arrow_back_ios
Italy Serie A

AC Milan vs Sassuolo AI Prediction & AI Prediction | Serie A

AC Milan logo
AC Milan
Sassuolo logo
Sassuolo
Match Events
13'
sports_soccer
I. Kone
23'
A. Fadera
R. Loftus-Cheek
23'
D. Bartesaghi
sports_soccer
34'
D. Bartesaghi
sports_soccer
47'
57'
T. Muharemovic
66'
K. Thorstvedt
A. Rabiot
67'
77'
sports_soccer
A. Lauriente

Preview

AC Milan vs Sassuolo: Rossoneri Aim to Continue Dominance at Home in Serie A

AC Milan host Sassuolo in Serie A, with the Rossoneri looking to solidify their strong home record against a Sassuolo side that has been inconsistent. Milan's attacking prowess should be tested by a Sassuolo defence that has shown flashes of solidity, but also vulnerability on the road.

AC Milan have constructed a formidable home record this season, boasting six wins in their last seven league outings at the San Siro. Their overall season statistics paint a picture of a team that controls possession and creates ample scoring opportunities, averaging 1.6 goals per game. While their recent form shows a slight dip in scoring at home compared to their away matches in the last three, their last fixture saw them secure a home win with a modest offensive output. This suggests a team that can grind out results even when not firing on all cylinders, underpinned by a defence that concedes less than a goal per game on average at home.

Sassuolo find themselves in a precarious position, with their season marked by an equal number of wins and losses. Their away form mirrors their overall inconsistency, managing only three wins on the road. While they show a decent scoring record away from home, averaging 1.3 goals, their defence is more porous, conceding 1.1 goals per game. Their recent form has been a mixed bag, with a win, a draw, and a loss in their last three, though their last away fixture was a concerning defeat where they failed to score. This suggests they can struggle to impose themselves away from home, particularly against stronger opposition.

This fixture pits AC Milan's possession-based build-up against Sassuolo's more transitional approach. Milan typically dominate the ball, aiming to stretch opponents wide and create overloads. Sassuolo, conversely, often operate with a more compact shape when defending but can be dangerous on the counter. The home side's ability to maintain a high defensive line and press effectively will be key to stifling Sassuolo's quick attacks. Given Milan's superior shot volume and accuracy, they will likely look to dominate the attacking third, while Sassuolo will aim to exploit any turnovers with swift vertical passes.

AC Milan's dominant home record and superior offensive statistics, including a higher average of shots on goal, make them strong favourites. While Sassuolo have shown some attacking capability away from home, their defensive frailties and recent loss on the road suggest they will struggle. The odds reflect Milan's clear advantage. Both teams have shown they can score recently, pointing towards goals from both sides in a potentially open contest.

Key points

  • AC Milan have won 5 of their 7 home league games this season, conceding just 0.9 goals per game.
  • Sassuolo have lost 3 of their 7 away league games, conceding 1.1 goals per game on average.
  • AC Milan's overall average of 1.6 goals scored per game is higher than Sassuolo's 1.4.

Team statistics

Italy Serie A
Filter by Period

Team Stats Comparison

Home Team Matches
Away Team Matches
AC Milan
VS
Sassuolo
14
Matches played
14
9 - 4 - 1
Results
6 - 2 - 6
64.3%
Win %
42.9%
1.6
Goals scored
1.4
0.8
Goals conceded
1.2
4.7
Shots on target
4
5.6
Shots off target
4.4
3.3
Blocked shots
2.8
50.9
Ball possession
45.6
87.1
Pass accuracy
81.4
9.6
Fouls
12.5
2.9
Goalkeeper saves
3.6
1.6
Yellow cards
2.3
0.1
Red cards
0.1
League averages

AI Prediction

  • AI
    Confidence
    Pick
    Recent Win% (20)
  • amazon/nova-lite-v1
    nova-lite-v1 (fr)
    by amazon
    85%
    AC Milan HOME
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    33%
    O/U
    37%
    BTTS
    43%
  • google/gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001
    gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ar)
    by google
    78%
    AC Milan HOME
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    33%
    O/U
    63%
    BTTS
    57%
  • google/gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001
    gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (es)
    by google
    70%
    AC Milan HOME
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    40%
    O/U
    53%
    BTTS
    60%
  • google/gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001
    gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ru)
    by google
    70%
    AC Milan HOME
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    40%
    O/U
    43%
    BTTS
    57%
  • google/gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001
    gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (vi)
    by google
    78%
    AC Milan HOME
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    37%
    O/U
    47%
    BTTS
    33%
  • google/gemini-2.5-flash-lite
    gemini-2.5-flash-lite (en)
    by google
    85%
    AC Milan HOME
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    37%
    O/U
    50%
    BTTS
    37%
  • meta-llama/llama-3.1-8b-instruct
    llama-3.1-8b-instruct (it)
    by meta-llama
    85%
    AC Milan HOME
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    33%
    O/U
    53%
    BTTS
    43%
  • meta-llama/llama-3.1-8b-instruct
    llama-3.1-8b-instruct (nl)
    by meta-llama
    85%
    AC Milan HOME
    BTTS YES
    2.5 UNDER
    1x2
    37%
    O/U
    40%
    BTTS
    40%
  • meta-llama/llama-3.3-70b-instruct
    llama-3.3-70b-instruct (pt)
    by meta-llama
    80%
    AC Milan HOME
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    40%
    O/U
    50%
    BTTS
    43%
  • microsoft/phi-4-multimodal-instruct
    phi-4-multimodal-instruct (id)
    by microsoft
    85%
    AC Milan HOME
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    30%
    O/U
    37%
    BTTS
    37%
  • mistralai/mistral-nemo
    mistral-nemo (de)
    by mistralai
    72%
    AC Milan HOME
    BTTS NO
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    33%
    O/U
    41%
    BTTS
    52%
  • openai/gpt-oss-120b:exacto
    gpt-oss-120b:exacto (tr)
    by openai
    78%
    AC Milan HOME
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    40%
    O/U
    50%
    BTTS
    53%
  • qwen/qwen-turbo
    qwen-turbo (th)
    by qwen
    85%
    AC Milan HOME
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    40%
    O/U
    53%
    BTTS
    37%
  • x-ai/grok-4.1-fast
    grok-4.1-fast (ja)
    by x-ai
    85%
    AC Milan HOME
    BTTS NO
    2.5 UNDER
    1x2
    40%
    O/U
    50%
    BTTS
    57%
  • x-ai/grok-4.1-fast
    grok-4.1-fast (ko)
    by x-ai
    85%
    AC Milan HOME
    BTTS NO
    2.5 UNDER
    1x2
    43%
    O/U
    63%
    BTTS
    50%

Head-to-head

Serie A
Match dateTeamScoreTeamO/U 2.5BTTS
12/3/2024HOME
AC Milan
W 6 - 1 L
Sassuolo
OO
4/14/2024
AC Milan
D 3 - 3 D
Sassuolo
AWAY
OO
12/30/2023HOME
AC Milan
W 1 - 0 L
Sassuolo
UU

Team recent

AC Milan Team recent

AC Milan logo
AC Milan
Home Team Matches
Match dateH/AVSScoreResultsO/U 2.5BTTSCor 9.5
12/8/2025
AWAY
AC Milan3 - 2WOY-
11/29/2025
HOME
AC Milan1 - 0WUN-
11/23/2025
AWAY
AC Milan1 - 0WUN-
11/8/2025
AWAY
AC Milan2 - 2DOY-
11/2/2025
HOME
AC Milan1 - 0WUN-
10/28/2025
AWAY
AC Milan1 - 1DUY-
10/24/2025
HOME
AC Milan2 - 2DOY-
10/19/2025
HOME
AC Milan2 - 1WOY-
10/5/2025
AWAY
AC Milan0 - 0DUN-
9/28/2025
HOME
AC Milan2 - 1WOY-

Sassuolo Team recent

Sassuolo logo
Sassuolo
Away Team Matches
Match dateH/AVSScoreResultsO/U 2.5BTTSCor 9.5
12/6/2025
HOME
Sassuolo3 - 1WOY-
11/28/2025
AWAY
Sassuolo0 - 2LUN-
11/24/2025
HOME
Sassuolo2 - 2DOY-
11/9/2025
AWAY
Sassuolo3 - 0WON-
11/3/2025
HOME
Sassuolo1 - 2LOY-
10/30/2025
AWAY
Sassuolo2 - 1WOY-
10/26/2025
HOME
Sassuolo0 - 1LUN-
10/18/2025
AWAY
Sassuolo0 - 0DUN-
10/3/2025
AWAY
Sassuolo1 - 0WUN-
9/28/2025
HOME
Sassuolo3 - 1WOY-
O
Over
U
Under
Y
Yes
N
No

Odds

1x2
AC Milan
HOME
1.48
DRAW
4.33
Sassuolo
AWAY
6.5
2.5 O/U
OVER
1.91
UNDER
1.91
BTTS
YES
2
NO
1.75
Lineups
AC Milan

AC Milan

(3-5-2)

7.25
Mike Maignan
7.09
Strahinja Pavlović
6.94
Matteo Gabbia
7.06
Fikayo Tomori
6.82
Davide Bartesaghi
7.09
Adrien Rabiot
7.64
Luka Modrić
6.58
Ruben Loftus-Cheek
7.4
Alexis Saelemaekers
7.56
Christian Pulišić
6.36
Christopher Nkunku
6.84
Alieu Fadera
6.59
Andrea Pinamonti
6.86
Cristian Volpato
6.93
Ismael Koné
7.12
Nemanja Matić
6.74
Kristian Thorstvedt
6.48
Fali Candé
7
Tarik Muharemović
6.73
Jay Idzes
6.75
Sebastian Walukiewicz
7.25
Arijanet Murić
Sassuolo

Sassuolo

(4-3-3)

Average Player Rating

Injuries / suspensions

AC Milan Injuries / suspensions

AC Milan logo
AC Milan
NameReasonTypeG/A
Y. FofanaInjuryMissing Fixture1 / 1
S. GimenezAnkle InjuryMissing Fixture0 / 0
R. LeaoInjuryMissing Fixture5 / 1
Z. AthekameMuscle InjuryQuestionable1 / 0

Sassuolo Injuries / suspensions

Sassuolo logo
Sassuolo
NameReasonTypeG/A
D. BerardiMuscle InjuryMissing Fixture4 / 3
Y. PazHip InjuryMissing Fixture0 / 0
E. PieragnoloKnee InjuryMissing Fixture0 / 0
F. RomagnaCalf InjuryMissing Fixture0 / 0
L. SkjellerupMuscle InjuryMissing Fixture0 / 0
S. TuratiWrist InjuryMissing Fixture0 / 0
D. BolocaKnee InjuryQuestionable0 / 0
A. PinamontiInjuryQuestionable4 / 0
A. VranckxInjuryQuestionable0 / 0

League table

#TeamPlayedWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1AC Milan1494122111131WWWDW
2Napoli14101322121031WWWLD
3Inter14100432131930WWLWW
4AS Roma14905158727LLWWL
5Bologna1474323121125DLWWW
6Como146621911824LWWDD
7Juventus146531814423LWDDW
8Lazio156451711622WDLWL
9Sassuolo146261917220WLDWL
10Cremonese155551818020LWWLL
11Atalanta154741918119WLWLL
12Udinese145361522-718LWLLW
13Torino154561526-1117WLLLD
14Lecce154471119-816WLWLD
15Genoa143561521-614WWDDW
16Cagliari153571521-614LWLDD
17Parma153571018-814LWLWD
18Pisa151771020-1010LLLDW
19Verona141671121-109WLLDL
20Fiorentina140681124-136LLDDL