Alaves vs Real Madrid AI Prediction & AI Prediction | La Liga
Preview
Alaves vs Real Madrid: La Liga Clash of Formidable Hosts and Dominant Visitors
Alaves look to build on recent home form when they host a Real Madrid side that, despite a recent blip, remains statistically dominant. This La Liga encounter pits a resilient home side against a side that typically controls possession and creates ample chances.
Alaves have shown a decent home record this season, securing half of their wins at home while conceding less than a goal per game on average. Their recent form, however, has been patchy, with two losses in their last three overall. Yet, the last match saw a win and a clean sheet, suggesting they can still be resolute. At home, they've managed to improve their scoring output recently, netting one goal in their last home outing, and their passing accuracy remains solid.
Real Madrid are a formidable force in La Liga, boasting an impressive overall record with nearly 70% of their games won and a strong attacking record of two goals per game. While their last fixture ended in a defeat with three goals conceded, their away form overall is still strong, with over half of their wins coming on the road. They maintain high possession numbers and passing accuracy, indicative of their control-oriented style. Despite the recent loss, their away scoring remains potent, averaging two goals per game on their travels.
This fixture is likely to see Real Madrid attempt to dominate possession and probe Alaves' defence, using their superior ball retention and passing range to break down the hosts. Alaves will likely aim to absorb pressure, perhaps dropping into a compact mid-block, and look for opportunities on the counter or from set pieces, where they've averaged nearly six corners per home game. The visitors' high shot volume and accuracy will be a significant challenge for Alaves' defence, especially considering Real Madrid's recent disciplinary issues and tendency to concede in matches.
Real Madrid's overall statistics and away scoring record strongly suggest they will be the dominant force. While Alaves have improved at home recently, Real Madrid's sheer attacking output and control of games usually prevail. The odds reflect this, favouring the visitors heavily. Both teams have shown capacity to score, making 'yes' for BTTS a reasonable bet, and Real Madrid's offensive power points towards an 'over' outcome.
Key points
- Real Madrid average two goals per game overall and on the road, significantly outscoring Alaves.
- Alaves have won 50% of their games at home this season.
- Real Madrid's last match saw them concede 2 goals and lose, while Alaves secured a clean sheet win in their most recent outing.
Team statistics
Team Stats Comparison
AI Prediction
- AIConfidencePickRecent Win% (20)
nova-lite-v1 (fr)by amazon85%
AWAYBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x250%O/U60%BTTS53%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ar)by google80%
AWAYBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x237%O/U50%BTTS63%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (es)by google70%
AWAYBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x243%O/U63%BTTS57%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ru)by google70%
AWAYBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x237%O/U53%BTTS63%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (vi)by google75%
AWAYBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x240%O/U50%BTTS50%
gemini-2.5-flash-lite (en)by google75%
AWAYBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x247%O/U57%BTTS60%
llama-3.1-8b-instruct (it)by meta-llama80%
AWAYBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x247%O/U60%BTTS53%
llama-3.1-8b-instruct (nl)by meta-llama85%
AWAYBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x243%O/U47%BTTS57%
llama-3.3-70b-instruct (pt)by meta-llama70%
AWAYBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x243%O/U67%BTTS57%
phi-4-multimodal-instruct (id)by microsoft85%
AWAYBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x237%O/U43%BTTS47%
mistral-nemo (de)by mistralai72%
AWAYBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x247%O/U67%BTTS67%
gpt-oss-120b:exacto (tr)by openai84%
AWAYBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x230%O/U53%BTTS57%
qwen-turbo (th)by qwen78%
AWAYBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x240%O/U50%BTTS47%
grok-4.1-fast (ja)by x-ai85%
AWAYBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x243%O/U53%BTTS63%
grok-4.1-fast (ko)by x-ai85%
AWAYBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x250%O/U53%BTTS70%
Head-to-head
Team recent
Alaves Team recent
| Match date | H/A | VS | Score | Results | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | Cor 9.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/6/2025 | HOME | Alaves | 1 - 0 | - | |||
| 11/29/2025 | AWAY | Alaves | 1 - 3 | - | |||
| 11/22/2025 | HOME | Alaves | 0 - 1 | - | |||
| 11/8/2025 | AWAY | Alaves | 0 - 1 | - | |||
| 11/2/2025 | HOME | Alaves | 2 - 1 | - | |||
| 10/26/2025 | AWAY | Alaves | 0 - 1 | - | |||
| 10/20/2025 | HOME | Alaves | 0 - 0 | - | |||
| 10/5/2025 | HOME | Alaves | 3 - 1 | - | |||
| 9/27/2025 | AWAY | Alaves | 0 - 1 | - | |||
| 9/24/2025 | AWAY | Alaves | 1 - 1 | - |
Real Madrid Team recent
| Match date | H/A | VS | Score | Results | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | Cor 9.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/7/2025 | HOME | Real Madrid | 0 - 2 | - | |||
| 12/3/2025 | AWAY | Real Madrid | 3 - 0 | - | |||
| 11/30/2025 | AWAY | Real Madrid | 1 - 1 | - | |||
| 11/23/2025 | AWAY | Real Madrid | 2 - 2 | - | |||
| 11/9/2025 | AWAY | Real Madrid | 0 - 0 | - | |||
| 11/1/2025 | HOME | Real Madrid | 4 - 0 | - | |||
| 10/26/2025 | HOME | Real Madrid | 2 - 1 | - | |||
| 10/19/2025 | AWAY | Real Madrid | 1 - 0 | - | |||
| 10/4/2025 | HOME | Real Madrid | 3 - 1 | - | |||
| 9/27/2025 | AWAY | Real Madrid | 2 - 5 | - |
Odds
Injuries / suspensions
Alaves Injuries / suspensions
Real Madrid Injuries / suspensions
