FC St. Pauli vs Hamburger SV - AI Match Preview

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Germany Bundesliga

FC St. Pauli

Hamburger SV

Match Events

Adam Dźwigała

24'

Nicolai Remberg

Preview

FC St. Pauli vs Hamburger SV: Bundesliga Clash Sees Hosts Battling Poor Form

FC St. Pauli host Hamburger SV in a Bundesliga fixture where the home side is struggling for form, especially defensively. Hamburger SV, while inconsistent, have shown more attacking promise recently, but their away form is a significant concern.

This fixture pits St. Pauli's desperate need for points against Hamburg's historically poor away form. Given St. Pauli's struggles to contain opponents, especially at home where they concede over two goals per game, Hamburg will likely aim to exploit this with direct attacks. However, Hamburg's own attacking output on the road is dismal, averaging less than a goal per game. The home side's recent increase in shots, despite poor results, suggests a potential for breakthroughs, but their low possession and passing accuracy might hinder sustained pressure. Hamburg's strong performance in their last home draw, with numerous shots on goal, contrasts sharply with their last away showing, hinting at a potential defensive solidity that could frustrate St. Pauli.

Team statistics

Germany Bundesliga

FC St. Pauli

Hamburger SV

Matches played

3 - 3 - 11

Results

4 - 5 - 8

17.6%

Win %

23.5%

0.9

Goals scored

1.8

Goals conceded

1.6

3.5

Shots on target

5.1

3.6

Shots off target

5.3

3.2

Blocked shots

3.2

46.4

Ball possession

46.8

78.2

Pass accuracy

81.5

10.4

Fouls

12.6

3.5

Goalkeeper saves

1.7

Yellow cards

2.4

0.1

Red cards

0.4

League averages

Key points

• FC St. Pauli have lost 11 of their 17 league games this season.
• Hamburger SV are yet to win an away game this season, drawing 2 and losing 6.
• Hamburger SV's away defence has conceded an average of 2.3 goals per game.

AI Prediction

Both teams are defensively suspect, but Hamburger SV's away record is particularly alarming. St. Pauli's recent form is also poor, and their home defence has been leaky. Despite recent shot counts, neither team consistently converts chances. The odds suggest a close contest, and given Hamburg's inability to win away and St. Pauli's struggles to secure victories, a draw seems a plausible outcome. Both teams have shown enough in their recent matches to suggest they might concede, leading to a 'yes' for BTTS, but the overall scoring averages and recent away performances point towards a low-scoring affair.

AI

Confidence

Pick

Recent Win% (20)
nova-lite-v1 (fr)

by amazon

70%

X DRAW

BTTS NO

2.5 UNDER

1x2

57%

O/U

43%

BTTS

43%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ar)

by google

65%

AWAY

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

47%

O/U

47%

BTTS

70%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (es)

by google

68%

X DRAW

BTTS NO

2.5 UNDER

1x2

40%

O/U

63%

BTTS

70%

H2H

Bundesliga H2H 기록입니다.

Match date	Team	Score	Team	O/U 2.5	BTTS
8/29/2025	FC St. Pauli	W 2 - 0 L	Hamburger SV HOME	U	N

Includes records from 2023 onwards.

Team recent

FC St. Pauli

H/A	VS	Score	Results	O/U 2.5	BTTS	Cor 9.5
AWAY	Borussia Dortmund	2 - 3	L	O	Y	Y
AWAY	VfL Wolfsburg	1 - 2	L	O	Y	N
AWAY	FSV Mainz 05	0 - 0	D	U	N	Y
HOME	1. FC Heidenheim	2 - 1	W	O	Y	N
AWAY	1. FC Köln	1 - 1	D	U	Y	N
AWAY	Bayern München	1 - 3	L	O	Y	N
HOME	Union Berlin	0 - 1	L	U	N	Y
AWAY	SC Freiburg	1 - 2	L	O	Y	N
HOME	Borussia Mönchengladbach	0 - 4	L	O	N	Y
AWAY	Eintracht Frankfurt	0 - 2	L	U	N	N

FC St. Pauli find themselves in a difficult spot, languishing at the wrong end of the table with a heavy defensive burden. Their overall season record paints a stark picture, with more losses than wins and a concerning goals-against tally. While they show slightly better scoring and possession at home, this hasn't translated into consistent results, with over half of their home games ending in defeat. Recent form is even more troubling, with no wins in their last three, and a heavy defeat in their sole match in the last one shows defensive frailties, despite a flurry of shots.

Hamburger SV

H/A	VS	Score	Results	O/U 2.5	BTTS	Cor 9.5
HOME	Borussia Mönchengladbach	0 - 0	D	U	N	N
AWAY	SC Freiburg	1 - 2	L	O	Y	N
HOME	Eintracht Frankfurt	1 - 1	D	U	Y	Y
AWAY	1899 Hoffenheim	1 - 4	L	O	Y	N
HOME	Werder Bremen	3 - 2	W	O	Y	Y
HOME	VfB Stuttgart	2 - 1	W	O	Y	N
AWAY	FC Augsburg	0 - 1	L	U	N	N
HOME	Borussia Dortmund	1 - 1	D	U	Y	N
AWAY	1. FC Köln	1 - 4	L	O	Y	N
HOME	VfL Wolfsburg	0 - 1	L	U	N	Y

Hamburger SV present a mixed bag of statistics. Overall, they've struggled for wins, with a losing record and a considerable number of goals conceded on average. However, their home form has been relatively solid, boasting a decent win rate and significantly fewer goals shipped. The away record, conversely, is dire; they are yet to secure a victory on the road this season and concede a staggering number of goals. Recent form shows a dip in scoring and a porous defence away from home, though their last outing was a goalless draw, indicating a potential defensive tightening, albeit against a team that also struggled to find the net.

Over

Under

Yes

Odds

1x2

HOME

2.9

DRAW

AWAY

2.62

2.5 OVER/UNDER

OVER

2.62

UNDER

1.5

BTTS

YES

2.1

1.67

Lineups

FC St. Pauli

(3-4-3)

Nikola Vasilj

Karol Mets

Hauke Wahl

Adam Dźwigała

Louis Oppie

Eric Smith

James Sands

Arkadiusz Pyrka

Mathias Pereira Lage

Martijn Kaars

Joel Chima Fujita

Damion Downs

Alexander Røssing-Lelesiit

Ransford Yeboah Königsdörffer

Bakery Jatta

Nicolai Remberg

Fábio Vieira

Miro Muheim

Jordan Torunarigha

Luka Vušković

Nicolás Capaldo

Daniel Heuer Fernandes

Hamburger SV

(4-2-3-1)

Average Player Rating

Injuries / suspensions

FC St. Pauli

Name	Reason	Type	G/A
A. Hountondji	Ankle Injury	Missing Fixture	4 / 0
C. Metcalfe	Knee Injury	Missing Fixture	0 / 1
D. Sinani	Calf Injury	Questionable	5 / 3
D. Nemeth	Groin Injury	Missing Fixture	0 / 0
J. Irvine	Foot Injury	Questionable	0 / 0

Hamburger SV

Name	Reason	Type	G/A
A. S. Lokonga	Muscle Injury	Missing Fixture	4 / 0
W. Omari	Knee Injury	Missing Fixture	0 / 1
F. Balde	Illness	Questionable	0 / 1
N. Capaldo	Injury	Questionable	1 / 2
Y. Poulsen	Ankle Injury	Missing Fixture	1 / 0
G. Ramos	Inactive	Missing Fixture	0 / 0
A. Soumahoro	Knee Injury	Questionable	0 / 0

League table

Germany Bundesliga

#	Team	Played	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
Bundesliga
1	Bayern München	15	13	2	0	55	11	44	41	WDWWW
2	Borussia Dortmund	15	9	5	1	26	12	14	32	WDWWD
3	Bayer Leverkusen	15	9	2	4	33	20	13	29	WWLLW
4	RB Leipzig	15	9	2	4	30	19	11	29	LLWDW
5	1899 Hoffenheim	15	8	3	4	29	20	9	27	DWLWD
6	VfB Stuttgart	15	8	2	5	25	22	3	26	DWLLD
7	Eintracht Frankfurt	15	7	4	4	30	30	0	25	DWLDW
8	Union Berlin	15	6	3	6	20	23	-3	21	WWLLW
9	SC Freiburg	15	5	5	5	25	26	-1	20	WDLWL
10	Werder Bremen	15	4	5	6	18	28	-10	17	DLLDL
11	1. FC Köln	15	4	4	7	22	24	-2	16	LLDDL
12	Borussia Mönchengladbach	15	4	4	7	18	24	-6	16	LLWDW
13	Hamburger SV	15	4	4	7	16	25	-9	16	DLWWL
14	VfL Wolfsburg	15	4	3	8	23	28	-5	15	LWWDL
15	FC Augsburg	15	4	2	9	17	28	-11	14	DLWLW
16	FC St. Pauli	15	3	3	9	13	26	-13	12	DWDLL
17	1. FC Heidenheim	15	3	2	10	13	34	-21	11	LLWWL
18	FSV Mainz 05	15	1	5	9	13	26	-13	8	DDLLD

FC St. Pauli vs Hamburger SV AI Match Preview, Prediction, Team Stats Comparison, League table

Match Events

Preview

FC St. Pauli vs Hamburger SV: Bundesliga Clash Sees Hosts Battling Poor Form

Team statistics

Team Stats Comparison

Key points

AI Prediction

H2H

Team recent

FC St. Pauli Team recent

Hamburger SV Team recent

Odds

Lineups

FC St. Pauli

Hamburger SV

Injuries / suspensions

FC St. Pauli Injuries / suspensions

Hamburger SV Injuries / suspensions

League table