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Perth Glory vs Adelaide United: Hosts Seek Home Resurgence
Perth Glory welcomes Adelaide United in a fixture that pits the hosts' poor home form against Adelaide's abysmal away record. While Perth have struggled to find the net at home, Adelaide have been porous on the road, setting the stage for a potentially tight, low-scoring contest.
This match appears to be a battle of contrasting weaknesses. Perth Glory's inability to convert chances at home may lead them to a more patient buildup, attempting to exploit Adelaide's defensive vulnerabilities on the road. Adelaide, conversely, might try to leverage their slightly higher overall possession stats, but their away pattern suggests they could be caught out defensively, especially if Perth can generate early pressure. The home side's recent defensive improvement in their last three games, despite conceding in most, might see them adopt a more compact mid-block, forcing Adelaide to break them down. However, Adelaide's recent heavy concession rates on the road suggest this could be a game where the first goal, if it comes, is critical.
Team statistics
Team Stats Comparison
Key points
- • Adelaide United have lost all four of their away games this season, conceding two goals per match.
- • Perth Glory score significantly fewer goals at home (0.6 per game) than they do away (1.3 per game).
- • Both teams have averages suggesting a low-scoring outcome, with Adelaide's away defence being a major concern.
AI Prediction
The odds suggest a very tight contest, with home and away win odds very close. While Adelaide have struggled immensely away from home, Perth's own home form is dire. However, Adelaide's recent defensive record on the road is alarming, conceding an average of 2 goals. Perth's recent form, despite a last-game loss, shows some defensive solidity and an improved ability to score. Given Adelaide's away woes and Perth's slight recent upturn, the home side might just edge this, but goals are expected to be at a premium.
- AIConfidencePickRecent Win% (20)
nova-lite-v1 (fr)by amazon70% AWAYBTTS NO2.5 UNDER1x233%O/U43%BTTS47%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ar)by google65%X DRAWBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x237%O/U43%BTTS50%- gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (es)by google65% AWAYBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x247%O/U47%BTTS50%
- gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ru)by google65% HOMEBTTS NO2.5 UNDER1x253%O/U40%BTTS37%
- gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (vi)by google70% AWAYBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x247%O/U57%BTTS53%
- gemini-2.5-flash-lite (en)by google70% HOMEBTTS NO2.5 UNDER1x237%O/U37%BTTS37%
llama-3.1-8b-instruct (it)by meta-llama70% AWAYBTTS YES2.5 UNDER1x240%O/U57%BTTS50%- llama-3.1-8b-instruct (nl)by meta-llama75% AWAYBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x247%O/U50%BTTS50%
- llama-3.3-70b-instruct (pt)by meta-llama65%X DRAWBTTS YES2.5 UNDER1x250%O/U43%BTTS47%
phi-4-multimodal-instruct (id)by microsoft85% HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x243%O/U43%BTTS43%
mistral-nemo (de)by mistralai85% HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x240%O/U30%BTTS33%
gpt-oss-120b:exacto (tr)by openai78% HOMEBTTS NO2.5 UNDER1x253%O/U43%BTTS30%
qwen-turbo (th)by qwen78% AWAYBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x250%O/U57%BTTS57%
grok-4.1-fast (ja)by x-ai68% HOMEBTTS NO2.5 UNDER1x243%O/U63%BTTS50%- grok-4.1-fast (ko)by x-ai72% HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x243%O/U50%BTTS50%
H2H
Team recent
Perth Glory Team recent
| Match date | H/A | VS | Score | Results | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | Cor 9.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HOME | Sydney | 0 - 1 | |||||
HOME | Western Sydney Wanderers | 1 - 0 | |||||
AWAY | Macarthur | 2 - 0 | |||||
AWAY | Newcastle Jets | 2 - 1 | |||||
HOME | Central Coast Mariners | 0 - 1 | |||||
HOME | Melbourne Victory | 0 - 2 | |||||
AWAY | Melbourne City | 0 - 4 | |||||
HOME | Wellington Phoenix | 2 - 2 |
Perth Glory's season has been a difficult watch, particularly at home. Despite averaging over a goal per game overall, their home scoring has been severely curtailed, managing only 0.6 goals per match across five games. Their overall defensive record isn't stellar, conceding 1.4 goals per outing, and their home defence has been even more leaky. Recent form offers a glimmer of hope, with two wins in their last three overall, though their last outing was a goalless defeat. This suggests they might be building some resilience, but the home ground has been a significant hurdle.
Adelaide United Team recent
| Match date | H/A | VS | Score | Results | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | Cor 9.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AWAY | Melbourne Victory | 1 - 2 | |||||
HOME | Brisbane Roar | 0 - 1 | |||||
AWAY | Wellington Phoenix | 1 - 2 | |||||
HOME | Melbourne City | 4 - 1 | |||||
HOME | Western Sydney Wanderers | 2 - 0 | |||||
AWAY | Auckland | 1 - 2 | |||||
AWAY | Macarthur | 1 - 2 | |||||
HOME | Sydney | 2 - 1 |
Adelaide United present a stark contrast in away form. They boast a perfect record of four losses from four away fixtures, conceding a concerning 2 goals per game while scoring just one. Their overall season statistics are slightly better offensively, but their away performances tell a story of significant defensive frailty and a struggle to impose themselves. Despite a recent three-game losing streak overall, their last match saw them score one goal, a minor positive. However, their away performances are a major red flag, and the statistics suggest they struggle to keep clean sheets on the road.
Odds
Perth Glory
(4-2-3-1)
Adelaide United
(4-4-2)
Injuries / suspensions
Perth Glory Injuries / suspensions
Adelaide United Injuries / suspensions