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Leverkusen vs Hamburger SV: Hosts Aim to Seal Strong Bundesliga Season
Bayer Leverkusen host Hamburger SV in the final matchday of the Bundesliga season. Leverkusen, who have dominated this campaign, will look to finish strongly at home, while Hamburg have struggled significantly on their travels.
Leverkusen are expected to set the rhythm of the game, leveraging their superior ball possession and attacking threat. Their high volume of shots, particularly on goal, will likely test a Hamburg defence that has been porous away from home. Hamburg may attempt to weather the storm, but their struggles in maintaining possession and their tendency to commit fouls could invite pressure and set-piece opportunities for the hosts. Leverkusen's recent home form indicates they will push for an emphatic finish, using wide attacks and patient buildup to find openings.
Team statistics
Team Stats Comparison
Key points
- • Bayer Leverkusen average 2.3 goals per home game this season.
- • Hamburger SV concede an average of 1.9 goals per away game.
- • Leverkusen's last home match saw them score 4 goals with 23 shots.
AI Prediction
Leverkusen's overwhelming home form, coupled with their superior attacking statistics and recent surge, makes them clear favourites. Hamburg's defensive record away from home is a significant concern. While Leverkusen have been dominant, their recent matches, including their last home game, have seen a good number of goals, and Hamburg's recent uptick in scoring could contribute to both teams finding the net.
- AIConfidencePickRecent Win% (20)
nova-lite-v1 (fr)by amazon85%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x247%O/U60%BTTS47%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ar)by google70%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x237%O/U73%BTTS57%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (es)by google85%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x250%O/U70%BTTS60%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ru)by google85%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x247%O/U60%BTTS60%
gemini-2.5-flash-lite (en)by google88%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x240%O/U63%BTTS57%
llama-3.1-8b-instruct (it)by meta-llama85%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x243%O/U77%BTTS67%
llama-3.3-70b-instruct (pt)by meta-llama85%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x243%O/U67%BTTS63%
gpt-oss-120b:free (tr)by openai84%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x247%O/U60%BTTS53%
grok-4.1-fast (ja)by x-ai88%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x243%O/U63%BTTS63%
grok-4.1-fast (ko)by x-ai87%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x243%O/U67%BTTS70%
H2H
Team recent
Bayer Leverkusen Team recent
| Match date | H/A | VS | Score | Results | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | Cor 9.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AWAY | VfB Stuttgart | 1 - 3 | |||||
HOME | RB Leipzig | 4 - 1 | |||||
AWAY | 1. FC Köln | 2 - 1 | |||||
HOME | FC Augsburg | 1 - 2 | |||||
AWAY | Borussia Dortmund | 1 - 0 | |||||
HOME | VfL Wolfsburg | 6 - 3 | |||||
AWAY | 1. FC Heidenheim | 3 - 3 | |||||
HOME | Bayern München | 1 - 1 | |||||
AWAY | SC Freiburg | 3 - 3 | |||||
AWAY | Hamburger SV | 1 - 0 |
Bayer Leverkusen have been the standard-bearers in the Bundesliga this season, consistently performing at a high level. Their overall record of 2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game speaks volumes about their dominance. At home, they've been even more potent, netting 2.3 goals per outing while conceding just 1.1. Recent form, particularly a crushing 4-1 victory in their last outing, showcases their attacking prowess and ability to create chances, with a remarkable 23 shots in that single game. They've also maintained strong possession stats throughout the season, indicating their control of matches.
Hamburger SV Team recent
| Match date | H/A | VS | Score | Results | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | Cor 9.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HOME | SC Freiburg | 3 - 2 | |||||
AWAY | Eintracht Frankfurt | 2 - 1 | |||||
HOME | 1899 Hoffenheim | 1 - 2 | |||||
AWAY | Werder Bremen | 1 - 3 | |||||
AWAY | VfB Stuttgart | 0 - 4 | |||||
HOME | FC Augsburg | 1 - 1 | |||||
AWAY | Borussia Dortmund | 2 - 3 | |||||
HOME | 1. FC Köln | 1 - 1 | |||||
AWAY | VfL Wolfsburg | 2 - 1 | |||||
HOME | Bayer Leverkusen | 0 - 1 |
Hamburger SV's season has been a tale of inconsistency, especially away from home. Their overall record shows they concede more than they score, with 1.6 goals against them per game. This defensive frailty is amplified on the road, where they ship an average of 1.9 goals while only managing 0.9 themselves. Recent form has seen them pick up wins, but this masks a concerning trend of losing two of their last three matches, including a recent 1-3 defeat where they conceded heavily. Their lower ball possession figures and higher foul counts suggest they often find themselves under pressure.
Odds
Lineup information is currently unavailable. It will be updated 1 hour before kickoff.
