Bayer Leverkusen vs VfB Stuttgart - AI Match Preview

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Germany Bundesliga

Bayer Leverkusen

VfB Stuttgart

Match Events

J. Leweling

29'

M. Mittelstadt

Mark Flekken

38'

Jamie Leweling

45'

J. Leweling

45'

D. Undav

A. Grimaldo

66'

Loïc Badé

70'

77'

Finn Jeltsch

Alejandro Grimaldo

78'

Aleix García

80'

Preview

Leverkusen vs Stuttgart: High-Flying Hosts Face Rejuvenated Visitors in Bundesliga Showdown

Bayer Leverkusen host VfB Stuttgart in a Bundesliga fixture that pits strong home form against a side showing recent attacking resurgence. Leverkusen will aim to continue their dominant home record, while Stuttgart will look to build on a promising away showing in their last outing.

This match pits Leverkusen's established possession-based game and potent home offense against a Stuttgart side that has recently found a more direct and effective attacking rhythm away from home. Expect Leverkusen to try and assert control early through patient buildup and wide overloads, aiming to exploit Stuttgart's somewhat porous away defense. Stuttgart, however, might look to spring quick transitions, leveraging their recent scoring form to punish any Leverkusen lapses.

Team statistics

Germany Bundesliga

Bayer Leverkusen

VfB Stuttgart

Matches played

9 - 2 - 4

Results

8 - 2 - 5

60%

Win %

53.3%

2.2

Goals scored

1.7

1.3

Goals conceded

1.5

5.1

Shots on target

5.5

5.6

Shots off target

5.9

3.8

Blocked shots

4.2

59.5

Ball possession

57.7

88.3

Pass accuracy

84.3

8.8

Fouls

10.2

3.3

Goalkeeper saves

2.4

Yellow cards

1.9

0.1

Red cards

0.1

League averages

Key points

• Bayer Leverkusen average 2.3 goals per game at home this season, conceding just 0.8.
• VfB Stuttgart's last away match saw them score 4 goals, a significant improvement on their season average.
• The odds suggest Leverkusen are clear favourites, with 'both teams to score' also looking likely.

AI Prediction

Leverkusen's exceptional home record, combined with their consistent scoring and defensive solidity at home, makes them strong favourites. Although Stuttgart have shown recent attacking promise, their away defensive frailties and Leverkusen's overall superiority should prevail. The odds also favour the hosts, aligning with the statistical picture and suggesting a home win with goals at both ends.

AI

Confidence

Pick

Recent Win% (20)
nova-lite-v1 (fr)

by amazon

78%

HOME

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

23%

O/U

47%

BTTS

47%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ar)

by google

70%

HOME

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

47%

O/U

47%

BTTS

70%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (es)

by google

70%

HOME

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

40%

O/U

63%

BTTS

70%

H2H

Bundesliga

Match date	Team	Score	Team	O/U 2.5	BTTS
3/16/2025	Bayer Leverkusen	W 4 - 3 L	VfB Stuttgart AWAY	O	Y
11/1/2024	HOME Bayer Leverkusen	D 0 - 0 D	VfB Stuttgart	U	N
4/27/2024	HOME Bayer Leverkusen	D 2 - 2 D	VfB Stuttgart	O	Y
2/6/2024	HOME Bayer Leverkusen	W 3 - 2 L	VfB Stuttgart	O	Y
12/10/2023	Bayer Leverkusen	D 1 - 1 D	VfB Stuttgart AWAY	U	Y

Includes records from 2023 onwards.

Team recent

Bayer Leverkusen

H/A	VS	Score	Results	O/U 2.5	BTTS	Cor 9.5
AWAY	RB Leipzig	3 - 1	W	O	Y	Y
HOME	1. FC Köln	2 - 0	W	U	N	Y
AWAY	FC Augsburg	0 - 2	L	U	N	Y
HOME	Borussia Dortmund	1 - 2	L	O	Y	Y
AWAY	VfL Wolfsburg	3 - 1	W	O	Y	N
HOME	1. FC Heidenheim	6 - 0	W	O	N	Y
AWAY	Bayern München	0 - 3	L	O	N	N
HOME	SC Freiburg	2 - 0	W	U	N	N
AWAY	FSV Mainz 05	4 - 3	W	O	Y	N
HOME	Union Berlin	2 - 0	W	U	N	N

Bayer Leverkusen have been formidable at home this season, boasting a strong win rate and conceding fewer than a goal per game on average. Their overall season stats show a team that controls possession and creates a high volume of shots, a trend that has been amplified in their recent home performances. The last home match saw them dominate offensively, netting twice and keeping a clean sheet, indicating they are peaking at the right time.

VfB Stuttgart

H/A	VS	Score	Results	O/U 2.5	BTTS	Cor 9.5
HOME	1899 Hoffenheim	0 - 0	D	U	N	N
AWAY	Werder Bremen	4 - 0	W	O	N	Y
HOME	Bayern München	0 - 5	L	O	N	N
AWAY	Hamburger SV	1 - 2	L	O	Y	Y
AWAY	Borussia Dortmund	3 - 3	D	O	Y	N
HOME	FC Augsburg	3 - 2	W	O	Y	N
AWAY	RB Leipzig	1 - 3	L	O	Y	Y
HOME	FSV Mainz 05	2 - 1	W	O	Y	Y
AWAY	VfL Wolfsburg	3 - 0	W	O	N	Y
HOME	1. FC Heidenheim	1 - 0	W	U	N	N

VfB Stuttgart present an interesting challenge. While their overall away record shows more losses than wins, their recent form has seen a significant uptick in scoring, particularly in their last away game where they netted four times. Despite a dip in overall passing accuracy, their recent away performances suggest they are finding ways to be effective in the final third, even if their defensive solidity away from home remains a concern.

Over

Under

Yes

Odds

1x2

HOME

2.15

DRAW

3.8

AWAY

2.5 OVER/UNDER

OVER

1.53

UNDER

2.5

BTTS

YES

1.44

2.62

Lineups