Sunderland vs Newcastle AI Prediction & AI Prediction | Premier League

Sunderland vs Newcastle: Black Cats' Home Strength Tested by Improving Magpies

Sunderland host Newcastle in a Premier League clash where the home side's formidable home record faces a stern examination from a Magpies outfit showing recent signs of resurgence. Expect a competitive encounter, though recent trends suggest a slight edge for the visitors.

Sunderland have built a solid reputation at the Stadium of Light this season, remaining unbeaten across their seven home fixtures. They average a healthy two goals per game on their own turf, a stark contrast to their struggles on the road. While their overall season form shows a 40% win rate, their recent three-game spell has been more inconsistent, with only one win and a concerning increase in goals conceded. The last outing at home was a dominant 3-2 victory, showcasing attacking intent, but it also highlighted a defence that can be breached.

Newcastle present a mixed picture, mirroring Sunderland's 40% win rate across the season but with a more even split between home and away performance. Their recent form, however, is much more encouraging, boasting two wins and a draw in their last three matches, scoring an impressive 2.7 goals per game. This attacking verve was underlined by a comprehensive 4-2 victory in their most recent outing. Despite a weaker away record overall, their last away match saw them score four, indicating they can find the net on the road.

This match pits Sunderland's impressive home scoring record against Newcastle's recent attacking surge. The home side typically operates with a slightly lower possession share, relying on their ability to generate chances in front of their own fans. Newcastle, conversely, prefer to dominate possession and create overloads, especially evident in their recent matches where they averaged over 50% ball possession and a high number of shots. Expect Sunderland to be compact defensively when out of possession, looking to transition quickly, while Newcastle will aim to stretch the home defence with their wider attacking play and patient build-up.

Newcastle's recent upturn in form, particularly their potent attack, combined with their slightly better overall goal-scoring record, gives them an edge. While Sunderland are formidable at home, their recent defensive fragility and the visitors' impressive recent offensive output suggest goals are likely at both ends. The odds also favour a narrow visitor victory, aligning with this assessment.

Key points

• Sunderland remain unbeaten at home this season, scoring on average two goals per game on their own turf.
• Newcastle have won two of their last three matches, scoring an average of 2.7 goals during this period.
• Both teams have a 40% win rate across the season, but Newcastle's recent form suggests a stronger current trajectory.