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Augsburg vs Freiburg: Mid-Table Battle with Tight Odds in Bundesliga
FC Augsburg host SC Freiburg in a Bundesliga clash where both sides have shown inconsistent form but possess the ability to score. The odds suggest a closely contested affair, hinting at a match where fine margins could decide the outcome.
This fixture presents an interesting tactical conundrum. Augsburg's recent home form suggests a more compact approach, aiming to frustrate opponents and perhaps nick a goal. Freiburg, despite their overall offensive numbers, have struggled to translate their game to the road, often conceding heavily. The visitors' recent home form has been dominant, showcasing an ability to dominate possession and create chances, but their away performances tell a different story. Expect Freiburg to try and impose themselves with their usual possession-based style, but Augsburg's home resilience might mean Freiburg struggle to find space, potentially leading to a game decided by transitional moments or set pieces.
Team statistics
Team Stats Comparison
Key points
- • Augsburg have drawn 2 of their last 3 home games.
- • Freiburg have lost 5 of their 9 away matches this season.
- • Freiburg's last away game saw them concede 4 goals and register only 3 shots.
AI Prediction
Both teams have shown periods of scoring and conceding, making Both Teams To Score a strong proposition. Freiburg's poor away defence against Augsburg's slightly improved home form, coupled with both teams' recent goal-scoring efforts, points towards an 'over' market. The odds are incredibly tight, reflecting the similar overall standing and inconsistent form of both sides, and a draw feels like the most likely outcome, mirroring Augsburg's recent home results.
- AIConfidencePickRecent Win% (20)
nova-lite-v1 (fr)by amazon70%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x240%O/U47%BTTS57%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ar)by google65%X DRAWBTTS YES2.5 UNDER1x230%O/U60%BTTS77%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (es)by google65%X DRAWBTTS NO2.5 UNDER1x233%O/U57%BTTS80%
H2H
Team recent
FC Augsburg Team recent
| Match date | H/A | VS | Score | Results | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | Cor 9.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HOME | Union Berlin | 1 - 1 | |||||
AWAY | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 0 - 4 | |||||
HOME | Werder Bremen | 0 - 0 | |||||
AWAY | Eintracht Frankfurt | 0 - 1 | |||||
HOME | Bayer Leverkusen | 2 - 0 | |||||
AWAY | 1899 Hoffenheim | 0 - 3 | |||||
HOME | Hamburger SV | 1 - 0 | |||||
AWAY | VfB Stuttgart | 2 - 3 | |||||
HOME | Borussia Dortmund | 0 - 1 | |||||
HOME | RB Leipzig | 0 - 6 |
FC Augsburg find themselves in a precarious mid-table position, with their overall season numbers painting a picture of a team that struggles for consistency. Averaging just 1.1 goals per game and conceding nearly two goals away from home, they've found wins hard to come by, especially on their travels. However, their recent form offers a glimmer of hope. Despite a winless streak in their last three overall, they've managed two draws and are unbeaten in their last three home fixtures, showing a defensive resilience and an ability to grind out results when playing in front of their own fans. Their last home outing saw them secure a draw, indicating they can at least avoid defeat against various opposition.
SC Freiburg Team recent
| Match date | H/A | VS | Score | Results | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | Cor 9.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AWAY | RB Leipzig | 0 - 2 | |||||
HOME | Hamburger SV | 2 - 1 | |||||
AWAY | VfL Wolfsburg | 4 - 3 | |||||
HOME | Borussia Dortmund | 1 - 1 | |||||
AWAY | 1. FC Heidenheim | 1 - 2 | |||||
HOME | FSV Mainz 05 | 4 - 0 | |||||
AWAY | Bayern München | 2 - 6 | |||||
HOME | FC St. Pauli | 2 - 1 | |||||
AWAY | Union Berlin | 0 - 0 | |||||
AWAY | Bayer Leverkusen | 0 - 2 |
SC Freiburg, meanwhile, have a more balanced season record but have been particularly poor on the road. While their overall scoring average is respectable at 1.6 goals per game, their away form is a significant concern, with five losses in nine away matches and a leaky defence conceding over two goals per game. Recent form has been a mixed bag; they secured two wins in their last three overall, demonstrating an attacking potency that saw them score at least two goals in those victories. However, their last away game was a chastening experience, losing heavily with a very low shot count and poor possession, suggesting they can falter significantly when away from home comforts.
Odds
Lineups
FC Augsburg
(3-4-2-1)
SC Freiburg
(4-2-3-1)
Injuries / suspensions
FC Augsburg Injuries / suspensions
SC Freiburg Injuries / suspensions
