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Netherlands Eredivisie

NAC Breda vs Utrecht AI Prediction & AI Prediction | Eredivisie

NAC Breda logo
NAC Breda
Utrecht logo
Utrecht
Match Events
D. Odoi
4'
R. Paula
sports_soccer
20'
26'
sports_soccer
D. de Wit
C. Leemans
36'
38'
D. de Wit
76'
N. Vesterlund

Preview

NAC Breda vs Utrecht: Home Struggles Meet Away Woes in Eredivisie Clash

NAC Breda hosts Utrecht in a fixture that pits the home side's significant struggles at home against Utrecht's equally concerning away form. Both teams have shown defensive frailties, suggesting this Eredivisie encounter could be more open than recent scoring patterns might suggest.

NAC Breda have endured a difficult season overall, reflected in a high loss rate and a meagre scoring record. Their home form is particularly concerning, with an even split between wins and losses, and a defence that concedes as many as it scores on average. Despite a recent uptick in shot volume and corner kicks in their last three games, their most recent home outing saw them fail to score and concede once, highlighting persistent issues.

Utrecht present a mixed bag, with a decent overall win percentage offset by a worrying away record that has seen them lose more than half of their road fixtures. Their defence has been leaky on their travels, conceding nearly two goals per game on average. While their recent away form shows an inability to secure wins, they have managed to draw their last two away matches and, in their most recent outing, managed to score twice, offering a glimmer of attacking promise.

This match could be defined by a battle of attrition, with both sides showing defensive vulnerabilities. NAC Breda's tendency to concede at home, coupled with Utrecht's struggles on the road, suggests neither team will be comfortable. Utrecht's more recent attacking output, particularly in their last away match, might see them attempt to push the issue, potentially exploiting NAC's defensive gaps. However, NAC's recent home draw and increased shot volume indicate they might aim for a more patient buildup, looking to exploit any lapses in Utrecht's away defence.

The data paints a picture of two evenly matched teams struggling for consistent form, particularly in their respective home and away scenarios. NAC Breda's home record is dismal, while Utrecht's away form is equally poor. The odds suggest a very tight contest, with no clear favourite, which aligns with the statistical analysis. Given both teams' defensive frailties and Utrecht's recent attacking signs, a match with goals at both ends feels probable, leaning towards an 'over 2.5' outcome.

Key points

  • NAC Breda have lost 60% of their overall games this season, including 42.9% at home.
  • Utrecht have secured only one win in their last seven away matches, losing four.
  • Both teams have shown a tendency to concede goals, with Utrecht's away defence particularly porous (1.9 op_score).

Team statistics

Netherlands Eredivisie
Filter by Period

Team Stats Comparison

Home Team Matches
Away Team Matches
NAC Breda
VS
Utrecht
15
Matches played
15
3 - 3 - 9
Results
6 - 4 - 5
20%
Win %
40%
1
Goals scored
1.7
1.6
Goals conceded
1.3
4.1
Shots on target
5.3
6
Shots off target
5.5
3.5
Blocked shots
4.2
48.5
Ball possession
48.4
78.1
Pass accuracy
79
11.7
Fouls
10.6
3.5
Goalkeeper saves
3.3
1.8
Yellow cards
1.2
0.3
Red cards
0
League averages

AI Prediction

  • AI
    Confidence
    Pick
    Recent Win% (20)
  • amazon/nova-lite-v1
    nova-lite-v1 (fr)
    by amazon
    70%
    Utrecht AWAY
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    57%
    O/U
    53%
    BTTS
    53%
  • google/gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001
    gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ar)
    by google
    65%
    X DRAW
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    47%
    O/U
    50%
    BTTS
    57%
  • google/gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001
    gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (es)
    by google
    68%
    X DRAW
    BTTS NO
    2.5 UNDER
    1x2
    53%
    O/U
    60%
    BTTS
    50%
  • google/gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001
    gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ru)
    by google
    65%
    NAC Breda HOME
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    50%
    O/U
    50%
    BTTS
    53%
  • google/gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001
    gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (vi)
    by google
    70%
    Utrecht AWAY
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    57%
    O/U
    47%
    BTTS
    43%
  • google/gemini-2.5-flash-lite
    gemini-2.5-flash-lite (en)
    by google
    65%
    X DRAW
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    57%
    O/U
    57%
    BTTS
    57%
  • meta-llama/llama-3.1-8b-instruct
    llama-3.1-8b-instruct (it)
    by meta-llama
    70%
    X DRAW
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    60%
    O/U
    50%
    BTTS
    37%
  • meta-llama/llama-3.1-8b-instruct
    llama-3.1-8b-instruct (nl)
    by meta-llama
    75%
    Utrecht AWAY
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    57%
    O/U
    50%
    BTTS
    50%
  • meta-llama/llama-3.3-70b-instruct
    llama-3.3-70b-instruct (pt)
    by meta-llama
    65%
    Utrecht AWAY
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    53%
    O/U
    47%
    BTTS
    37%
  • microsoft/phi-4-multimodal-instruct
    phi-4-multimodal-instruct (id)
    by microsoft
    85%
    Utrecht AWAY
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    50%
    O/U
    37%
    BTTS
    33%
  • mistralai/mistral-nemo
    mistral-nemo (de)
    by mistralai
    85%
    NAC Breda HOME
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    63%
    O/U
    63%
    BTTS
    50%
  • openai/gpt-oss-120b:exacto
    gpt-oss-120b:exacto (tr)
    by openai
    71%
    Utrecht AWAY
    BTTS NO
    2.5 UNDER
    1x2
    43%
    O/U
    50%
    BTTS
    53%
  • qwen/qwen-turbo
    qwen-turbo (th)
    by qwen
    75%
    Utrecht AWAY
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    53%
    O/U
    43%
    BTTS
    33%
  • x-ai/grok-4.1-fast
    grok-4.1-fast (ja)
    by x-ai
    68%
    Utrecht AWAY
    BTTS YES
    2.5 UNDER
    1x2
    53%
    O/U
    63%
    BTTS
    60%
  • x-ai/grok-4.1-fast
    grok-4.1-fast (ko)
    by x-ai
    72%
    Utrecht AWAY
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    63%
    O/U
    47%
    BTTS
    57%

Head-to-head

Eredivisie
Match dateTeamScoreTeamO/U 2.5BTTS
3/1/2025
NAC Breda
L 0 - 1 W
Utrecht
AWAY
UU
8/24/2024HOME
NAC Breda
L 1 - 2 W
Utrecht
OO

Team recent

NAC Breda Team recent

NAC Breda logo
NAC Breda
Home Team Matches
Match dateH/AVSScoreResultsO/U 2.5BTTSCor 9.5
12/7/2025
AWAY
NAC Breda0 - 1LUN-
11/29/2025
AWAY
NAC Breda0 - 1LUN-
11/22/2025
HOME
NAC Breda0 - 1LUN-
11/8/2025
AWAY
NAC Breda1 - 2LOY-
11/1/2025
HOME
NAC Breda1 - 0WUN-
10/24/2025
AWAY
NAC Breda3 - 3DOY-
10/18/2025
HOME
NAC Breda2 - 2DOY-
10/3/2025
HOME
NAC Breda1 - 2LOY-
9/27/2025
AWAY
NAC Breda1 - 2LOY-
9/20/2025
HOME
NAC Breda2 - 1WOY-

Utrecht Team recent

Utrecht logo
Utrecht
Away Team Matches
Match dateH/AVSScoreResultsO/U 2.5BTTSCor 9.5
12/7/2025
HOME
Utrecht1 - 1DUY-
11/30/2025
AWAY
Utrecht2 - 2DOY-
11/23/2025
AWAY
Utrecht1 - 1DUY-
11/9/2025
HOME
Utrecht2 - 1WOY-
11/2/2025
HOME
Utrecht1 - 0WUN-
10/26/2025
AWAY
Utrecht1 - 4LOY-
10/18/2025
HOME
Utrecht3 - 1WOY-
10/5/2025
AWAY
Utrecht2 - 3LOY-
9/28/2025
HOME
Utrecht2 - 2DOY-
9/20/2025
AWAY
Utrecht0 - 1LUN-
O
Over
U
Under
Y
Yes
N
No

Odds

1x2
NAC Breda
HOME
2.5
DRAW
3.4
Utrecht
AWAY
2.8
2.5 O/U
OVER
1.9
UNDER
1.9
BTTS
YES
1.7
NO
2.05
Lineups
NAC Breda

NAC Breda

(4-3-3)

7.27
Daniel Bielica
6.76
Boy Kemper
6.84
Rio Hillen
6.3
Denis Odoi
6.77
Cherrion Valerius
6.81
Clint Leemans
6.44
Kamal Sowah
6.87
Maximilien Balard
6.77
Raul Paula
6.99
Lewis Holtby
6.79
Juho Talvitie
6.73
Dani de Wit
7
Yoann Cathline
7.68
Victor Jensen
6.82
Miguel Rodríguez
7.18
Gjivai Zechiël
6.96
Alonzo Engwanda
7.41
Souffian El Karouani
6.6
Nick Viergever
7.1
Mike van der Hoorn
6.25
Niklas Vesterlund
7.03
Vasilis Barkas
Utrecht

Utrecht

(4-2-3-1)

Average Player Rating

Injuries / suspensions

NAC Breda Injuries / suspensions

NAC Breda logo
NAC Breda
NameReasonTypeG/A
J. CandelariaInjuryMissing Fixture0 / 0
L. GreimlInjuryMissing Fixture1 / 0
F. JensenInjuryMissing Fixture0 / 0
T. KongoloHealth problemsQuestionable0 / 0
M. SoumanoHealth problemsQuestionable0 / 0

Utrecht Injuries / suspensions

Utrecht logo
Utrecht
NameReasonTypeG/A
D. MinInjuryMissing Fixture3 / 0
D. MurkinInactiveMissing Fixture2 / 3
D. van den BergInjuryMissing Fixture1 / 0
M. DiddenInjuryQuestionable1 / 0

League table

#TeamPlayedWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1PSV Eindhoven16141150203043WWWWW
2Feyenoord15111341182334WWLLW
3NEC Nijmegen1684441271428DWWWW
4Ajax157532820826WWLLD
5Groningen168262421326WWLDL
6AZ Alkmaar157442824425DLLLW
7Utrecht156452620622DDDWW
8Twente155642320321DWDDD
9Sparta Rotterdam156271728-1120WLDLL
10PEC Zwolle165472036-1619WLWDW
11GO Ahead Eagles154652526-118DDLWL
12Fortuna Sittard165382126-518LLDDW
13Heerenveen154562326-317LLWLD
14Excelsior155191426-1216LWWLD
15FC Volendam163581930-1114LLLDW
16Heracles1642102641-1514LDDWW
17NAC Breda153391524-912LLLLW
18Telstar162681927-812DDLDD