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England Premier League

Brentford vs Leeds AI Prediction & AI Prediction | Premier League

Brentford logo
Brentford
Leeds logo
Leeds
Match Events
J. Henderson
sports_soccer
70'
82'
sports_soccer
D. Calvert-Lewin

Preview

Brentford vs Leeds: Bees' Home Dominance Tested in Premier League Clash

Brentford host Leeds in a Premier League encounter where the home side's formidable home record clashes with Leeds' desperate need for points on the road. Expect an intriguing tactical battle as Brentford look to continue their strong run against a Leeds side struggling to find form away from home.

Brentford have been a fortress at home this season, boasting an impressive 71.4% win rate across their seven home fixtures. They average a healthy 2.1 goals scored per game at home, significantly outperforming their overall season average. Their recent home form is even more striking, with three consecutive wins and an average of 3 goals scored in their last three at home. This suggests they are in excellent scoring form and will be looking to assert their dominance early.

Leeds present a stark contrast, having lost six of their seven away league games this season, highlighting significant struggles on the road. Their away scoring record is particularly concerning, averaging under a goal per game, and they've conceded an average of 2.6 goals away from home. Recent form offers little respite, with three straight losses and only a single goal scored across those matches. Their last outing saw them concede three goals, further underscoring defensive frailties.

This fixture sets up a classic home-team strength versus away-team weakness scenario. Brentford's effective home performances often involve high shot volumes and a strong attacking output, as evidenced by their recent surge. Leeds, on the other hand, tends to play with a slightly higher possession average away from home but struggles to convert that into goals, while their defence is porous. The home side will likely aim to exploit Leeds' defensive vulnerabilities with patient build-up and quick transitions, while Leeds might try to disrupt Brentford's rhythm with a higher tempo, though their recent struggles suggest this could backfire.

Brentford's exceptional home record and recent scoring spree make them strong favourites against a Leeds side that has been dismal on the road. The odds align with this, favouring the home win. While Leeds have shown they can score, their defence is too leaky, especially away from home, suggesting both teams could find the net. Given Brentford's offensive power at home and Leeds' recent struggles, an over 2.5 goals outcome seems plausible.

Key points

  • Brentford have won 71.4% of their home games this season, scoring an average of 2.1 goals.
  • Leeds have lost 85.7% of their away matches, conceding an average of 2.6 goals.
  • Brentford have won their last three home games, scoring 3 goals in each.

Team statistics

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Team Stats Comparison

Home Team Matches
Away Team Matches
Brentford
VS
Leeds
15
Matches played
15
6 - 1 - 8
Results
4 - 3 - 8
40%
Win %
26.7%
1.4
Goals scored
1.3
1.6
Goals conceded
1.9
3.9
Shots on target
3.8
3.9
Shots off target
5.3
2.2
Blocked shots
3.1
43.1
Ball possession
46.1
77.4
Pass accuracy
80.7
11.5
Fouls
10.9
2.6
Goalkeeper saves
2.5
2
Yellow cards
1.7
0
Red cards
0
League averages

AI Prediction

  • AI
    Confidence
    Pick
    Recent Win% (20)
  • amazon/nova-lite-v1
    nova-lite-v1 (fr)
    by amazon
    70%
    X DRAW
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    47%
    O/U
    60%
    BTTS
    53%
  • google/gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001
    gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ar)
    by google
    65%
    Brentford HOME
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    43%
    O/U
    50%
    BTTS
    63%
  • google/gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001
    gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (es)
    by google
    70%
    Brentford HOME
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    43%
    O/U
    67%
    BTTS
    53%
  • google/gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001
    gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ru)
    by google
    70%
    Brentford HOME
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    43%
    O/U
    53%
    BTTS
    63%
  • google/gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001
    gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (vi)
    by google
    72%
    Brentford HOME
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    43%
    O/U
    50%
    BTTS
    50%
  • google/gemini-2.5-flash-lite
    gemini-2.5-flash-lite (en)
    by google
    75%
    Brentford HOME
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    47%
    O/U
    53%
    BTTS
    57%
  • meta-llama/llama-3.1-8b-instruct
    llama-3.1-8b-instruct (it)
    by meta-llama
    80%
    Brentford HOME
    BTTS YES
    2.5 UNDER
    1x2
    47%
    O/U
    57%
    BTTS
    47%
  • meta-llama/llama-3.1-8b-instruct
    llama-3.1-8b-instruct (nl)
    by meta-llama
    82%
    Brentford HOME
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    53%
    O/U
    50%
    BTTS
    53%
  • meta-llama/llama-3.3-70b-instruct
    llama-3.3-70b-instruct (pt)
    by meta-llama
    70%
    Brentford HOME
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    43%
    O/U
    60%
    BTTS
    53%
  • microsoft/phi-4-multimodal-instruct
    phi-4-multimodal-instruct (id)
    by microsoft
    88%
    Brentford HOME
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    43%
    O/U
    47%
    BTTS
    43%
  • mistralai/mistral-nemo
    mistral-nemo (de)
    by mistralai
    85%
    Brentford HOME
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    53%
    O/U
    63%
    BTTS
    60%
  • openai/gpt-oss-120b:exacto
    gpt-oss-120b:exacto (tr)
    by openai
    78%
    Brentford HOME
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    37%
    O/U
    57%
    BTTS
    60%
  • qwen/qwen-turbo
    qwen-turbo (th)
    by qwen
    85%
    Brentford HOME
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    47%
    O/U
    47%
    BTTS
    40%
  • x-ai/grok-4.1-fast
    grok-4.1-fast (ja)
    by x-ai
    78%
    Brentford HOME
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    43%
    O/U
    53%
    BTTS
    60%
  • x-ai/grok-4.1-fast
    grok-4.1-fast (ko)
    by x-ai
    78%
    Brentford HOME
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    53%
    O/U
    53%
    BTTS
    70%

Head-to-head

Premier League
No head-to-head data available.

Team recent

Brentford Team recent

Brentford logo
Brentford
Home Team Matches
Match dateH/AVSScoreResultsO/U 2.5BTTSCor 9.5
12/6/2025
AWAY
Brentford0 - 2LUN-
12/3/2025
AWAY
Brentford0 - 2LUN-
11/29/2025
HOME
Brentford3 - 1WOY-
11/22/2025
AWAY
Brentford1 - 2LOY-
11/9/2025
HOME
Brentford3 - 1WOY-
11/1/2025
AWAY
Brentford0 - 2LUN-
10/25/2025
HOME
Brentford3 - 2WOY-
10/20/2025
AWAY
Brentford2 - 0WUN-
10/5/2025
HOME
Brentford0 - 1LUN-
9/27/2025
HOME
Brentford3 - 1WOY-

Leeds Team recent

Leeds logo
Leeds
Away Team Matches
Match dateH/AVSScoreResultsO/U 2.5BTTSCor 9.5
12/6/2025
HOME
Leeds3 - 3DOY-
12/3/2025
HOME
Leeds3 - 1WOY-
11/29/2025
AWAY
Leeds2 - 3LOY-
11/23/2025
HOME
Leeds1 - 2LOY-
11/9/2025
AWAY
Leeds1 - 3LOY-
11/1/2025
AWAY
Leeds0 - 3LON-
10/24/2025
HOME
Leeds2 - 1WOY-
10/18/2025
AWAY
Leeds0 - 2LUN-
10/4/2025
HOME
Leeds1 - 2LOY-
9/27/2025
HOME
Leeds2 - 2DOY-
O
Over
U
Under
Y
Yes
N
No

Odds

1x2
Brentford
HOME
2.2
DRAW
3.25
Leeds
AWAY
3.5
2.5 O/U
OVER
2.1
UNDER
1.73
BTTS
YES
1.95
NO
1.8
Lineups
Brentford

Brentford

(4-2-3-1)

6.94
Caoimhin Kelleher
6.59
Aaron Hickey
6.64
Sepp van den Berg
6.6
Nathan Collins
6.84
Michael Kayode
6.56
Vitaly Janelt
6.81
Jordan Henderson
6.49
Keane Lewis-Potter
6.75
Mathias Jensen
6.84
Dango Ouattara
7.16
Igor Thiago
6.84
Noah Okafor
6.68
Dominic Calvert-Lewin
6.52
Gabriel Gudmundsson
6.83
Anton Stach
6.87
Ethan Ampadu
6.58
Ao Tanaka
6.34
Jayden Bogle
6.62
Pascal Struijk
6.84
Jaka Bijol
6.84
Joe Rodon
6.61
Lucas Perri
Leeds

Leeds

(3-5-2)

Average Player Rating

Injuries / suspensions

Brentford Injuries / suspensions

Brentford logo
Brentford
NameReasonTypeG/A
F. CarvalhoKnee InjuryMissing Fixture1 / 0
J. DasilvaKnee InjuryMissing Fixture- / -
A. MilamboKnee InjuryMissing Fixture0 / 0
K. SchadeYellow CardsMissing Fixture3 / 1
R. NelsonKnockQuestionable0 / 0

Leeds Injuries / suspensions

Leeds logo
Leeds
NameReasonTypeG/A
D. JamesHamstring InjuryMissing Fixture0 / 0
S. LongstaffCalf InjuryMissing Fixture1 / 2
L. NmechaThigh InjuryQuestionable4 / 0

League table

#TeamPlayedWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Arsenal16113230102036WLWDW
2Manchester City15101435161931WWWLW
3Aston Villa159332215730WWWWW
4Chelsea1684427151228WDLDW
5Crystal Palace157532012826WWLWD
6Liverpool168262624226WDDWL
7Manchester United157442622425WDWLD
8Everton167361819-124LWWLW
9Brighton166552523223LDLWW
10Sunderland156541817123LDWLD
11Tottenham156452518722WDLLD
12Newcastle156452119222WDWWL
13Fulham166282326-320WLLWW
14Bournemouth155552124-320DLLDL
15Brentford156182124-319LLWLW
16Leeds154381929-1015DWLLL
17Nottingham Forest154381425-1115LWLWW
18West Ham153481729-1213DDLDW
19Burnley1631121833-1510LLLLL
20Wolves160214935-262LLLLL