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AFC Wimbledon vs Exeter City: Hosts Seek Home Advantage in League One Stalemate
AFC Wimbledon host Exeter City in a League One clash where recent form paints a mixed picture. The Dons have struggled for goals recently but boast a solid home defensive record, while Exeter's away form has been dire despite some attacking flashes.
This fixture looks set to be a battle of contrasting recent trends. AFC Wimbledon, despite their goal-scoring woes, have been defensively solid at home, suggesting they may adopt a compact shape to frustrate Exeter. The visitors, with their poor away record, will likely find it difficult to break down a resolute defence, especially given their own struggles to find the net on the road. Exeter's recent positive home form might offer a glimmer of hope, but their away struggles are too significant to ignore, potentially leading to a game dominated by possession battles in midfield with limited clear-cut chances.
Team statistics
Team Stats Comparison
Key points
- • AFC Wimbledon have conceded an average of just 0.7 goals per home game this season.
- • Exeter City have lost 81.8% of their away matches in the league.
- • AFC Wimbledon have scored only 0.3 goals per game in their last three matches.
AI Prediction
AFC Wimbledon's strong home defensive record, conceding less than a goal a game on average at home, contrasts sharply with Exeter's dire away form, where they've lost 80% of their matches and score very little. Despite Wimbledon's own recent goal-scoring issues, their ability to keep it tight at home, coupled with Exeter's travel sickness, points towards a home victory. The odds for under 2.5 goals also align with these defensive strengths.
- AIConfidencePickRecent Win% (20)
nova-lite-v1 (fr)by amazon70%X DRAWBTTS NO2.5 UNDER1x253%O/U60%BTTS50%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ar)by google65%
HOMEBTTS NO2.5 UNDER1x250%O/U63%BTTS57%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (es)by google70%
HOMEBTTS NO2.5 UNDER1x250%O/U70%BTTS53%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ru)by google70%
HOMEBTTS NO2.5 UNDER1x247%O/U63%BTTS60%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (vi)by google70%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x257%O/U50%BTTS57%
gemini-2.5-flash-lite (en)by google70%
HOMEBTTS NO2.5 UNDER1x247%O/U47%BTTS50%
llama-3.1-8b-instruct (it)by meta-llama80%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x243%O/U53%BTTS47%
llama-3.1-8b-instruct (nl)by meta-llama72%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x250%O/U47%BTTS57%
llama-3.3-70b-instruct (pt)by meta-llama65%X DRAWBTTS NO2.5 UNDER1x243%O/U37%BTTS50%
phi-4-multimodal-instruct (id)by microsoft80%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x247%O/U50%BTTS60%
mistral-nemo (de)by mistralai75%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x253%O/U40%BTTS50%
gpt-oss-120b:exacto (tr)by openai71%X DRAWBTTS NO2.5 UNDER1x253%O/U47%BTTS40%
qwen-turbo (th)by qwen85%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x250%O/U43%BTTS53%
grok-4.1-fast (ja)by x-ai72%
HOMEBTTS NO2.5 UNDER1x247%O/U67%BTTS47%
grok-4.1-fast (ko)by x-ai78%
HOMEBTTS NO2.5 UNDER1x253%O/U57%BTTS57%
H2H
Team recent
AFC Wimbledon Team recent
| Match date | H/A | VS | Score | Results | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | Cor 9.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HOME | Stevenage | 0 - 0 | |||||
AWAY | Northampton | 1 - 3 | |||||
HOME | Mansfield Town | 0 - 0 | |||||
AWAY | Exeter City | 0 - 1 | |||||
AWAY | Huddersfield | 3 - 3 | |||||
HOME | Wigan | 1 - 2 | |||||
AWAY | Peterborough | 0 - 5 | |||||
HOME | Burton Albion | 0 - 1 | |||||
AWAY | Plymouth | 2 - 1 | |||||
HOME | Port Vale | 1 - 1 |
AFC Wimbledon have endured a difficult recent spell, managing only three goals across their last three matches, including a blank in their most recent home outing. Despite this attacking drought, their home form has been resilient, with just three defeats from ten games played and a respectable 0.7 goals conceded per home fixture. Their overall season record shows more losses than wins, but they've shown they can be tough to beat on their own patch, often keeping games tight.
Exeter City Team recent
| Match date | H/A | VS | Score | Results | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | Cor 9.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AWAY | Cardiff | 0 - 1 | |||||
HOME | Barnsley | 3 - 0 | |||||
AWAY | Bolton | 1 - 2 | |||||
HOME | AFC Wimbledon | 1 - 0 | |||||
AWAY | Bradford | 0 - 1 | |||||
AWAY | Leyton Orient | 1 - 2 | |||||
HOME | Wigan | 1 - 1 | |||||
HOME | Plymouth | 2 - 0 | |||||
AWAY | Stockport County | 0 - 1 | |||||
HOME | Reading | 1 - 1 |
Exeter City's campaign has been heavily skewed by their abysmal away record, losing nine of their eleven road trips this season. They concede an average of 1.2 goals away from home and have only managed a meagre 0.5 goals scored per game on their travels. While their most recent home performance saw a strong attacking display, their away form over the last three games mirrors their season's struggles, with a recent heavy defeat and just one goal scored.
Odds
AFC Wimbledon
(3-5-2)
Exeter City
(3-4-2-1)
