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Spain Segunda División

AD Ceuta FC vs Las Palmas AI Prediction & AI Prediction | Segunda División

AD Ceuta FC logo
AD Ceuta FC
Las Palmas logo
Las Palmas

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AD Ceuta FC vs Las Palmas: Segunda División Clash of Contrasting Forms

AD Ceuta FC host Las Palmas in a Segunda División encounter that pits the home side's formidable home record against Las Palmas's resilient away form. While Ceuta have been dominant on their own turf, Las Palmas have proven difficult to beat on the road, setting the stage for a potentially tactical and closely fought contest.

AD Ceuta FC have built a significant portion of their season's success on their impressive home form. Across 8 home games, they've secured 6 wins, averaging 1.4 goals scored and conceding just 0.8. This dominant display has seen them win 75% of their home fixtures. While their overall season numbers show a balanced win/loss record, their recent home form is even stronger, with two wins in their last three home matches, including a decisive 1-0 victory in their most recent outing where they generated 14 shots. This suggests a team that thrives in front of their own fans.

Las Palmas present a different profile, characterized by their ability to grind out results on the road. They've drawn 50% of their away games this season, losing only once in 8 matches, and conceding a remarkably low average of 0.4 goals per game. Despite a recent dip in scoring form, netting only 0.3 goals per game in their last three away outings, their defensive solidity remains a key asset. Their last match saw a 0-0 draw, reflecting their stubbornness, although they've only managed one win in their last three away matches.

This fixture appears to be a classic case of contrasting styles and home advantage versus away resilience. AD Ceuta FC will likely look to leverage their attacking impetus at home, aiming to create overloads and exploit spaces with a higher volume of shots, as evidenced by their recent home surge. Las Palmas, on the other hand, are expected to maintain a compact defensive shape, frustrating the hosts and looking to exploit any transitional opportunities. Their superior ball possession numbers suggest they will try to control the game's rhythm when possible, but Ceuta's recent home average of 52.7% possession indicates they won't be entirely passive.

AD Ceuta FC's formidable home record clashes with Las Palmas's stingy away defence. While the hosts score well at home, the visitors concede very little on the road. Recent form for both sides suggests a struggle for clear-cut chances, making a low-scoring draw a strong possibility. The odds, favouring the away win slightly, don't fully reflect Ceuta's home dominance, but the defensive capabilities of both sides point towards an under 2.5 goals outcome.

Key points

  • AD Ceuta FC have won 75% of their home games this season, conceding only 0.8 goals per game.
  • Las Palmas have drawn 50% of their away matches and conceded only 0.4 goals per away game on average.
  • The odds suggest a slight lean towards Las Palmas, but the statistical trends point towards a close contest.

Team statistics

Spain Segunda División
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Team Stats Comparison

Home Team Matches
Away Team Matches
AD Ceuta FC
VS
Las Palmas
17
Matches played
17
7 - 4 - 6
Results
8 - 6 - 3
41.2%
Win %
47.1%
1.1
Goals scored
1.1
1.2
Goals conceded
0.6
3.2
Shots on target
3.6
4.3
Shots off target
4.5
2.7
Blocked shots
3.1
51.2
Ball possession
55.9
78.2
Pass accuracy
83.2
13.4
Fouls
12.9
2.8
Goalkeeper saves
2.1
2.5
Yellow cards
1.9
0.1
Red cards
0.2
League averages

AI Prediction

  • AI
    Confidence
    Pick
    Recent Win% (20)
  • amazon/nova-lite-v1
    nova-lite-v1 (fr)
    by amazon
    70%
    X DRAW
    BTTS NO
    2.5 UNDER
    1x2
    50%
    O/U
    60%
    BTTS
    53%
  • google/gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001
    gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ar)
    by google
    68%
    X DRAW
    BTTS NO
    2.5 UNDER
    1x2
    37%
    O/U
    50%
    BTTS
    63%
  • google/gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001
    gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (es)
    by google
    68%
    X DRAW
    BTTS NO
    2.5 UNDER
    1x2
    43%
    O/U
    63%
    BTTS
    57%
  • google/gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001
    gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ru)
    by google
    68%
    X DRAW
    BTTS NO
    2.5 UNDER
    1x2
    37%
    O/U
    53%
    BTTS
    63%
  • google/gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001
    gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (vi)
    by google
    70%
    AD Ceuta FC HOME
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    40%
    O/U
    50%
    BTTS
    50%
  • google/gemini-2.5-flash-lite
    gemini-2.5-flash-lite (en)
    by google
    65%
    X DRAW
    BTTS NO
    2.5 UNDER
    1x2
    47%
    O/U
    57%
    BTTS
    60%
  • meta-llama/llama-3.1-8b-instruct
    llama-3.1-8b-instruct (it)
    by meta-llama
    80%
    AD Ceuta FC HOME
    BTTS YES
    2.5 UNDER
    1x2
    47%
    O/U
    60%
    BTTS
    53%
  • meta-llama/llama-3.1-8b-instruct
    llama-3.1-8b-instruct (nl)
    by meta-llama
    75%
    AD Ceuta FC HOME
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    43%
    O/U
    47%
    BTTS
    57%
  • meta-llama/llama-3.3-70b-instruct
    llama-3.3-70b-instruct (pt)
    by meta-llama
    65%
    AD Ceuta FC HOME
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    43%
    O/U
    67%
    BTTS
    57%
  • microsoft/phi-4-multimodal-instruct
    phi-4-multimodal-instruct (id)
    by microsoft
    85%
    X DRAW
    BTTS NO
    2.5 UNDER
    1x2
    37%
    O/U
    43%
    BTTS
    47%
  • mistralai/mistral-nemo
    mistral-nemo (de)
    by mistralai
    85%
    AD Ceuta FC HOME
    BTTS NO
    2.5 UNDER
    1x2
    47%
    O/U
    67%
    BTTS
    67%
  • openai/gpt-oss-120b:exacto
    gpt-oss-120b:exacto (tr)
    by openai
    78%
    AD Ceuta FC HOME
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    30%
    O/U
    53%
    BTTS
    57%
  • qwen/qwen-turbo
    qwen-turbo (th)
    by qwen
    82%
    AD Ceuta FC HOME
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    40%
    O/U
    50%
    BTTS
    47%
  • x-ai/grok-4.1-fast
    grok-4.1-fast (ja)
    by x-ai
    68%
    AD Ceuta FC HOME
    BTTS NO
    2.5 UNDER
    1x2
    43%
    O/U
    53%
    BTTS
    63%
  • x-ai/grok-4.1-fast
    grok-4.1-fast (ko)
    by x-ai
    72%
    AD Ceuta FC HOME
    BTTS NO
    2.5 UNDER
    1x2
    50%
    O/U
    53%
    BTTS
    70%

Head-to-head

Segunda División
No head-to-head data available.

Team recent

AD Ceuta FC Team recent

AD Ceuta FC logo
AD Ceuta FC
Home Team Matches
Match dateH/AVSScoreResultsO/U 2.5BTTSCor 9.5
12/7/2025
AWAY
AD Ceuta FC1 - 1DUY-
11/29/2025
HOME
AD Ceuta FC1 - 0WUN-
11/26/2025
HOME
AD Ceuta FC3 - 2WOY-
11/23/2025
AWAY
AD Ceuta FC1 - 2LOY-
11/16/2025
HOME
AD Ceuta FC1 - 2LOY-
11/2/2025
AWAY
AD Ceuta FC0 - 2LUN-
10/25/2025
AWAY
AD Ceuta FC1 - 0WUN-
10/18/2025
HOME
AD Ceuta FC2 - 0WUN-
10/12/2025
AWAY
AD Ceuta FC0 - 0DUN-
10/3/2025
HOME
AD Ceuta FC1 - 0WUN-

Las Palmas Team recent

Las Palmas logo
Las Palmas
Away Team Matches
Match dateH/AVSScoreResultsO/U 2.5BTTSCor 9.5
12/8/2025
HOME
Las Palmas0 - 0DUN-
11/30/2025
AWAY
Las Palmas0 - 1LUN-
11/21/2025
HOME
Las Palmas2 - 1WOY-
11/14/2025
AWAY
Las Palmas1 - 0WUN-
11/9/2025
HOME
Las Palmas3 - 1WOY-
11/2/2025
AWAY
Las Palmas0 - 0DUN-
10/24/2025
AWAY
Las Palmas1 - 1DUY-
10/19/2025
HOME
Las Palmas3 - 1WOY-
10/10/2025
AWAY
Las Palmas0 - 0DUN-
10/5/2025
HOME
Las Palmas1 - 0WUN-
O
Over
U
Under
Y
Yes
N
No

Odds

1x2
AD Ceuta FC
HOME
2.75
DRAW
3
Las Palmas
AWAY
2.7
2.5 O/U
OVER
2.6
UNDER
1.48
BTTS
YES
2.1
NO
1.67
Lineups
Lineup information is currently unavailable. It will be updated 1 hour before kickoff.
Average Player Rating

Injuries / suspensions

AD Ceuta FC Injuries / suspensions

AD Ceuta FC logo
AD Ceuta FC
NameReasonTypeG/A

Las Palmas Injuries / suspensions

Las Palmas logo
Las Palmas
NameReasonTypeG/A
Kirian RodríguezInjuryMissing Fixture0 / 2

League table

#TeamPlayedWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Racing Santander18113441261536DWWWD
2Deportivo La Coruna1895432181432LWWWW
3Almeria1795333221132WDLWW
4Las Palmas178631810830DLWWW
5Castellón178452721628WWWWD
6Sporting Gijon188372223-127WWDLD
7Burgos177462116525LLLWD
8Cadiz186751618-225LWLLD
9AD Ceuta FC177461821-325DWWLL
10Valladolid186662016424LWDLL
11Cordoba185852122-123DDLDL
12Cultural Leonesa187292024-423LWLWW
13Albacete176472327-422WLLWL
14Huesca186481723-622WLDWL
15Real Sociedad II186392426-221LLWLW
16FC Andorra185672026-621WLDLL
17Malaga175572122-120DDWLD
18Leganes184861719-220DDLLW
19Granada CF184862023-320LDWDD
20Eibar184681824-618DLLLD
21Zaragoza184591427-1317DWWWL
22Mirandes174491726-916DWLLW