three games, but this was preceded by a loss, and their scoring has been inconsistent, despite a recent uptick in their last away game where they drew 1-1. They've shown they can find the net on the road but also leak goals.
Odds
Lineup information is currently unavailable. It will be updated 1 hour before kickoff.