Alaves vs Real Madrid - AI Match Preview

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Spain La Liga

Alaves

Real Madrid

Preview Team statistics AI Prediction H2H Team recent Odds Lineups Injuries / suspensions League table

Match Events

Abderrahman Rebbach

-5'

Victor Parada

24'

K. Mbappe

C. Vicente

68'

Carlos Vicente

70'

76'

Rodrygo

80'

Vinícius Júnior

Ander Guevara

90'

Preview

Alaves vs Real Madrid: La Liga Clash of Formidable Hosts and Dominant Visitors

Alaves look to build on recent home form when they host a Real Madrid side that, despite a recent blip, remains statistically dominant. This La Liga encounter pits a resilient home side against a side that typically controls possession and creates ample chances.

This fixture is likely to see Real Madrid attempt to dominate possession and probe Alaves' defence, using their superior ball retention and passing range to break down the hosts. Alaves will likely aim to absorb pressure, perhaps dropping into a compact mid-block, and look for opportunities on the counter or from set pieces, where they've averaged nearly six corners per home game. The visitors' high shot volume and accuracy will be a significant challenge for Alaves' defence, especially considering Real Madrid's recent disciplinary issues and tendency to concede in matches.

Team statistics

Spain La Liga

Alaves

Real Madrid

Matches played

5 - 3 - 7

Results

11 - 3 - 2

33.3%

Win %

68.8%

0.9

Goals scored

Goals conceded

0.9

3.4

Shots on target

7.1

4.9

Shots off target

7.6

3.1

Blocked shots

5.1

49.1

Ball possession

59.8

80.1

Pass accuracy

88.4

16.3

Fouls

9.6

2.3

Goalkeeper saves

2.2

2.4

Yellow cards

1.9

0.1

Red cards

0.3

League averages

Key points

• Real Madrid average two goals per game overall and on the road, significantly outscoring Alaves.
• Alaves have won 50% of their games at home this season.
• Real Madrid's last match saw them concede 2 goals and lose, while Alaves secured a clean sheet win in their most recent outing.

AI Prediction

Real Madrid's overall statistics and away scoring record strongly suggest they will be the dominant force. While Alaves have improved at home recently, Real Madrid's sheer attacking output and control of games usually prevail. The odds reflect this, favouring the visitors heavily. Both teams have shown capacity to score, making 'yes' for BTTS a reasonable bet, and Real Madrid's offensive power points towards an 'over' outcome.

AI

Confidence

Pick

Recent Win% (20)
nova-lite-v1 (fr)

by amazon

85%

AWAY

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

50%

O/U

53%

BTTS

60%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ar)

by google

80%

AWAY

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

40%

O/U

47%

BTTS

57%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (es)

by google

70%

AWAY

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

50%

O/U

57%

BTTS

60%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ru)

by google

70%

AWAY

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

40%

O/U

43%

BTTS

57%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (vi)

by google

75%

AWAY

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

43%

O/U

47%

BTTS

47%
gemini-2.5-flash-lite (en)

by google

75%

AWAY

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

47%

O/U

43%

BTTS

53%
llama-3.1-8b-instruct (it)

by meta-llama

80%

AWAY

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

33%

O/U

50%

BTTS

47%
llama-3.1-8b-instruct (nl)

by meta-llama

85%

AWAY

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

40%

O/U

43%

BTTS

57%
llama-3.3-70b-instruct (pt)

by meta-llama

70%

AWAY

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

43%

O/U

60%

BTTS

60%
phi-4-multimodal-instruct (id)

by microsoft

85%

AWAY

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

47%

O/U

43%

BTTS

57%
mistral-nemo (de)

by mistralai

72%

AWAY

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

40%

O/U

63%

BTTS

60%
gpt-oss-120b:exacto (tr)

by openai

84%

AWAY

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

37%

O/U

57%

BTTS

53%
qwen-turbo (th)

by qwen

78%

AWAY

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

40%

O/U

47%

BTTS

47%
grok-4.1-fast (ja)

by x-ai

85%

AWAY

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

43%

O/U

50%

BTTS

53%
grok-4.1-fast (ko)

by x-ai

85%

AWAY

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

43%

O/U

50%

BTTS

57%

H2H

La Liga

Match date	Team	Score	Team	O/U 2.5	BTTS
4/13/2025	HOME Alaves	L 0 - 1 W	Real Madrid	U	N
9/24/2024	Alaves	L 2 - 3 W	Real Madrid AWAY	O	Y
5/14/2024	Alaves	L 0 - 5 W	Real Madrid AWAY	O	N
12/21/2023	HOME Alaves	L 0 - 1 W	Real Madrid	U	N

Includes records from 2023 onwards.

Team recent

Alaves

H/A	VS	Score	Results	O/U 2.5	BTTS	Cor 9.5
HOME	Real Sociedad	1 - 0	W	U	N	Y
AWAY	Barcelona	1 - 3	L	O	Y	N
HOME	Celta Vigo	0 - 1	L	U	N	N
AWAY	Girona	0 - 1	L	U	N	N
HOME	Espanyol	2 - 1	W	O	Y	N
AWAY	Rayo Vallecano	0 - 1	L	U	N	Y
HOME	Valencia	0 - 0	D	U	N	Y
HOME	Elche	3 - 1	W	O	Y	Y
AWAY	Mallorca	0 - 1	L	U	N	Y
AWAY	Getafe	1 - 1	D	U	Y	Y

Alaves have shown a decent home record this season, securing half of their wins at home while conceding less than a goal per game on average. Their recent form, however, has been patchy, with two losses in their last three overall. Yet, the last match saw a win and a clean sheet, suggesting they can still be resolute. At home, they've managed to improve their scoring output recently, netting one goal in their last home outing, and their passing accuracy remains solid.

Real Madrid

H/A	VS	Score	Results	O/U 2.5	BTTS	Cor 9.5
HOME	Celta Vigo	0 - 2	L	U	N	Y
AWAY	Athletic Club	3 - 0	W	O	N	Y
AWAY	Girona	1 - 1	D	U	Y	Y
AWAY	Elche	2 - 2	D	O	Y	Y
AWAY	Rayo Vallecano	0 - 0	D	U	N	Y
HOME	Valencia	4 - 0	W	O	N	Y
HOME	Barcelona	2 - 1	W	O	Y	Y
AWAY	Getafe	1 - 0	W	U	N	N
HOME	Villarreal	3 - 1	W	O	Y	N
AWAY	Atletico Madrid	2 - 5	L	O	Y	N

Real Madrid are a formidable force in La Liga, boasting an impressive overall record with nearly 70% of their games won and a strong attacking record of two goals per game. While their last fixture ended in a defeat with three goals conceded, their away form overall is still strong, with over half of their wins coming on the road. They maintain high possession numbers and passing accuracy, indicative of their control-oriented style. Despite the recent loss, their away scoring remains potent, averaging two goals per game on their travels.

Over

Under

Yes

Odds

1x2

HOME

6.25

DRAW

AWAY

1.55

2.5 OVER/UNDER

OVER

1.8

UNDER

BTTS

YES

1.8

1.95

Lineups

Alaves

(4-1-4-1)

Antonio Sivera

Victor Parada

Jon Pacheco

Nahuel Tenaglia

Jonny Otto

Antonio Blanco

Abderrahman Rebbach

Denis Suárez

Pablo Ibáñez

Calebe Gonçalves

Lucas Boyé

Vinícius Júnior

Kylian Mbappé

Jude Bellingham

Aurélien Tchouaméni

Arda Güler

Rodrygo

Víctor Valdepeñas

Antonio Rüdiger

Raúl Asencio

Federico Valverde

Thibaut Courtois

Real Madrid

(4-4-2)

Average Player Rating

Injuries / suspensions

Alaves

Name	Reason	Type	G/A
J. Guridi	Knee Injury	Questionable	0 / 0
F. Garces	Suspended	Missing Fixture	0 / 0

Real Madrid

Name	Reason	Type	G/A
D. Alaba	Muscle Injury	Missing Fixture	0 / 0
T. Alexander-Arnold	Thigh Injury	Missing Fixture	0 / 3
E. Camavinga	Ankle Injury	Missing Fixture	1 / 0
A. Carreras	Red Card	Missing Fixture	2 / 2
D. Carvajal	Knee Injury	Missing Fixture	0 / 0
Eder Militao	Hamstring Injury	Missing Fixture	1 / 1
Endrick	Red Card	Missing Fixture	0 / 0
F. Garcia	Red Card	Missing Fixture	1 / 1
F. Mendy	Muscle Injury	Missing Fixture	0 / 0
K. Mbappe	Knee Injury	Questionable	23 / 4
D. Huijsen	Muscle Injury	Questionable	2 / 2

League table

Spain La Liga

#	Team	Played	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Barcelona	18	15	1	2	51	20	31	46	WWWWW
2	Real Madrid	18	13	3	2	36	16	20	42	WWLWD
3	Atletico Madrid	18	11	4	3	33	16	17	37	WWLLW
4	Villarreal	16	11	2	3	31	15	16	35	LWWWW
5	Espanyol	17	10	3	4	22	17	5	33	WWWWW
6	Real Betis	17	7	7	3	29	19	10	28	WDLWD
7	Celta Vigo	17	5	8	4	20	19	1	23	DWWLW
8	Athletic Club	18	7	2	9	16	24	-8	23	LLWLW
9	Elche	17	5	7	5	23	20	3	22	WLWLD
10	Sevilla	17	6	2	9	24	26	-2	20	LWDLL
11	Getafe	17	6	2	9	13	22	-9	20	LLLWL
12	Osasuna	17	5	3	9	17	20	-3	18	WLWDL
13	Mallorca	17	4	6	7	19	24	-5	18	DWDDL
14	Alaves	17	5	3	9	14	20	-6	18	LLWLL
15	Rayo Vallecano	17	4	6	7	13	20	-7	18	LDLDD
16	Real Sociedad	17	4	5	8	21	25	-4	17	DLLLW
17	Valencia	17	3	7	7	16	26	-10	16	DLDDW
18	Girona	17	3	6	8	15	33	-18	15	LWLDD
19	Oviedo	17	2	5	10	7	26	-19	11	DLDLD
20	Levante	16	2	4	10	17	29	-12	10	DLLLL

Alaves vs Real Madrid AI Match Preview, Prediction, Team Stats Comparison, League table

Preview

Alaves vs Real Madrid: La Liga Clash of Formidable Hosts and Dominant Visitors

Team statistics

Team Stats Comparison

Key points

AI Prediction

H2H

Team recent

Alaves Team recent

Real Madrid Team recent

Odds

Alaves

Real Madrid

Injuries / suspensions

Alaves Injuries / suspensions

Real Madrid Injuries / suspensions

League table