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Austria Vienna vs Sturm Graz: Tactical Battle Looms in Bundesliga
Austria Vienna host Sturm Graz in a Bundesliga clash that pits solid home form against a potent away attack. Both sides have shown recent sparks, suggesting a contest that could be decided by fine margins, with a slight edge perhaps to the visiting side based on recent offensive output.
This match presents an intriguing tactical contrast. Austria Vienna, playing at home, will likely aim to set a controlled rhythm, leveraging their slightly higher average possession and passing accuracy to probe the Sturm Graz defence. However, Sturm Graz's recent away form, marked by efficient scoring and a tighter defence, suggests they are adept at exploiting transitions. The visitors’ higher shot count indicates a direct attacking approach, which could trouble Austria Vienna’s defence, especially if the home side’s recent defensive lapses continue.
Team statistics
Team Stats Comparison
Key points
- • Sturm Graz boast a strong 63.6% win rate in away games this season, scoring an average of 1.9 goals.
- • Austria Vienna have averaged 2.3 goals per game in their last three home matches.
- • Sturm Graz's last away game saw them concede two goals, though they won the match.
AI Prediction
Sturm Graz's potent away attack and strong recent form make them the marginal favourite, despite Austria Vienna's improving home scoring record. The odds suggest a relatively balanced game, but Sturm Graz's ability to score on the road and Austria Vienna's recent defensive vulnerabilities point towards an away win. Both teams have demonstrated capability to score recently, making goals at both ends likely.
- AIConfidencePickRecent Win% (20)
nova-lite-v1 (fr)by amazon85%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x247%O/U57%BTTS53%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ar)by google68%X DRAWBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x253%O/U53%BTTS43%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (es)by google68%X DRAWBTTS YES2.5 UNDER1x240%O/U57%BTTS40%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ru)by google65%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x243%O/U50%BTTS57%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (vi)by google72%
AWAYBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x243%O/U43%BTTS43%
gemini-2.5-flash-lite (en)by google72%
AWAYBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x250%O/U50%BTTS43%
llama-3.1-8b-instruct (it)by meta-llama75%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x247%O/U53%BTTS40%
llama-3.1-8b-instruct (nl)by meta-llama80%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x237%O/U33%BTTS40%
llama-3.3-70b-instruct (pt)by meta-llama65%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x253%O/U40%BTTS33%
mistral-nemo (de)by mistralai70%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x243%O/U43%BTTS47%
gpt-oss-120b:exacto (tr)by openai75%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x233%O/U50%BTTS47%
qwen-turbo (th)by qwen85%
AWAYBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x233%O/U43%BTTS43%
grok-4.1-fast (ja)by x-ai68%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 UNDER1x247%O/U57%BTTS43%
grok-4.1-fast (ko)by x-ai75%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x247%O/U63%BTTS50%
mimo-v2-flash (id)by xiaomi85%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x260%O/U57%BTTS43%
H2H
Team recent
Austria Vienna Team recent
| Match date | H/A | VS | Score | Results | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | Cor 9.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AWAY | Ried | 2 - 0 | |||||
HOME | Lask Linz | 2 - 2 | |||||
AWAY | SCR Altach | 1 - 2 | |||||
HOME | Rapid Vienna | 2 - 0 | |||||
AWAY | Red Bull Salzburg | 2 - 0 | |||||
HOME | Sturm Graz | 3 - 1 | |||||
AWAY | Wolfsberger AC | 1 - 2 | |||||
HOME | WSG Wattens | 0 - 0 | |||||
AWAY | FC BW Linz | 3 - 2 | |||||
HOME | Grazer AK | 2 - 1 |
Austria Vienna come into this fixture having shown resilience at home, particularly in their last three outings where they've averaged over two goals scored per game, including a strong showing in their most recent home match. Overall, they maintain a respectable scoring record on the season, though their defence can be porous, conceding 1.4 goals on average. Their possession stats suggest a team that likes to build from the back, but their passing accuracy has dipped slightly in recent matches.
Sturm Graz Team recent
| Match date | H/A | VS | Score | Results | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | Cor 9.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HOME | SCR Altach | 2 - 0 | |||||
AWAY | Wolfsberger AC | 2 - 2 | |||||
HOME | FC BW Linz | 1 - 0 | |||||
AWAY | WSG Wattens | 0 - 1 | |||||
HOME | Ried | 1 - 0 | |||||
AWAY | Austria Vienna | 1 - 3 | |||||
HOME | Grazer AK | 2 - 1 | |||||
HOME | WSG Wattens | 1 - 3 | |||||
AWAY | TSV Hartberg | 1 - 0 | |||||
HOME | Lask Linz | 1 - 3 |
Sturm Graz arrive with an impressive away record this season, boasting more wins than losses on the road and a significantly higher average of goals scored compared to their home form. Their recent form has been strong, with two wins in their last three matches, conceding very little in that period. They tend to be more direct in their play, as indicated by their higher shot volume and slightly lower possession figures when playing away from home.
Odds
Austria Vienna
(3-4-2-1)
Sturm Graz
(4-2-3-1)
