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France Ligue 1

Lyon vs Le Havre AI Prediction & AI Prediction | Ligue 1

Lyon logo
Lyon
Le Havre logo
Le Havre
Match Events
24'
L. Nego
T. Morton
37'
38'
sports_soccer
I. Soumare
P. Sulc
sports_soccer
52'
68'
R. Ndiaye
71'
A. Seko
71'
Y. Namli
M. Niakhate
74'

Preview

Lyon vs Le Havre: Hosts Look to Reassert Dominance at Home in Ligue 1

Lyon host Le Havre in Ligue 1, with the home side seeking to leverage their strong home record against a Le Havre side that has struggled on the road. Recent form suggests Lyon might be finding their stride, while Le Havre's offensive output has been concerning.

Lyon have built a solid foundation this season, particularly at home where they boast an impressive 71.4% win rate. Their overall scoring average of 1.4 goals per game is boosted significantly by their home form, where they net nearly two goals per match. While their last outing saw a dip in scoring, the underlying performance in that match was strong, with a notable increase in shots and possession. The recent 3-game spell showed a slight dip in overall output but the home form within that period was encouraging, scoring 2.3 goals per game.

Le Havre present a stark contrast, with their overall win percentage standing at just 20%. Their away record is particularly worrying, having secured only one win in seven away fixtures. While they've managed to draw a few games on their travels, their scoring has been minimal, averaging less than a goal per away game. The last three matches overall have seen them fail to score, indicating a significant offensive drought, which was exacerbated by a toothless display in their most recent fixture where they conceded one and scored none.

This fixture pits Lyon's typically possession-dominant style, especially at home, against Le Havre's more defensive approach when playing away. Lyon's ability to generate chances through a high volume of shots and accurate passing should pose a significant challenge to Le Havre's backline. The visitors' struggles to score away, coupled with Lyon's strong home defence which concedes less than a goal per game, suggests that Le Havre will likely be focused on containment. However, Lyon's recent uptick in attacking intensity, even in a goalless draw, indicates they will push for control and exploit any defensive lapses.

Lyon's formidable home record against Le Havre's concerning away form makes the hosts the clear favourites. Le Havre's recent inability to score, combined with Lyon's solid defence, points towards a low-scoring encounter where the home side's attacking quality will likely prevail. The odds also favour a home win and suggest a relatively tight game.

Key points

  • Lyon have won 71.4% of their home league games this season.
  • Le Havre have only won 14.3% of their away league matches.
  • Le Havre have failed to score in their last three matches across all competitions.

Team statistics

France Ligue 1
Filter by Period

Team Stats Comparison

Home Team Matches
Away Team Matches
Lyon
VS
Le Havre
15
Matches played
15
7 - 3 - 5
Results
3 - 6 - 6
46.7%
Win %
20%
1.4
Goals scored
0.9
1.1
Goals conceded
1.4
4.6
Shots on target
3.7
4.3
Shots off target
5
3.4
Blocked shots
3.1
55.7
Ball possession
45.8
85.2
Pass accuracy
81.1
14.6
Fouls
13.9
2.3
Goalkeeper saves
2.5
2
Yellow cards
1.7
0.3
Red cards
0.1
League averages

AI Prediction

  • AI
    Confidence
    Pick
    Recent Win% (20)
  • amazon/nova-lite-v1
    nova-lite-v1 (fr)
    by amazon
    85%
    Lyon HOME
    BTTS NO
    2.5 UNDER
    1x2
    53%
    O/U
    33%
    BTTS
    47%
  • google/gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001
    gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ar)
    by google
    68%
    Lyon HOME
    BTTS NO
    2.5 UNDER
    1x2
    53%
    O/U
    53%
    BTTS
    50%
  • google/gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001
    gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (es)
    by google
    70%
    Lyon HOME
    BTTS NO
    2.5 UNDER
    1x2
    63%
    O/U
    57%
    BTTS
    57%
  • google/gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001
    gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ru)
    by google
    70%
    Lyon HOME
    BTTS NO
    2.5 UNDER
    1x2
    60%
    O/U
    37%
    BTTS
    53%
  • google/gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001
    gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (vi)
    by google
    72%
    Lyon HOME
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    63%
    O/U
    47%
    BTTS
    33%
  • google/gemini-2.5-flash-lite
    gemini-2.5-flash-lite (en)
    by google
    85%
    Lyon HOME
    BTTS NO
    2.5 UNDER
    1x2
    57%
    O/U
    50%
    BTTS
    43%
  • meta-llama/llama-3.1-8b-instruct
    llama-3.1-8b-instruct (it)
    by meta-llama
    82%
    Lyon HOME
    BTTS YES
    2.5 UNDER
    1x2
    53%
    O/U
    47%
    BTTS
    23%
  • meta-llama/llama-3.1-8b-instruct
    llama-3.1-8b-instruct (nl)
    by meta-llama
    82%
    Lyon HOME
    BTTS NO
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    60%
    O/U
    33%
    BTTS
    40%
  • meta-llama/llama-3.3-70b-instruct
    llama-3.3-70b-instruct (pt)
    by meta-llama
    80%
    Lyon HOME
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    60%
    O/U
    37%
    BTTS
    33%
  • microsoft/phi-4-multimodal-instruct
    phi-4-multimodal-instruct (id)
    by microsoft
    85%
    Lyon HOME
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    53%
    O/U
    33%
    BTTS
    37%
  • mistralai/mistral-nemo
    mistral-nemo (de)
    by mistralai
    85%
    Lyon HOME
    BTTS NO
    2.5 UNDER
    1x2
    50%
    O/U
    50%
    BTTS
    60%
  • openai/gpt-oss-120b:exacto
    gpt-oss-120b:exacto (tr)
    by openai
    84%
    Lyon HOME
    BTTS NO
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    50%
    O/U
    53%
    BTTS
    63%
  • qwen/qwen-turbo
    qwen-turbo (th)
    by qwen
    85%
    Lyon HOME
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    57%
    O/U
    43%
    BTTS
    23%
  • x-ai/grok-4.1-fast
    grok-4.1-fast (ja)
    by x-ai
    82%
    Lyon HOME
    BTTS NO
    2.5 UNDER
    1x2
    57%
    O/U
    60%
    BTTS
    60%
  • x-ai/grok-4.1-fast
    grok-4.1-fast (ko)
    by x-ai
    82%
    Lyon HOME
    BTTS NO
    2.5 UNDER
    1x2
    60%
    O/U
    53%
    BTTS
    50%

Head-to-head

Ligue 1
Match dateTeamScoreTeamO/U 2.5BTTS
3/16/2025HOME
Lyon
W 4 - 2 L
Le Havre
OO
10/20/2024
Lyon
W 4 - 0 L
Le Havre
AWAY
OU
1/14/2024
Lyon
L 1 - 3 W
Le Havre
AWAY
OO
9/17/2023HOME
Lyon
D 0 - 0 D
Le Havre
UU

Team recent

Lyon Team recent

Lyon logo
Lyon
Home Team Matches
Match dateH/AVSScoreResultsO/U 2.5BTTSCor 9.5
12/7/2025
AWAY
Lyon0 - 1LUN-
11/30/2025
HOME
Lyon3 - 0WON-
11/23/2025
AWAY
Lyon0 - 0DUN-
11/9/2025
HOME
Lyon2 - 3LOY-
11/2/2025
AWAY
Lyon0 - 0DUN-
10/29/2025
AWAY
Lyon3 - 3DOY-
10/26/2025
HOME
Lyon2 - 1WOY-
10/18/2025
AWAY
Lyon2 - 3LOY-
10/5/2025
HOME
Lyon1 - 2LOY-
9/28/2025
AWAY
Lyon1 - 0WUN-

Le Havre Team recent

Le Havre logo
Le Havre
Away Team Matches
Match dateH/AVSScoreResultsO/U 2.5BTTSCor 9.5
12/7/2025
HOME
Le Havre0 - 0DUN-
11/30/2025
HOME
Le Havre0 - 1LUN-
11/22/2025
AWAY
Le Havre0 - 3LON-
11/8/2025
HOME
Le Havre1 - 1DUY-
11/2/2025
AWAY
Le Havre0 - 0DUN-
10/29/2025
HOME
Le Havre1 - 0WUN-
10/26/2025
AWAY
Le Havre1 - 0WUN-
10/18/2025
AWAY
Le Havre2 - 6LOY-
10/5/2025
HOME
Le Havre2 - 2DOY-
9/28/2025
AWAY
Le Havre0 - 0DUN-
O
Over
U
Under
Y
Yes
N
No

Odds

1x2
Lyon
HOME
1.65
DRAW
4
Le Havre
AWAY
5
2.5 O/U
OVER
1.91
UNDER
1.91
BTTS
YES
1.95
NO
1.8
Lineups
Lyon

Lyon

(4-3-3)

7
Dominik Greif
6.48
Abner Vinícius
7.22
Moussa Niakhaté
7.01
Clinton Mata
5.58
Hans Hateboer
6.95
Corentin Tolisso
7.07
Tyler Morton
6.44
Khalis Merah
6.99
Afonso Moreira
6.64
Martín Satriano
6.99
Pavel Šulc
7.12
Issa Soumaré
6.33
Mbwana Ally Samatta
6.6
Younes Namli
6.44
Yassine Kechta
6.78
Ayumu Seko
6.9
Rassoul Ndiaye
6.4
Yanis Zouaoui
6.96
Gautier Lloris
6.94
Arouna Sangante
6.67
Loic Négo
6.83
Mory Diaw
Le Havre

Le Havre

(4-3-3)

Average Player Rating

Injuries / suspensions

Lyon Injuries / suspensions

Lyon logo
Lyon
NameReasonTypeG/A
M. FofanaAnkle InjuryMissing Fixture2 / 1
R. KluivertAnkle InjuryMissing Fixture0 / 1
A. Maitland-NilesRed CardMissing Fixture1 / 2
O. MangalaMuscle InjuryMissing Fixture0 / 0
E. NuamahKnee InjuryMissing Fixture- / -
T. TessmannThigh InjuryMissing Fixture1 / 0

Le Havre Injuries / suspensions

Le Havre logo
Le Havre
NameReasonTypeG/A
R. KhadraInactiveMissing Fixture0 / 0
S. ZagadouInjuryMissing Fixture0 / 0
S. EbonogInjuryMissing Fixture0 / 0
A. ToureInjuryMissing Fixture2 / 0
T. DelaineToe InjuryMissing Fixture0 / 0
D. PizarroInjuryMissing Fixture0 / 0

League table

#TeamPlayedWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Paris Saint Germain16113235142136WWLWW
2Lens15111326131334WWWWW
3Marseille1592435152029LDWWW
4Lille1592429171229WWWLW
5Rennes167632724327WLWWW
6Lyon157352116524LWDLD
7Toulouse166552419523WWDLD
8Monaco157262626023LWLLL
9Strasbourg157172520522LLLWL
10Angers166461718-122WWLWW
11Stade Brestois 29165472127-619LWWWL
12Nice155281927-817LLLLL
13Lorient154561928-917WWDDL
14Paris FC164482129-816LDDLL
15Le Havre153661321-815DLLDD
16Auxerre153391121-1012WDDLL
17Nantes162591428-1411LLLDD
18Metz1632111737-2011LLLLW