Almeria vs Burgos AI Prediction & AI Prediction | Segunda División

Almeria vs Burgos: Hosts Aim to Reassert Dominance at Home in Segunda División

Almeria hosts Burgos in a Segunda División clash where the home side's potent attack meets a Burgos team struggling for form. While Almeria boasts a strong home record, Burgos has shown flashes of away-day resilience.

Almeria has been a formidable force at home this season, averaging a considerable 2.4 goals per game and securing victory in 62.5% of their outings. Their overall season record reflects this dominance, with a strong win percentage and a healthy goal difference. Recent form at home has seen them continue this trend, scoring twice in their last home fixture, though they drew that game. They appear to possess a robust attacking unit, consistently generating a high volume of shots on goal.

Burgos, on the other hand, arrives with a mixed bag of results. While their overall season stats show a respectable goal-scoring average away from home, their recent form is concerning, having lost their last three matches overall without scoring a single goal. Their last outing was a defeat where they conceded once and failed to find the net themselves. Despite this dip, their away record still shows a 50% win rate over eight games, indicating they can be dangerous on the road when in form, though their recent struggles are a significant worry.

This fixture pits Almeria's attacking verve against Burgos' recent defensive struggles. The hosts will likely aim to exploit their superior firepower and home advantage, seeking to establish a patient buildup play to break down Burgos. Almeria's high corner count at home suggests they will try to create chances through set-pieces as well. Burgos, however, has shown an ability to score away from home, so they might look to capitalize on transitions, though their current lack of offensive output makes this less likely. Almeria's solid home defensive record in recent games, conceding just 0.3 goals, will be a significant hurdle for Burgos.

Almeria's potent home attack and strong recent defensive record at home contrast sharply with Burgos' dire recent form, marked by three consecutive losses and a complete inability to score. While Burgos has shown promise away earlier in the season, their current slump is too significant to ignore. The odds also favour the home side, aligning with the statistical picture.

Key points

• Almeria averages 2.4 goals per game at home this season.
• Burgos have lost their last three matches without scoring.
• Almeria has conceded an average of just 0.3 goals in their last three home games.