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France Ligue 1

Lens vs Nice AI Prediction & AI Prediction | Ligue 1

Lens logo
Lens
Nice logo
Nice
Match Events
10'
C. Vanhoutte
O. Edouard
sports_soccer
15'
O. Edouard
sports_soccer
57'
83'
S. Abdul Samed

Preview

Lens vs Nice: Dominant Home Form Faces Struggling Visitors in Ligue 1

Lens return home in Ligue 1 to face a Nice side in dire straits, particularly away from home. The hosts boast an formidable home record, while Nice have been leaking goals and struggling for wins on the road, setting the stage for a potentially one-sided encounter.

Lens have been a force to be reckoned with at home this season, securing victory in six of their seven league outings. Their overall scoring rate of two goals per home game is impressive, backed by a solid defence that concedes less than a goal on average. Recent form has been even more scintillating, with three consecutive wins to start their last three games, scoring consistently and looking dangerous. The last match saw them secure a win, and the overall statistics paint a picture of a side that is both potent offensively and disciplined defensively when playing in front of their own fans.

Nice, on the other hand, are enduring a torrid run of form, having lost all three of their most recent matches. Their away record in the league is particularly concerning, with just one win from seven attempts and a staggering average of 2.3 goals conceded per away fixture. The recent slump is stark, highlighted by their last outing where they failed to score and conceded once. While their overall season stats suggest some attacking capability, their current defensive frailties and inability to secure results on the road make this a daunting trip.

This fixture pits Lens's robust home attacking structure against Nice's fragile away defence. Expect Lens to try and impose their rhythm early, utilising their ability to generate a high volume of shots and corners at home to break down the visitors. Nice, having struggled away from home and losing their last three, will likely adopt a more conservative approach, aiming to absorb pressure. However, their recent concession rate suggests they may find it difficult to contain Lens's consistent goal threat, especially if Lens can maintain their recent high shot volume.

Lens's exceptional home record, coupled with their current winning streak and strong offensive output, makes them overwhelming favourites against a Nice side that has been capitulating away from home. The odds reflect this dominance. While Nice have shown some attacking intent historically, their recent defensive struggles and Lens's consistent scoring suggest goals are likely at both ends, pushing the total over 2.5.

Key points

  • Lens have won 85.7% of their home league games this season.
  • Nice have lost 71.4% of their away league matches.
  • Lens have won their last three matches, scoring at least two goals in each.

Team statistics

France Ligue 1
Filter by Period

Team Stats Comparison

Home Team Matches
Away Team Matches
Lens
VS
Nice
15
Matches played
15
11 - 1 - 3
Results
5 - 2 - 8
73.3%
Win %
33.3%
1.7
Goals scored
1.3
0.9
Goals conceded
1.8
5.2
Shots on target
3.9
5.4
Shots off target
4.3
3.3
Blocked shots
3.1
48.3
Ball possession
47.3
83.5
Pass accuracy
82.4
12.9
Fouls
12.4
2.8
Goalkeeper saves
3.9
2.1
Yellow cards
2.2
0.2
Red cards
0.1
League averages

AI Prediction

  • AI
    Confidence
    Pick
    Recent Win% (20)
  • amazon/nova-lite-v1
    nova-lite-v1 (fr)
    by amazon
    78%
    Lens HOME
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    50%
    O/U
    53%
    BTTS
    53%
  • google/gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001
    gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ar)
    by google
    70%
    Lens HOME
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    43%
    O/U
    50%
    BTTS
    67%
  • google/gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001
    gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (es)
    by google
    85%
    Lens HOME
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    47%
    O/U
    70%
    BTTS
    57%
  • google/gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001
    gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ru)
    by google
    82%
    Lens HOME
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    43%
    O/U
    53%
    BTTS
    63%
  • google/gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001
    gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (vi)
    by google
    72%
    Lens HOME
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    47%
    O/U
    53%
    BTTS
    50%
  • google/gemini-2.5-flash-lite
    gemini-2.5-flash-lite (en)
    by google
    88%
    Lens HOME
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    50%
    O/U
    57%
    BTTS
    60%
  • meta-llama/llama-3.1-8b-instruct
    llama-3.1-8b-instruct (it)
    by meta-llama
    85%
    Lens HOME
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    53%
    O/U
    57%
    BTTS
    43%
  • meta-llama/llama-3.1-8b-instruct
    llama-3.1-8b-instruct (nl)
    by meta-llama
    82%
    Lens HOME
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    50%
    O/U
    50%
    BTTS
    53%
  • meta-llama/llama-3.3-70b-instruct
    llama-3.3-70b-instruct (pt)
    by meta-llama
    85%
    Lens HOME
    BTTS NO
    2.5 UNDER
    1x2
    47%
    O/U
    53%
    BTTS
    47%
  • microsoft/phi-4-multimodal-instruct
    phi-4-multimodal-instruct (id)
    by microsoft
    85%
    Lens HOME
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    43%
    O/U
    40%
    BTTS
    40%
  • mistralai/mistral-nemo
    mistral-nemo (de)
    by mistralai
    85%
    Lens HOME
    BTTS NO
    2.5 UNDER
    1x2
    57%
    O/U
    60%
    BTTS
    57%
  • openai/gpt-oss-120b:exacto
    gpt-oss-120b:exacto (tr)
    by openai
    78%
    Lens HOME
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    37%
    O/U
    53%
    BTTS
    60%
  • qwen/qwen-turbo
    qwen-turbo (th)
    by qwen
    85%
    Lens HOME
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    47%
    O/U
    47%
    BTTS
    40%
  • x-ai/grok-4.1-fast
    grok-4.1-fast (ja)
    by x-ai
    85%
    Lens HOME
    BTTS NO
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    47%
    O/U
    57%
    BTTS
    63%
  • x-ai/grok-4.1-fast
    grok-4.1-fast (ko)
    by x-ai
    88%
    Lens HOME
    BTTS NO
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    57%
    O/U
    53%
    BTTS
    70%

Head-to-head

Ligue 1
Match dateTeamScoreTeamO/U 2.5BTTS
2/8/2025
Lens
L 0 - 2 W
Nice
AWAY
UU
9/28/2024HOME
Lens
D 0 - 0 D
Nice
UU
3/16/2024HOME
Lens
L 1 - 3 W
Nice
OO
12/20/2023
Lens
L 0 - 2 W
Nice
AWAY
UU

Team recent

Lens Team recent

Lens logo
Lens
Home Team Matches
Match dateH/AVSScoreResultsO/U 2.5BTTSCor 9.5
12/6/2025
AWAY
Lens2 - 1WOY-
11/30/2025
AWAY
Lens2 - 1WOY-
11/22/2025
HOME
Lens1 - 0WUN-
11/8/2025
AWAY
Lens4 - 1WOY-
11/2/2025
HOME
Lens3 - 0WON-
10/29/2025
AWAY
Lens0 - 2LUN-
10/25/2025
HOME
Lens2 - 1WOY-
10/19/2025
HOME
Lens2 - 1WOY-
10/4/2025
AWAY
Lens2 - 1WOY-
9/28/2025
AWAY
Lens0 - 0DUN-

Nice Team recent

Nice logo
Nice
Away Team Matches
Match dateH/AVSScoreResultsO/U 2.5BTTSCor 9.5
12/7/2025
HOME
Nice0 - 1LUN-
11/30/2025
AWAY
Nice1 - 3LOY-
11/21/2025
HOME
Nice1 - 5LOY-
11/9/2025
AWAY
Nice1 - 2LOY-
11/1/2025
AWAY
Nice0 - 1LUN-
10/29/2025
HOME
Nice2 - 0WUN-
10/26/2025
AWAY
Nice2 - 1WOY-
10/18/2025
HOME
Nice3 - 2WOY-
10/5/2025
AWAY
Nice2 - 2DOY-
9/28/2025
HOME
Nice1 - 1DUY-
O
Over
U
Under
Y
Yes
N
No

Odds

1x2
Lens
HOME
1.53
DRAW
4.5
Nice
AWAY
5.5
2.5 O/U
OVER
1.53
UNDER
2.5
BTTS
YES
1.62
NO
2.2
Lineups
Lens

Lens

(3-4-2-1)

7.22
Robin Risser
7.19
Malang Sarr
7.31
Samson Baidoo
6.9
Ismaelo Ganiou
6.99
Matthieu Udol
6.94
Adrien Thomasson
7.06
Mamadou Sangare
6.97
Ruben Aguilar
7.12
Wesley Saïd
7.09
Florian Thauvin
6.89
Odsonne Édouard
6.57
Isak Jansson
6.95
Sofiane Diop
6.95
Mohamed-Ali Cho
6.49
Morgan Sanson
6.89
Charles Vanhoutte
6.81
Hicham Boudaoui
6.67
Melvin Bard
6.75
Kojo Peprah Oppong
6.84
Antoine Mendy
7.05
Jonathan Clauss
7.05
Yehvann Diouf
Nice

Nice

(4-3-3)

Average Player Rating

Injuries / suspensions

Lens Injuries / suspensions

Lens logo
Lens
NameReasonTypeG/A
J. GraditThigh InjuryMissing Fixture0 / 0
Jhoanner ChavezThigh InjuryMissing Fixture0 / 0

Nice Injuries / suspensions

Nice logo
Nice
NameReasonTypeG/A
M. AbdelmonemKnee InjuryMissing Fixture0 / 0
J. BogaInjuryMissing Fixture2 / 2
M. BombitoLeg InjuryMissing Fixture0 / 0
DanteInjuryMissing Fixture0 / 0
T. LouchetRed CardMissing Fixture0 / 2
T. MoffiInjuryMissing Fixture2 / 0
Y. NdayishimiyeKnee InjuryMissing Fixture0 / 0

League table

#TeamPlayedWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Paris Saint Germain16113235142136WWLWW
2Lens15111326131334WWWWW
3Marseille1592435152029LDWWW
4Lille1592429171229WWWLW
5Rennes167632724327WLWWW
6Lyon157352116524LWDLD
7Toulouse166552419523WWDLD
8Monaco157262626023LWLLL
9Strasbourg157172520522LLLWL
10Angers166461718-122WWLWW
11Stade Brestois 29165472127-619LWWWL
12Nice155281927-817LLLLL
13Lorient154561928-917WWDDL
14Paris FC164482129-816LDDLL
15Le Havre153661321-815DLLDD
16Auxerre153391121-1012WDDLL
17Nantes162591428-1411LLLDD
18Metz1632111737-2011LLLLW