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Germany Bundesliga
1899 Hoffenheim logo
1899 Hoffenheim
Hamburger SV logo
Hamburger SV
Match Events
G. Promel
8'
29'
Ransford Yeboah Königsdörffer
O. Kabak
31'
65'
Nicolás Capaldo
T. Lemperle
65'
F. Asllani
72'
Grischa Prömel
74'
77'
Albert Sambi Lokonga
82'
R. Philippe
90'
R. Philippe

Preview

Hoffenheim vs Hamburg: Hosts Aim to Capitalize on Away Struggles in Bundesliga

Round 14 of the Bundesliga sees 1899 Hoffenheim host Hamburger SV. The home side, buoyed by a strong recent home run, will look to exploit Hamburg's significant away-day frailties, aiming to secure valuable points in what is expected to be a moderately scoring encounter.

This fixture pits Hoffenheim's potent home attack against Hamburg's defensive struggles away from home. Expect Hoffenheim to try and set the rhythm of the game, leveraging their higher average of shots and possession to probe Hamburg's backline. Hamburg, who have shown more attacking intent in their last outing, might attempt quick transitions, but their historical difficulty in breaking down opponents on the road suggests they could be largely penned back. The home side's recent success in efficiently converting chances, coupled with Hamburg's susceptibility to conceding, points towards an encounter where the hosts will aim to assert control.

Team statistics

Germany Bundesliga
Filter by Period

Team Stats Comparison

Home Team Matches
Away Team Matches
1899 Hoffenheim
VS
Hamburger SV
13
Matches played
13
7 - 2 - 4
Results
4 - 3 - 6
53.8%
Win %
30.8%
1.9
Goals scored
1.1
1.5
Goals conceded
1.5
4.7
Shots on target
4.7
5.2
Shots off target
4.8
3.6
Blocked shots
3.7
53.5
Ball possession
47.5
80
Pass accuracy
82
14.6
Fouls
13
2.9
Goalkeeper saves
3.3
2
Yellow cards
2.4
0
Red cards
0.4
League averages

Key points

  • • 1899 Hoffenheim have won their last three home matches, scoring an average of 3 goals per game.
  • • Hamburger SV have failed to win any of their last six away games, scoring only 0.3 goals per game on average.
  • • The odds favour Hoffenheim at 1.73, reflecting their stronger form and home advantage.

AI Prediction

Hoffenheim's imperious recent home form, coupled with Hamburg's abysmal away record, makes the hosts the clear favourites. The odds align with this, positioning Hoffenheim as strong contenders. Given both teams' recent scoring patterns and the implied goal-scoring potential, an 'over' bet on total goals and 'yes' for both teams to score presents compelling value.

  • AI
    Confidence
    Pick
    Recent Win% (20)
  • amazon/nova-lite-v1
    nova-lite-v1 (fr)
    by amazon
    85%
    1899 Hoffenheim HOME
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    40%
    O/U
    50%
    BTTS
    47%
  • google/gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001
    gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ar)
    by google
    70%
    1899 Hoffenheim HOME
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    50%
    O/U
    60%
    BTTS
    50%
  • google/gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001
    gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (es)
    by google
    70%
    1899 Hoffenheim HOME
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    50%
    O/U
    57%
    BTTS
    60%
  • google/gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001
    gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ru)
    by google
    70%
    1899 Hoffenheim HOME
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    50%
    O/U
    60%
    BTTS
    53%
  • google/gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001
    gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (vi)
    by google
    72%
    1899 Hoffenheim HOME
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    57%
    O/U
    53%
    BTTS
    37%
  • google/gemini-2.5-flash-lite
    gemini-2.5-flash-lite (en)
    by google
    85%
    1899 Hoffenheim HOME
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    57%
    O/U
    60%
    BTTS
    60%
  • meta-llama/llama-3.1-8b-instruct
    llama-3.1-8b-instruct (it)
    by meta-llama
    75%
    1899 Hoffenheim HOME
    BTTS NO
    2.5 UNDER
    1x2
    40%
    O/U
    57%
    BTTS
    47%
  • meta-llama/llama-3.1-8b-instruct
    llama-3.1-8b-instruct (nl)
    by meta-llama
    75%
    1899 Hoffenheim HOME
    BTTS YES
    2.5 UNDER
    1x2
    50%
    O/U
    43%
    BTTS
    47%
  • meta-llama/llama-3.3-70b-instruct
    llama-3.3-70b-instruct (pt)
    by meta-llama
    70%
    1899 Hoffenheim HOME
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    50%
    O/U
    53%
    BTTS
    50%
  • microsoft/phi-4-multimodal-instruct
    phi-4-multimodal-instruct (id)
    by microsoft
    85%
    1899 Hoffenheim HOME
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    50%
    O/U
    43%
    BTTS
    40%
  • mistralai/mistral-nemo
    mistral-nemo (de)
    by mistralai
    85%
    1899 Hoffenheim HOME
    BTTS NO
    2.5 UNDER
    1x2
    57%
    O/U
    47%
    BTTS
    30%
  • openai/gpt-oss-120b:exacto
    gpt-oss-120b:exacto (tr)
    by openai
    78%
    1899 Hoffenheim HOME
    BTTS NO
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    47%
    O/U
    50%
    BTTS
    57%
  • qwen/qwen-turbo
    qwen-turbo (th)
    by qwen
    85%
    1899 Hoffenheim HOME
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    47%
    O/U
    50%
    BTTS
    43%
  • x-ai/grok-4.1-fast
    grok-4.1-fast (ja)
    by x-ai
    78%
    1899 Hoffenheim HOME
    BTTS NO
    2.5 UNDER
    1x2
    57%
    O/U
    77%
    BTTS
    70%
  • x-ai/grok-4.1-fast
    grok-4.1-fast (ko)
    by x-ai
    82%
    1899 Hoffenheim HOME
    BTTS NO
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    50%
    O/U
    67%
    BTTS
    67%

H2H

Bundesliga
No head-to-head data available.
Includes records from 2023 onwards.
Includes records from 2023 onwards.

Team recent

1899 Hoffenheim Team recent

1899 Hoffenheim logo
1899 Hoffenheim
Home Team Matches
Match dateH/AVSScoreResultsO/U 2.5BTTSCor 9.5
AWAY
Borussia Dortmund0 - 2LUNY
HOME
FC Augsburg3 - 0WONY
AWAY
FSV Mainz 051 - 1DUYN
HOME
RB Leipzig3 - 1WOYY
AWAY
VfL Wolfsburg3 - 2WOYN
HOME
1. FC Heidenheim3 - 1WOYY
AWAY
FC St. Pauli3 - 0WONY
HOME
1. FC Köln0 - 1LUNY
AWAY
SC Freiburg1 - 1DUYY
HOME
Bayern München1 - 4LOYY

1899 Hoffenheim have been a formidable force at home this season, showcasing an impressive scoring record of 1.8 goals per game. Their recent form at their own ground is particularly striking, having won their last three home fixtures with a dominant average of three goals scored and conceding less than one. This upturn in fortunes, which contrasts with an otherwise mixed season overall, suggests they are building significant momentum and will be confident of continuing their positive trend here.

Hamburger SV Team recent

Hamburger SV logo
Hamburger SV
Away Team Matches
Match dateH/AVSScoreResultsO/U 2.5BTTSCor 9.5
HOME
Werder Bremen3 - 2WOYY
HOME
VfB Stuttgart2 - 1WOYN
AWAY
FC Augsburg0 - 1LUNN
HOME
Borussia Dortmund1 - 1DUYN
AWAY
1. FC Köln1 - 4LOYN
HOME
VfL Wolfsburg0 - 1LUNY
AWAY
RB Leipzig1 - 2LOYY
HOME
FSV Mainz 054 - 0WONN
AWAY
Union Berlin0 - 0DUNN
HOME
1. FC Heidenheim2 - 1WOYN

Hamburger SV present a starkly different picture, especially on the road. Their away record is concerning, with no wins in six attempts and a meagre return of just 0.3 goals per game, while conceding a worrying 2 goals on average. Despite a recent overall improvement in form, winning two of their last three, their last outing saw them fail to score and concede twice, a pattern that has plagued their away performances throughout the season.

O
Over
U
Under
Y
Yes
N
No

Odds

1x2
1899 Hoffenheim
HOME
1.67
DRAW
4.33
Hamburger SV
AWAY
4.33
2.5 OVER/UNDER
OVER
1.5
UNDER
2.62
BTTS
YES
1.53
NO
2.38
Lineups
1899 Hoffenheim

1899 Hoffenheim

(4-4-2)

Oliver Baumann
Albian Hajdari
Ozan Kabak
Robin Hranáč
Vladimír Coufal
Bazoumana Touré
Wouter Burger
Leon Avdullahu
Grischa Prömel
Andrej Kramarić
Tim Lemperle
Fabio Baldé
Ransford Yeboah Königsdörffer
Fábio Vieira
Miro Muheim
Jonas Meffert
Albert Sambi Lokonga
Giorgi Gocholeishvili
Jordan Torunarigha
Luka Vušković
Nicolás Capaldo
Daniel Heuer Fernandes
Hamburger SV

Hamburger SV

(3-4-3)

Average Player Rating

Injuries / suspensions

1899 Hoffenheim Injuries / suspensions

1899 Hoffenheim logo
1899 Hoffenheim
NameReasonTypeG/A
BernardoYellow CardsMissing Fixture0 / 0
K. MachidaKnee InjuryMissing Fixture0 / 0

Hamburger SV Injuries / suspensions

Hamburger SV logo
Hamburger SV
NameReasonTypeG/A
R. GlatzelInjuryMissing Fixture1 / 0
W. OmariKnee InjuryMissing Fixture0 / 1
I. PheraiPersonal ReasonsMissing Fixture0 / 0
N. RembergYellow CardsMissing Fixture0 / 2
A. Rossing-LelesiitMuscle InjuryMissing Fixture0 / 1
D. ElfadliGroin InjuryQuestionable0 / 0

League table

Germany Bundesliga
#TeamPlayedWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Bayern München15132055114441WDWWW
2Borussia Dortmund1595126121432WDWWD
3Bayer Leverkusen1592433201329WWLLW
4RB Leipzig1592430191129LLWDW
51899 Hoffenheim158342920927DWLWD
6VfB Stuttgart158252522326DWLLD
7Eintracht Frankfurt157443030025DWLDW
8Union Berlin156362023-321WWLLW
9SC Freiburg155552526-120WDLWL
10Werder Bremen154561828-1017DLLDL
111. FC Köln154472224-216LLDDL
12Borussia Mönchengladbach154471824-616LLWDW
13Hamburger SV154471625-916DLWWL
14VfL Wolfsburg154382328-515LWWDL
15FC Augsburg154291728-1114DLWLW
16FC St. Pauli153391326-1312DWDLL
171. FC Heidenheim1532101334-2111LLWWL
18FSV Mainz 05151591326-138DDLLD
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