Preview
Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen: Can the Hosts Extend Dominance in the Bundesliga?
Borussia Dortmund host Werder Bremen in a Bundesliga fixture where the home side's strong overall form clashes with a struggling away opponent. Dortmund will look to assert their attacking prowess at home, while Bremen face a stern test to break their recent winless streak.
Borussia Dortmund have enjoyed a solid Bundesliga campaign thus far, demonstrating their quality particularly at home. They boast an impressive unbeaten record on their own turf, averaging nearly two goals per game while conceding less than one. While their last three matches overall have seen a slight dip in form with two draws, their home performances within that period suggest they are still a formidable force, winning two of their last three home fixtures. The last outing saw them secure a convincing 2-0 home win, reinforcing their home advantage.
Werder Bremen are navigating a difficult period in the Bundesliga, evidenced by a concerning lack of wins in their last three league outings. Their overall season record shows more losses than wins, and their away form is particularly stark, with only one victory from eight games and a high concession rate. Recent performances have seen them struggle significantly in front of goal, failing to score in their last match and averaging less than a goal per game over their last three. Their last away fixture was a heavy 4-0 defeat, highlighting defensive frailties on the road.
Dortmund's approach is likely to be one of patient build-up, leveraging their superior possession statistics and attacking threat. They will aim to exploit the flanks and create overloads, supported by a higher corner count historically. Werder Bremen, conversely, are expected to adopt a more defensive posture, possibly employing a compact mid-block to frustrate the home side. However, their recent defensive record, especially away from home where they concede over two goals on average, suggests they may struggle to contain Dortmund's attacking waves effectively. The visitors' tendency to concede red cards also points to potential disciplinary issues under pressure.
Borussia Dortmund's formidable home record, coupled with Werder Bremen's dire away form and recent struggles in front of goal, makes the home win the clear outcome. The odds reflect this, heavily favouring the hosts. Given Dortmund's offensive capabilities and Bremen's defensive vulnerabilities, a match with over 2.5 goals and both teams finding the net is anticipated, aligning with the market's view on both BTTS and total goals.
Key points
- Borussia Dortmund have lost only once in 16 league games this season, and are unbeaten at home.
- Werder Bremen have won just once in 8 away league matches this season, conceding over 2 goals per game on average.
- The odds heavily favour Borussia Dortmund, reflecting their superior season form and home advantage.
Team statistics
Team Stats Comparison
AI Prediction
- AIConfidencePickRecent Win% (20)
nova-lite-v1 (fr)by amazon78%
HOMEBTTS NO2.5 UNDER1x247%O/U40%BTTS60%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ar)by google78%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x253%O/U50%BTTS53%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (es)by google82%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x257%O/U43%BTTS57%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ru)by google82%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x257%O/U40%BTTS57%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (vi)by google80%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x257%O/U53%BTTS63%
gemini-2.5-flash-lite (en)by google88%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x257%O/U50%BTTS53%
llama-3.1-8b-instruct (it)by meta-llama82%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x240%O/U67%BTTS60%
llama-3.1-8b-instruct (nl)by meta-llama80%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 UNDER1x247%O/U43%BTTS67%
llama-3.3-70b-instruct (pt)by meta-llama80%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x263%O/U57%BTTS67%
phi-4-multimodal-instruct (id)by microsoft88%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x263%O/U40%BTTS63%
mistral-nemo (de)by mistralai85%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x247%O/U37%BTTS47%
gpt-oss-120b:exacto (tr)by openai81%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x257%O/U50%BTTS60%
qwen-turbo (th)by qwen85%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x260%O/U60%BTTS60%
grok-4.1-fast (ja)by x-ai88%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x263%O/U47%BTTS50%
grok-4.1-fast (ko)by x-ai85%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x270%O/U50%BTTS47%
H2H
Team recent
Borussia Dortmund Team recent
| Match date | H/A | VS | Score | Results | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | Cor 9.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AWAY | Borussia Dortmund | 3 - 3 | - | ||||
HOME | Borussia Dortmund | 2 - 0 | - | ||||
AWAY | Borussia Dortmund | 1 - 1 | - | ||||
HOME | Borussia Dortmund | 2 - 0 | - | ||||
AWAY | Borussia Dortmund | 2 - 1 | - | ||||
HOME | Borussia Dortmund | 3 - 3 | - | ||||
AWAY | Borussia Dortmund | 1 - 1 | - | ||||
AWAY | Borussia Dortmund | 1 - 0 | - | ||||
HOME | Borussia Dortmund | 1 - 0 | - | ||||
AWAY | Borussia Dortmund | 1 - 2 | - |
Werder Bremen Team recent
| Match date | H/A | VS | Score | Results | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | Cor 9.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AWAY | Werder Bremen | 0 - 0 | - | ||||
HOME | Werder Bremen | 0 - 4 | - | ||||
AWAY | Werder Bremen | 2 - 3 | - | ||||
HOME | Werder Bremen | 1 - 1 | - | ||||
AWAY | Werder Bremen | 0 - 2 | - | ||||
HOME | Werder Bremen | 2 - 1 | - | ||||
AWAY | Werder Bremen | 1 - 1 | - | ||||
HOME | Werder Bremen | 1 - 0 | - | ||||
AWAY | Werder Bremen | 2 - 2 | - | ||||
HOME | Werder Bremen | 1 - 0 | - |
Odds
Borussia Dortmund
(3-4-2-1)
Werder Bremen
(3-4-2-1)
Injuries / suspensions
Borussia Dortmund Injuries / suspensions
Werder Bremen Injuries / suspensions
