Werder Bremen vs VfB Stuttgart AI Prediction & AI Prediction | Bundesliga

Werder Bremen vs VfB Stuttgart: Hosts Seek Home Advantage Amidst Away Struggles

Werder Bremen host VfB Stuttgart in a Bundesliga clash where the home side's strong home form clashes with Stuttgart's inconsistent away record. Bremen have shown resilience at home recently, while Stuttgart have struggled to replicate their overall success on the road.

Werder Bremen present a curious Jekyll and Hyde performance profile. Whilst their overall season record is middling, their home form is a different story, boasting a respectable 50% win rate and a positive goal difference at home, scoring 1.3 and conceding 1.3 per game. Recent home form has been even more encouraging, with two wins and a draw in their last three home outings, seeing them score 1.3 and concede a miserly 0.7. They've also been creating more chances at home recently, evidenced by a higher shot volume and corner count. However, their last outing was a disappointing 2-3 loss on the road, highlighting their vulnerability away from home.

VfB Stuttgart’s season has been largely positive, marked by a strong overall win percentage. However, their away form tells a different tale. While they average a respectable 1.7 goals scored away, their defence has been porous, conceding 2.0 goals per game on the road, leading to a significant 57% loss rate. Despite their overall possession dominance and higher passing accuracy, recent away form has been particularly concerning, with no wins in their last three away matches, conceding 2.0 goals on average. Their last match was a heavy 0-5 defeat, which will undoubtedly be a concern.

This fixture pits Bremen's improved home resilience against Stuttgart's possession-based game and their struggles to shore up the defence away from home. We can expect Bremen to try and leverage their home advantage, potentially employing a more direct approach to exploit Stuttgart’s away defensive frailties. Stuttgart, meanwhile, will likely aim to dominate possession and probe for openings, but their recent defensive lapses on the road suggest they could be susceptible to quick transitions or sustained pressure from the hosts, especially with Bremen’s recent increase in home shots and corners.

The odds favour Stuttgart slightly, but Bremen's formidable home form, especially their recent upturn, against Stuttgart's very poor away record makes the home win an attractive proposition. Bremen have shown they can be potent at home, and Stuttgart's defensive issues on the road are a significant concern, particularly after their last heavy defeat. Both teams have shown a propensity to concede, pointing towards goals at both ends and an over 2.5 outcome.

Key points

• Werder Bremen have won 50% of their home games this season, conceding only 1.3 goals per game at home.
• VfB Stuttgart have lost 57% of their away games this season, conceding 2.0 goals per game on the road.
• Both teams have a strong BTTS record this season, with odds suggesting a high likelihood of both scoring.