Wellington Phoenix vs Adelaide United - AI Match Preview

Special Event

Share on X to get a 7-day premium benefit!

Claim Benefit

Australia A-League

Wellington Phoenix

Adelaide United

Match Events

14'

R. White

Corban Piper

28'

Lukas Kelly-Heald

30'

Alex Rufer

40'

44'

L. Duzel

54'

Craig Goodwin

I. Hughes

56'

C. Piper

65'

72'

Anselmo

Preview

Wellington Phoenix vs Adelaide United: A-League Clash of Contrasting Form

The Wellington Phoenix host Adelaide United in a crucial A-League fixture. While the Phoenix have shown recent attacking spark, Adelaide arrive with a strong overall record but a recent dip in form away from home. This sets up a fascinating tactical battle.

This fixture pits Wellington's recent attacking momentum against Adelaide's generally more composed, possession-based style. The Phoenix's recent drop in possession and shots in their last game, despite a win, might indicate a more direct approach. Adelaide, while typically controlling the ball, have struggled defensively away from home recently. Expect Wellington to try and exploit Adelaide's fragile away defence with quick transitions, while Adelaide will look to patiently build from the back and utilise their passing accuracy, but will need to shore up their backline to avoid being caught out by Wellington's renewed attacking vigour.

Team statistics

Australia A-League

Wellington Phoenix

Adelaide United

Matches played

4 - 2 - 5

Results

5 - 0 - 6

36.4%

Win %

45.5%

1.5

Goals scored

1.5

1.8

Goals conceded

1.5

5.2

Shots on target

4.6

4.7

Shots off target

3.8

3.4

Blocked shots

3.6

52.4

Ball possession

53.2

76.9

Pass accuracy

Fouls

9.6

3.2

Goalkeeper saves

3.9

1.1

Yellow cards

1.4

0.2

Red cards

0.2

League averages

Key points

• Wellington Phoenix have won 50% of their home games this season.
• Adelaide United have lost 80% of their away matches this campaign.
• Wellington Phoenix are averaging 2.3 goals per game in their last three matches.

AI Prediction

Wellington Phoenix's recent attacking surge, particularly at home, combined with Adelaide United's significant struggles away from home, points towards a home victory. Adelaide's last performance was particularly alarming. The odds also favour the home side slightly, aligning with the statistical trends suggesting Wellington can capitalize on Adelaide's defensive frailties. Both teams have shown they can score, making both teams to score a strong possibility.

AI

Confidence

Pick

Recent Win% (20)
nova-lite-v1 (fr)

by amazon

75%

HOME

BTTS YES

2.5 UNDER

1x2

53%

O/U

60%

BTTS

50%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ar)

by google

65%

HOME

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

50%

O/U

60%

BTTS

57%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (es)

by google

68%

HOME

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

40%

O/U

70%

BTTS

63%

H2H

A-League

Match date	Team	Score	Team	O/U 2.5	BTTS
11/29/2025	HOME Wellington Phoenix	W 2 - 1 L	Adelaide United	O	Y
4/18/2025	Wellington Phoenix	L 2 - 3 W	Adelaide United AWAY	O	Y
1/11/2025	HOME Wellington Phoenix	L 1 - 2 W	Adelaide United	O	Y
3/3/2024	HOME Wellington Phoenix	W 3 - 2 L	Adelaide United	O	Y
1/4/2024	Wellington Phoenix	D 2 - 2 D	Adelaide United AWAY	O	Y

Includes records from 2023 onwards.

Team recent

Wellington Phoenix

H/A	VS	Score	Results	O/U 2.5	BTTS	Cor 9.5
AWAY	Brisbane Roar	3 - 0	W	O	N	N
AWAY	Melbourne Victory	1 - 5	L	O	Y	N
HOME	Central Coast Mariners	3 - 1	W	O	Y	N
HOME	Newcastle Jets	1 - 3	L	O	Y	Y
AWAY	Auckland	1 - 3	L	O	Y	N
HOME	Adelaide United	2 - 1	W	O	Y	Y
HOME	Macarthur	0 - 1	L	U	N	Y
HOME	Auckland	1 - 2	L	O	Y	Y
AWAY	Central Coast Mariners	1 - 1	D	U	Y	Y
HOME	Brisbane Roar	2 - 1	W	O	Y	N

Wellington Phoenix have been a mixed bag this season, with more losses than wins overall. However, their home form offers a glimmer of hope, boasting a 50% win rate at their own ground. Recent performances have seen a significant uptick in their attacking output, scoring 2.3 goals per game over their last three matches. This surge, highlighted by a dominant 3-0 victory in their last outing, suggests they are finding their stride, particularly at home where they managed 9 shots on goal in that sole fixture.

Adelaide United

H/A	VS	Score	Results	O/U 2.5	BTTS	Cor 9.5
HOME	Central Coast Mariners	0 - 4	L	O	N	Y
HOME	Western Sydney Wanderers	3 - 2	W	O	Y	N
AWAY	Perth Glory	1 - 0	W	U	N	N
AWAY	Melbourne Victory	1 - 2	L	O	Y	Y
HOME	Brisbane Roar	0 - 1	L	U	N	Y
AWAY	Wellington Phoenix	1 - 2	L	O	Y	Y
HOME	Melbourne City	4 - 1	W	O	Y	N
HOME	Western Sydney Wanderers	2 - 0	W	U	N	Y
AWAY	Auckland	1 - 2	L	O	Y	Y
AWAY	Macarthur	1 - 2	L	O	Y	Y

Adelaide United present a curious case. Statistically, they are solid overall, with a respectable scoring record and a high pass completion rate. Their home form is particularly strong, but their away record tells a different story, with a concerning 80% of matches ending in defeat. Despite their overall average of 1.5 goals scored per game, their recent away form has seen them net just once in their last three road trips, conceding 1.3 per game. Their last match was a heavy 0-4 defeat, where they conceded a remarkable 70% possession and registered only 22 shots, a stark contrast to their usual attacking intent.

Over

Under

Yes

Odds

1x2

HOME

2.35

DRAW

3.9

AWAY

2.7

2.5 OVER/UNDER

OVER

1.53

UNDER

2.5

BTTS

YES

1.5

2.5

Lineups