Newcastle Jets vs Wellington Phoenix - AI Match Preview

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Australia A-League

Newcastle Jets

Wellington Phoenix

Match Events

L. Bayliss

C. Taylor

56'

E. Adams

70'

86'

S. Kartum

X. Bertoncello

89'

Preview

Newcastle Jets vs Wellington Phoenix: Jets Seek Home Turnaround Against Resurgent Phoenix

Newcastle Jets host Wellington Phoenix in a clash that pits the Jets' inconsistent home form against the Phoenix's recent surge. While the Jets boast a strong overall scoring record, their home defence has been leaky, setting the stage for a potentially open encounter against a Wellington side that has found its scoring touch.

This fixture presents an interesting tactical contrast. Newcastle Jets, despite their struggles at home, tend to dominate possession and build from the back, as evidenced by their higher passing accuracy and ball retention. They'll likely aim to leverage their overall scoring threat through patient build-up. Wellington Phoenix, on the other hand, have shown a greater propensity for quick transitions and a more direct approach, especially in their recent away wins. The Jets' home defensive frailties, coupled with Wellington's recent attacking impetus, suggest a game where the home side may need to rely on outscoring their visitors, rather than shutting them down.

Team statistics

Australia A-League

Newcastle Jets

Wellington Phoenix

Matches played

7 - 0 - 6

Results

5 - 3 - 5

53.8%

Win %

38.5%

Goals scored

1.6

1.8

Goals conceded

1.7

5.5

Shots on target

5.2

4.9

Shots off target

4.8

4.1

Blocked shots

3.4

51.7

Ball possession

51.6

81.5

Pass accuracy

77.5

9.3

Fouls

9.6

3.7

Goalkeeper saves

3.2

1.5

Yellow cards

1.2

0.1

Red cards

0.2

League averages

Key points

• Newcastle Jets average 2 goals per game overall, but concede 2.3 at home.
• Wellington Phoenix are unbeaten in their last three matches, scoring 2.3 goals per game in that period.
• The odds suggest a home win is the most likely outcome, with a market favouring over 2.5 goals.

AI Prediction

The odds favour the home side, which aligns with Newcastle's overall scoring prowess, though their home defensive record is worrying. Wellington's recent form is undeniable, and they've shown they can score away from home. Given both teams' scoring records and Wellington's recent uptick, a high-scoring affair where both teams find the net seems probable. I'm backing the Jets to edge it at home, trusting their overall attacking strength and the market's leanings.

AI

Confidence

Pick

Recent Win% (20)
nova-lite-v1 (fr)

by amazon

70%

X DRAW

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

53%

O/U

67%

BTTS

63%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ar)

by google

78%

HOME

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

47%

O/U

50%

BTTS

57%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (es)

by google

70%

HOME

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

50%

O/U

53%

BTTS

53%

H2H

A-League

Match date	Team	Score	Team	O/U 2.5	BTTS
12/14/2025	Newcastle Jets	W 3 - 1 L	Wellington Phoenix AWAY	O	Y
4/6/2025	HOME Newcastle Jets	L 1 - 2 W	Wellington Phoenix	O	Y
12/28/2024	Newcastle Jets	L 1 - 2 W	Wellington Phoenix AWAY	O	Y
9/17/2024	Newcastle Jets	W 1 - 0 L	Wellington Phoenix AWAY	U	N
4/19/2024	HOME Newcastle Jets	D 1 - 1 D	Wellington Phoenix	U	Y
1/27/2024	HOME Newcastle Jets	L 1 - 2 W	Wellington Phoenix	O	Y
12/9/2023	Newcastle Jets	W 3 - 0 L	Wellington Phoenix AWAY	O	N

Includes records from 2023 onwards.

Team recent

Newcastle Jets

H/A	VS	Score	Results	O/U 2.5	BTTS	Cor 9.5
AWAY	Western Sydney Wanderers	2 - 1	W	O	Y	Y
AWAY	Melbourne City	1 - 0	W	U	N	Y
AWAY	Auckland	3 - 1	W	O	Y	N
HOME	Macarthur	4 - 5	L	O	Y	N
HOME	Sydney	2 - 0	W	U	N	Y
AWAY	Wellington Phoenix	3 - 1	W	O	Y	N
HOME	Melbourne City	0 - 1	L	U	N	Y
AWAY	Auckland	2 - 1	W	O	Y	N
HOME	Perth Glory	1 - 2	L	O	Y	Y
AWAY	Brisbane Roar	0 - 3	L	O	N	Y

Newcastle Jets have shown flashes of attacking quality throughout the season, averaging over two goals per game overall. However, their home form paints a different picture, with a concerning four losses in six outings and a porous defence conceding 2.3 goals on average. Despite a strong finish to their last home match, a 4-5 defeat, their overall home record suggests they are vulnerable when playing in front of their own supporters. Recent form has been excellent, with three wins on the bounce, but this has been heavily skewed by their away performances.

Wellington Phoenix

H/A	VS	Score	Results	O/U 2.5	BTTS	Cor 9.5
AWAY	Sydney	2 - 0	W	U	N	N
HOME	Adelaide United	2 - 2	D	O	Y	Y
AWAY	Brisbane Roar	3 - 0	W	O	N	N
AWAY	Melbourne Victory	1 - 5	L	O	Y	N
HOME	Central Coast Mariners	3 - 1	W	O	Y	N
HOME	Newcastle Jets	1 - 3	L	O	Y	Y
AWAY	Auckland	1 - 3	L	O	Y	N
HOME	Adelaide United	2 - 1	W	O	Y	Y
HOME	Macarthur	0 - 1	L	U	N	Y
HOME	Auckland	1 - 2	L	O	Y	Y

Wellington Phoenix arrive in much better recent form, unbeaten in their last three matches overall with two wins and a draw, scoring an impressive 2.3 goals per game during this spell. Their away record is more balanced, with two wins, two draws, and two losses, though they've averaged 1.7 goals scored and 1.8 conceded on the road. The Phoenix's last outing saw them secure a convincing 2-0 away win, and they appear to have found a more potent attacking rhythm, particularly evident in their recent scoring average.

Over

Under

Yes

Odds

1x2

HOME

1.65

DRAW

4.75

AWAY

4.1

2.5 OVER/UNDER

OVER

1.33

UNDER

3.4

BTTS

YES

1.4

2.75

Lineups

Newcastle Jets

(4-3-3)

James Delianov

Daniel Wilmering

Mark Natta

Joe Shaughnessy

Joel Bertolissio

Lachlan Bayliss

Max Burgess

Will Dobson

Clayton Taylor

Lachlan Rose

Eli Adams

Corban Piper

Ifeanyi Eze

Carlo Armiento

Kazuki Nagasawa

Alex Rufer

Ramy Najjarine

Matt Sheridan

Isaac Hughes

Manjrekar James

Tim Payne

Eamonn McCarron

Wellington Phoenix

(4-4-2)

Average Player Rating

Injuries / suspensions

Newcastle Jets

Name	Reason	Type	G/A
T. Aquilina	Inactive	Missing Fixture	- / -
A. Badolato	Injury	Missing Fixture	- / -
C. Bracco	Inactive	Missing Fixture	- / -
Z. Clough	Inactive	Missing Fixture	- / -
O. Fryer	Knee Injury	Missing Fixture	- / -

Wellington Phoenix

Name	Reason	Type	G/A
D. Edwards	Inactive	Missing Fixture	- / -
H. Ishige	Injury	Missing Fixture	- / -
S. Kartum	Inactive	Missing Fixture	- / -
J. Oluwayemi	Injury	Missing Fixture	- / -
J. Smith	Inactive	Missing Fixture	- / -
L. Supyk	Injury	Missing Fixture	- / -
N. Walker	Inactive	Missing Fixture	- / -

League table

Australia A-League

#	Team	Played	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Auckland	9	6	2	1	14	7	7	20	WWWLD
2	Sydney	9	6	0	3	15	7	8	18	LWWLW
3	Adelaide United	10	5	0	5	16	13	3	15	WWLLL
4	Brisbane Roar	9	4	3	2	9	5	4	15	LDWWD
5	Macarthur	10	4	3	3	12	13	-1	15	WDWDL
6	Melbourne Victory	10	4	2	4	12	13	-1	14	WWWDL
7	Perth Glory	10	4	1	5	10	13	-3	13	WLLWW
8	Melbourne City	10	3	4	3	11	10	1	13	LDLWD
9	Newcastle Jets	10	4	0	6	20	22	-2	12	LWWLW
10	Wellington Phoenix	10	3	2	5	14	20	-6	11	LWLLW
11	Western Sydney Wanderers	10	2	3	5	8	13	-5	9	LLDLW
12	Central Coast Mariners	9	2	2	5	10	15	-5	8	LLLDL

Newcastle Jets vs Wellington Phoenix AI Match Preview, Prediction, Team Stats Comparison, League table

Match Events

Preview

Newcastle Jets vs Wellington Phoenix: Jets Seek Home Turnaround Against Resurgent Phoenix

Team statistics

Team Stats Comparison

Key points

AI Prediction

H2H

Team recent

Newcastle Jets Team recent

Wellington Phoenix Team recent

Odds

Lineups

Newcastle Jets

Wellington Phoenix

Injuries / suspensions

Newcastle Jets Injuries / suspensions

Wellington Phoenix Injuries / suspensions

League table