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Coritiba vs Bahia: Serie A Stalemate Looms as Form Guides Differ
Coritiba host Bahia in a Serie A clash where contrasting recent form meets season-long statistical parity. While Bahia have been more potent on the road, Coritiba's home form has seen them grind out results, suggesting a tight, potentially low-scoring encounter.
This fixture pits Bahia's possession-based approach against Coritiba's more pragmatic, counter-attacking style, particularly at home. Bahia will likely seek to leverage their superior ball retention and higher shot volume to break down Coritiba. The home side, however, will probably adopt a compact defensive shape, aiming to frustrate their visitors and exploit any transitional opportunities. Coritiba's low possession stats suggest they are content to let opponents have the ball, making it crucial for Bahia to be patient and avoid leaving too much space in behind their own midfield.
Team statistics
Team Stats Comparison
Key points
- • Bahia boasts a superior away scoring record (1.3 goals per game) compared to Coritiba's home average (1 goal per game).
- • Coritiba's recent home form shows more draws than wins, indicating a tendency to grind out results.
- • Overall, both teams are closely matched in terms of win percentages and goals scored/conceded across the season.
AI Prediction
The odds suggest a very evenly matched contest, and the statistical profiles largely support this. Coritiba's home resilience, coupled with Bahia's strong away scoring record, points towards a game where neither side can quite gain the upper hand. Both teams concede a comparable number of goals, and while Bahia's recent form has stuttered, their away performances offer confidence they can find the net. Coritiba's last match was a potent offensive display, hinting they might score too, making BTTS a reasonable consideration despite the expectation of a low-scoring game.
- AIConfidencePickRecent Win% (20)
nova-lite-v1 (fr)by amazon72%
AWAYBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x247%O/U50%BTTS57%
deepseek-v4-pro (ja)by deepseek73%X DRAWBTTS NO2.5 UNDER1x240%O/U40%BTTS30%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ar)by google65%X DRAWBTTS YES2.5 UNDER1x240%O/U73%BTTS77%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (es)by google68%X DRAWBTTS YES2.5 UNDER1x247%O/U67%BTTS73%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ru)by google65%X DRAWBTTS YES2.5 UNDER1x240%O/U70%BTTS80%
gemini-2.5-flash-lite (en)by google65%X DRAWBTTS YES2.5 UNDER1x247%O/U73%BTTS77%
llama-3.1-8b-instruct (it)by meta-llama75%X DRAWBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x247%O/U73%BTTS80%
llama-3.3-70b-instruct (pt)by meta-llama65%X DRAWBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x240%O/U73%BTTS73%
gpt-oss-120b:free (tr)by openai78%X DRAWBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x247%O/U80%BTTS80%
grok-4.3 (ko)by x-ai63%
AWAYBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x250%O/U73%BTTS70%
H2H
Team recent
Coritiba Team recent
| Match date | H/A | VS | Score | Results | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | Cor 9.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AWAY | Santos | 3 - 0 | |||||
HOME | Internacional | 2 - 2 | |||||
AWAY | Vitoria | 1 - 4 | |||||
AWAY | Gremio | 0 - 1 | |||||
HOME | Atletico-MG | 2 - 0 | |||||
AWAY | Botafogo | 2 - 2 | |||||
HOME | Fluminense | 1 - 1 | |||||
HOME | Vasco DA Gama | 1 - 1 | |||||
AWAY | Atletico Paranaense | 0 - 2 | |||||
AWAY | Mirassol | 1 - 0 |
Coritiba's season overall paints a picture of a side that struggles to dominate, evident in their below-average possession figures and a win rate that hovers around 37%. Their home record is particularly indicative of a team that finds wins hard to come by, with more draws than victories at their own ground. However, their most recent home outing saw them secure a draw, and overall they've conceded less than a goal per game at home, suggesting a degree of defensive solidity when playing in front of their fans. Their recent overall form is a mixed bag, with a win, draw, and loss in their last three, but the last outing was a convincing 3-0 victory, offering a glimmer of offensive promise.
Bahia Team recent
| Match date | H/A | VS | Score | Results | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | Cor 9.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HOME | Gremio | 1 - 1 | |||||
HOME | Cruzeiro | 1 - 2 | |||||
AWAY | Sao Paulo | 2 - 2 | |||||
HOME | Santos | 2 - 2 | |||||
AWAY | Flamengo | 0 - 2 | |||||
AWAY | Mirassol | 2 - 1 | |||||
HOME | Palmeiras | 1 - 2 | |||||
HOME | Atletico Paranaense | 3 - 0 | |||||
AWAY | Remo | 1 - 4 | |||||
HOME | RB Bragantino | 2 - 0 |
Bahia present a more statistically robust profile, particularly regarding attacking output and possession. Their overall season shows them scoring more than they concede, and their away form is surprisingly strong, with more wins than losses on the road and a solid goal-scoring record. Despite a recent dip in form, with two draws and a loss in their last three overall matches, Bahia's away performances have been more resilient, picking up a win, draw, and loss in their last three away fixtures. Their last match ended in a 2-2 draw away from home, showcasing their ability to find the net but also their vulnerability at the back.
Odds
Lineup information is currently unavailable. It will be updated 1 hour before kickoff.
