Parma vs Fiorentina - AI Match Preview

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Italy Serie A

Parma

Fiorentina

Match Events

Alessandro Circati

20'

22'

Rolando Mandragora

O. Sorensen

48'

Edoardo Corvi

86'

90'

Marin Pongračić

Preview

Parma vs Fiorentina: Hosts Seek Home Spark Against Struggling Visitors in Serie A

Parma host Fiorentina in Serie A, with the home side desperately needing to improve their dismal home record. Fiorentina, despite their overall poor season, have shown flashes of attacking threat but struggle to convert that into away wins, suggesting a potentially tight contest.

This fixture pits Parma's dire home form against Fiorentina's persistent away-day woes. We can expect Parma to adopt a more cautious approach at home, perhaps attempting to build from a compact mid-block to limit Fiorentina's possession-based game. Fiorentina, meanwhile, will likely look to control possession and probe for openings, but their recent away performance data suggests they might lack the cutting edge to exploit Parma's defensive frailties, especially if the hosts can manage to offer more in attack than their season stats suggest.

Team statistics

Italy Serie A

Parma

Fiorentina

Matches played

3 - 5 - 7

Results

1 - 6 - 9

20%

Win %

6.3%

0.7

Goals scored

1.1

1.2

Goals conceded

1.7

3.1

Shots on target

4.7

Shots off target

5.9

3.6

Blocked shots

3.8

42.4

Ball possession

52.6

76.2

Pass accuracy

82.7

10.2

Fouls

13.1

Goalkeeper saves

3.3

1.9

Yellow cards

2.4

0.2

Red cards

0.1

League averages

Key points

• Parma have won only one home game all season, conceding 1.4 goals per match at home.
• Fiorentina are still searching for their first away win of the season, having drawn four and lost four on the road.
• Fiorentina's last match saw them score 5 goals, but their away scoring average is a mere 0.6 goals per game.

AI Prediction

Fiorentina's recent attacking form and Parma's desperate need for a home result suggest goals could be on the cards, making BTTS a strong consideration. Despite Fiorentina's better recent scoring, their away record and Parma's own struggles point towards a tight contest. The odds favour Fiorentina slightly, but both teams' underlying weaknesses, particularly Parma's home defence and Fiorentina's away winless streak, suggest a draw could be the most likely outcome.

AI

Confidence

Pick

Recent Win% (20)
nova-lite-v1 (fr)

by amazon

75%

AWAY

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

33%

O/U

63%

BTTS

53%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ar)

by google

65%

AWAY

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

47%

O/U

53%

BTTS

57%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (es)

by google

68%

X DRAW

BTTS NO

2.5 UNDER

1x2

43%

O/U

43%

BTTS

60%

H2H

Serie A

Match date	Team	Score	Team	O/U 2.5	BTTS
4/13/2025	Parma	D 0 - 0 D	Fiorentina AWAY	U	N
8/17/2024	HOME Parma	D 1 - 1 D	Fiorentina	U	Y
12/6/2023	Parma	D 2 - 2 D	Fiorentina AWAY	O	Y
7/20/2023	Parma	D 1 - 1 D	Fiorentina AWAY	U	Y

Includes records from 2023 onwards.

Team recent

Parma

H/A	VS	Score	Results	O/U 2.5	BTTS	Cor 9.5
HOME	Lazio	0 - 1	L	U	N	N
AWAY	Pisa	1 - 0	W	U	N	N
HOME	Udinese	0 - 2	L	U	N	Y
AWAY	Verona	2 - 1	W	O	Y	N
HOME	AC Milan	2 - 2	D	O	Y	N
HOME	Bologna	1 - 3	L	O	Y	N
AWAY	AS Roma	1 - 2	L	O	Y	N
HOME	Como	0 - 0	D	U	N	N
AWAY	Genoa	0 - 0	D	U	N	N
HOME	Lecce	0 - 1	L	U	N	N

Parma's season has been a difficult one, particularly at home where they've secured only one victory from eight games, conceding nearly 1.5 goals on average. Their overall scoring record is also meagre, under a goal per game, and this has been particularly stark in their last three outings, managing just a single goal across those matches. While they managed 19 shots in their most recent home fixture, converting only one of those opportunities highlights a clear struggle in the final third.

Fiorentina

H/A	VS	Score	Results	O/U 2.5	BTTS	Cor 9.5
HOME	Udinese	5 - 1	W	O	Y	N
HOME	Verona	1 - 2	L	O	Y	Y
AWAY	Sassuolo	1 - 3	L	O	Y	N
AWAY	Atalanta	0 - 2	L	U	N	Y
HOME	Juventus	1 - 1	D	U	Y	Y
AWAY	Genoa	2 - 2	D	O	Y	Y
HOME	Lecce	0 - 1	L	U	N	N
AWAY	Inter	0 - 3	L	O	N	Y
HOME	Bologna	2 - 2	D	O	Y	Y
AWAY	AC Milan	1 - 2	L	O	Y	N

Fiorentina's season paints a picture of a team that struggles for consistent wins, with over half of their league games ending in defeat. Their away form is particularly concerning, failing to win any of their eight road trips and conceding 1.6 goals per match. Interestingly, they've shown more attacking verve in their most recent fixtures, averaging over two goals in their last three, including a dominant 5-1 home win in their last outing. However, their away possession stats remain high, suggesting they may struggle to break down compact defences or finish chances when they do get them.

Over

Under

Yes

Odds

1x2

HOME

3.75

DRAW

3.25

AWAY

2.1

2.5 OVER/UNDER

OVER

2.1

UNDER

1.73

BTTS

YES

1.91

Lineups

Parma

(4-3-3)

E. Corvi

E. Valeri

L. Valenti

A. Circati

S. Britschgi

O. Sorensen

M. Keita

A. Bernabe

J. Ondrejka

M. Pellegrino

A. Benedyczak

A. Gudmundsson

M. Kean

M. Viti

C. Ndour

N. Fagioli

R. Mandragora

F. Parisi

M. Pongracic

P. Comuzzo

Dodo

D. de Gea

Fiorentina

(3-5-2)

Average Player Rating

Injuries / suspensions

Parma

Name	Reason	Type	G/A
M. Frigan	Knee Injury	Missing Fixture	- / -
A. Ndiaye	Groin Injury	Missing Fixture	- / -
Z. Suzuki	Finger Injury	Missing Fixture	- / -
A. Circati	Leg Injury	Questionable	- / -

Fiorentina

Name	Reason	Type	G/A
J. Fazzini	Ankle Injury	Missing Fixture	- / -
T. Lamptey	Knee Injury	Missing Fixture	- / -
P. Mari	Calf Injury	Missing Fixture	- / -
L. Ranieri	Yellow Cards	Missing Fixture	- / -
A. Richardson	Inactive	Missing Fixture	- / -

League table

Italy Serie A

#	Team	Played	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Inter	16	12	0	4	35	14	21	36	WWWWL
2	AC Milan	16	10	5	1	27	13	14	35	WDWWW
3	Napoli	16	11	1	4	24	13	11	34	WLWWW
4	AS Roma	17	11	0	6	20	11	9	33	WLWLL
5	Juventus	17	9	5	3	23	15	8	32	WWWLW
6	Como	16	7	6	3	22	12	10	27	WLLWW
7	Bologna	16	7	5	4	24	14	10	26	DLDLW
8	Lazio	17	6	6	5	18	12	6	24	DDWDL
9	Sassuolo	17	6	4	7	22	21	1	22	DLDWL
10	Atalanta	17	5	7	5	20	19	1	22	LWWLW
11	Udinese	17	6	4	7	18	28	-10	22	DLWLW
12	Cremonese	17	5	6	6	18	20	-2	21	LDLWW
13	Torino	17	5	5	7	17	28	-11	20	LWWLL
14	Cagliari	17	4	6	7	19	24	-5	18	WDLWL
15	Parma	16	4	5	7	11	18	-7	17	WLWLW
16	Lecce	16	4	4	8	11	22	-11	16	LWLWL
17	Genoa	17	3	5	9	17	27	-10	14	LLLWW
18	Verona	16	2	6	8	13	25	-12	12	LWWLL
19	Pisa	17	1	8	8	12	24	-12	11	LDLLL
20	Fiorentina	17	1	6	10	17	28	-11	9	LWLLL

Parma vs Fiorentina AI Match Preview, Prediction, Team Stats Comparison, League table

Match Events

Preview

Parma vs Fiorentina: Hosts Seek Home Spark Against Struggling Visitors in Serie A

Team statistics

Team Stats Comparison

Key points

AI Prediction

H2H

Team recent

Parma Team recent

Fiorentina Team recent

Odds

Lineups

Parma

Fiorentina

Injuries / suspensions

Parma Injuries / suspensions

Fiorentina Injuries / suspensions

League table