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Brazil Serie A
Coritiba logo
Coritiba
Bahia logo
Bahia

Preview

Coritiba vs Bahia: Serie A Stalemate Looms as Form Guides Differ

Coritiba host Bahia in a Serie A clash where contrasting recent form meets season-long statistical parity. While Bahia have been more potent on the road, Coritiba's home form has seen them grind out results, suggesting a tight, potentially low-scoring encounter.

This fixture pits Bahia's possession-based approach against Coritiba's more pragmatic, counter-attacking style, particularly at home. Bahia will likely seek to leverage their superior ball retention and higher shot volume to break down Coritiba. The home side, however, will probably adopt a compact defensive shape, aiming to frustrate their visitors and exploit any transitional opportunities. Coritiba's low possession stats suggest they are content to let opponents have the ball, making it crucial for Bahia to be patient and avoid leaving too much space in behind their own midfield.

Team statistics

Brazil Serie A
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Team Stats Comparison

Home Team Matches
Away Team Matches
Coritiba
VS
Bahia
16
Matches played
15
6 - 5 - 5
Results
6 - 5 - 4
37.5%
Win %
40%
1.3
Goals scored
1.4
1.2
Goals conceded
1.3
3.1
Shots on target
5.3
4.6
Shots off target
4.7
2.3
Blocked shots
3.2
38.4
Ball possession
53.3
77.8
Pass accuracy
84.8
11.4
Fouls
14.4
3.9
Goalkeeper saves
3.8
1.9
Yellow cards
2.3
0.4
Red cards
0.1
League averages

Key points

  • • Bahia boasts a superior away scoring record (1.3 goals per game) compared to Coritiba's home average (1 goal per game).
  • • Coritiba's recent home form shows more draws than wins, indicating a tendency to grind out results.
  • • Overall, both teams are closely matched in terms of win percentages and goals scored/conceded across the season.

AI Prediction

The odds suggest a very evenly matched contest, and the statistical profiles largely support this. Coritiba's home resilience, coupled with Bahia's strong away scoring record, points towards a game where neither side can quite gain the upper hand. Both teams concede a comparable number of goals, and while Bahia's recent form has stuttered, their away performances offer confidence they can find the net. Coritiba's last match was a potent offensive display, hinting they might score too, making BTTS a reasonable consideration despite the expectation of a low-scoring game.

  • AI
    Confidence
    Pick
    Recent Win% (20)
  • amazon/nova-lite-v1
    nova-lite-v1 (fr)
    by amazon
    72%
    Bahia AWAY
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    47%
    O/U
    50%
    BTTS
    57%
  • deepseek/deepseek-v4-pro
    deepseek-v4-pro (ja)
    by deepseek
    73%
    X DRAW
    BTTS NO
    2.5 UNDER
    1x2
    40%
    O/U
    40%
    BTTS
    30%
  • google/gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001
    gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ar)
    by google
    65%
    X DRAW
    BTTS YES
    2.5 UNDER
    1x2
    40%
    O/U
    73%
    BTTS
    77%
  • google/gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001
    gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (es)
    by google
    68%
    X DRAW
    BTTS YES
    2.5 UNDER
    1x2
    47%
    O/U
    67%
    BTTS
    73%
  • google/gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001
    gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ru)
    by google
    65%
    X DRAW
    BTTS YES
    2.5 UNDER
    1x2
    40%
    O/U
    70%
    BTTS
    80%
  • google/gemini-2.5-flash-lite
    gemini-2.5-flash-lite (en)
    by google
    65%
    X DRAW
    BTTS YES
    2.5 UNDER
    1x2
    47%
    O/U
    73%
    BTTS
    77%
  • meta-llama/llama-3.1-8b-instruct
    llama-3.1-8b-instruct (it)
    by meta-llama
    75%
    X DRAW
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    47%
    O/U
    73%
    BTTS
    80%
  • meta-llama/llama-3.3-70b-instruct
    llama-3.3-70b-instruct (pt)
    by meta-llama
    65%
    X DRAW
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    40%
    O/U
    73%
    BTTS
    73%
  • openai/gpt-oss-120b:free
    gpt-oss-120b:free (tr)
    by openai
    78%
    X DRAW
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    47%
    O/U
    80%
    BTTS
    80%
  • x-ai/grok-4.3
    grok-4.3 (ko)
    by x-ai
    63%
    Bahia AWAY
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    50%
    O/U
    73%
    BTTS
    70%

H2H

Serie A
Match dateTeamScoreTeamO/U 2.5BTTS
9/14/2023HOME
Coritiba
L 2 - 4 W
Bahia
OY
5/7/2023
Coritiba
L 1 - 3 W
Bahia
AWAY
OY
Includes records from 2023 onwards.

Team recent

Coritiba Team recent

Coritiba logo
Coritiba
Home Team Matches
Match dateH/AVSScoreResultsO/U 2.5BTTSCor 9.5
AWAY
Santos3 - 0WONN
HOME
Internacional2 - 2DOYN
AWAY
Vitoria1 - 4LOYN
AWAY
Gremio0 - 1LUNN
HOME
Atletico-MG2 - 0WUNN
AWAY
Botafogo2 - 2DOYN
HOME
Fluminense1 - 1DUYN
HOME
Vasco DA Gama1 - 1DUYN
AWAY
Atletico Paranaense0 - 2LUNN
AWAY
Mirassol1 - 0WUNN

Coritiba's season overall paints a picture of a side that struggles to dominate, evident in their below-average possession figures and a win rate that hovers around 37%. Their home record is particularly indicative of a team that finds wins hard to come by, with more draws than victories at their own ground. However, their most recent home outing saw them secure a draw, and overall they've conceded less than a goal per game at home, suggesting a degree of defensive solidity when playing in front of their fans. Their recent overall form is a mixed bag, with a win, draw, and loss in their last three, but the last outing was a convincing 3-0 victory, offering a glimmer of offensive promise.

Bahia Team recent

Bahia logo
Bahia
Away Team Matches
Match dateH/AVSScoreResultsO/U 2.5BTTSCor 9.5
HOME
Gremio1 - 1DUYY
HOME
Cruzeiro1 - 2LOYY
AWAY
Sao Paulo2 - 2DOYY
HOME
Santos2 - 2DOYY
AWAY
Flamengo0 - 2LUNN
AWAY
Mirassol2 - 1WOYN
HOME
Palmeiras1 - 2LOYY
HOME
Atletico Paranaense3 - 0WONN
AWAY
Remo1 - 4LOYY
HOME
RB Bragantino2 - 0WUNY

Bahia present a more statistically robust profile, particularly regarding attacking output and possession. Their overall season shows them scoring more than they concede, and their away form is surprisingly strong, with more wins than losses on the road and a solid goal-scoring record. Despite a recent dip in form, with two draws and a loss in their last three overall matches, Bahia's away performances have been more resilient, picking up a win, draw, and loss in their last three away fixtures. Their last match ended in a 2-2 draw away from home, showcasing their ability to find the net but also their vulnerability at the back.

O
Over
U
Under
Y
Yes
N
No

Odds

1x2
Coritiba
HOME
2.7
DRAW
3.25
Bahia
AWAY
2.7
2.5 OVER/UNDER
OVER
2
UNDER
1.8
BTTS
YES
1.75
NO
2
Lineups

Lineup information is currently unavailable. It will be updated 1 hour before kickoff.

Average Player Rating

Injuries / suspensions

No injury/suspension information available.

League table

Brazil Serie A
#TeamPlayedWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Palmeiras16105126131335DDDWW
2Flamengo1493227121530WDWWW
3Fluminense169342721630WDLWW
4Sao Paulo167362218424LLDWL
5Atletico Paranaense157262016423LDWLW
6Coritiba166552119223WDLLW
7Bahia156542119223DLDDL
8Botafogo156362928121WDLDW
9Atletico-MG166372122-121WDWLL
10Internacional165652017321WDWDL
11RB Bragantino156271718-120LWLWL
12Vasco DA Gama165562225-320LWDLW
13Cruzeiro165562126-520DWLWW
14Vitoria145451820-219DWLDW
15Gremio164661618-218DLDWL
16Santos164662125-418LWDDL
17Corinthians164661418-418LWLWD
18Mirassol153481723-613LDWLW
19Remo152671625-912DWLLD
20Chapecoense-sc141671427-139DLLLL
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