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Germany Bundesliga

Bayern München vs FSV Mainz 05 AI Prediction & AI Prediction | Bundesliga

Bayern München logo
Bayern München
FSV Mainz 05 logo
FSV Mainz 05
Match Events
L. Karl
sports_soccer
29'
45'
sports_soccer
K. Potulski
50'
D. da Costa
67'
sports_soccer
Lee Jae-Sung
K. Laimer
77'
A. Davies
83'
85'
K. Potulski
H. Kane
sports_soccer
87'

Preview

Bundesliga: Unstoppable Bayern München Host Struggling Mainz 05

Bayern München's relentless march continues as they prepare to host a Mainz 05 side in dire straits. The Bavarians have been utterly dominant, while Mainz are struggling for form and points, setting the stage for a potentially one-sided affair.

Bayern München are in imperious form, showcasing a level of dominance that is almost unparalleled. Their season-long statistics reveal a near-perfect record, averaging a staggering 3.8 goals per game while conceding less than one. This trend has only intensified recently, with three consecutive wins yielding an average of 4.7 goals. At home, they've been flawless, winning every match and scoring over four goals on average, suggesting they will look to set a punishing pace from the outset.

FSV Mainz 05 are enduring a torrid season, languishing near the bottom of the table with a mere single victory from 13 games. Their offensive output is meagre, averaging under a goal per game, and their defence has been porous, conceding nearly two goals on average. Recent form has been dire, with a winless streak stretching across their last three outings, often failing to find the net. Away from home, their record is even worse, with a high number of losses and a defence that has conceded over two goals per match.

This fixture pits Bayern's suffocating high press and rapid transitional play against Mainz's fragile defensive structure. The Bavarians will likely aim to dominate possession, utilizing their superior passing accuracy to probe for openings and exploit space. Mainz, who have struggled to maintain possession and often find themselves on the back foot, will likely adopt a deep defensive block. However, their recent trend of conceding multiple goals suggests they may find it difficult to contain Bayern's potent attack, especially with Bayern's tendency to create chances from wide areas and through aggressive midfield pressing.

The data paints a stark picture: Bayern are dominant, scoring for fun and winning consistently, while Mainz are in a deep slump with a poor offensive and defensive record. The odds heavily favour Bayern, reflecting their overwhelming statistical superiority. Given Bayern's attacking prowess and Mainz's defensive frailties, an 'over' 2.5 goals seems highly probable, and with Mainz's struggles to score, 'BTTS no' is a strong consideration.

Key points

  • Bayern München boast a 92.3% win rate this season, scoring an average of 3.8 goals per game.
  • FSV Mainz 05 have only won 7.7% of their league matches and concede an average of 1.8 goals.
  • Bayern's home record is a perfect 7 wins from 7 games, with an average of 4.1 goals scored.

Team statistics

Germany Bundesliga
Filter by Period

Team Stats Comparison

Home Team Matches
Away Team Matches
Bayern München
VS
FSV Mainz 05
13
Matches played
13
12 - 1 - 0
Results
1 - 3 - 9
92.3%
Win %
7.7%
3.8
Goals scored
0.8
0.7
Goals conceded
1.8
8.2
Shots on target
2.6
5.7
Shots off target
4.6
5.2
Blocked shots
3.8
66.2
Ball possession
47.6
89.5
Pass accuracy
74.9
9.9
Fouls
13.1
1.2
Goalkeeper saves
3.4
2.4
Yellow cards
2.5
0
Red cards
0.4
League averages

AI Prediction

  • AI
    Confidence
    Pick
    Recent Win% (20)
  • amazon/nova-lite-v1
    nova-lite-v1 (fr)
    by amazon
    85%
    Bayern München HOME
    BTTS NO
    2.5 UNDER
    1x2
    47%
    O/U
    60%
    BTTS
    53%
  • google/gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001
    gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ar)
    by google
    88%
    Bayern München HOME
    BTTS NO
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    43%
    O/U
    50%
    BTTS
    63%
  • google/gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001
    gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (es)
    by google
    88%
    Bayern München HOME
    BTTS NO
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    43%
    O/U
    67%
    BTTS
    53%
  • google/gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001
    gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ru)
    by google
    90%
    Bayern München HOME
    BTTS NO
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    43%
    O/U
    53%
    BTTS
    63%
  • google/gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001
    gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (vi)
    by google
    88%
    Bayern München HOME
    BTTS NO
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    43%
    O/U
    50%
    BTTS
    50%
  • google/gemini-2.5-flash-lite
    gemini-2.5-flash-lite (en)
    by google
    90%
    Bayern München HOME
    BTTS NO
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    47%
    O/U
    53%
    BTTS
    57%
  • meta-llama/llama-3.1-8b-instruct
    llama-3.1-8b-instruct (it)
    by meta-llama
    85%
    Bayern München HOME
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    47%
    O/U
    57%
    BTTS
    47%
  • meta-llama/llama-3.1-8b-instruct
    llama-3.1-8b-instruct (nl)
    by meta-llama
    82%
    Bayern München HOME
    BTTS NO
    2.5 UNDER
    1x2
    53%
    O/U
    50%
    BTTS
    53%
  • meta-llama/llama-3.3-70b-instruct
    llama-3.3-70b-instruct (pt)
    by meta-llama
    85%
    Bayern München HOME
    BTTS NO
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    43%
    O/U
    60%
    BTTS
    53%
  • microsoft/phi-4-multimodal-instruct
    phi-4-multimodal-instruct (id)
    by microsoft
    91%
    Bayern München HOME
    BTTS NO
    2.5 UNDER
    1x2
    43%
    O/U
    47%
    BTTS
    43%
  • mistralai/mistral-nemo
    mistral-nemo (de)
    by mistralai
    90%
    Bayern München HOME
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    53%
    O/U
    63%
    BTTS
    60%
  • openai/gpt-oss-120b:exacto
    gpt-oss-120b:exacto (tr)
    by openai
    78%
    Bayern München HOME
    BTTS NO
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    37%
    O/U
    57%
    BTTS
    60%
  • qwen/qwen-turbo
    qwen-turbo (th)
    by qwen
    90%
    Bayern München HOME
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    47%
    O/U
    47%
    BTTS
    40%
  • x-ai/grok-4.1-fast
    grok-4.1-fast (ja)
    by x-ai
    90%
    Bayern München HOME
    BTTS NO
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    43%
    O/U
    53%
    BTTS
    60%
  • x-ai/grok-4.1-fast
    grok-4.1-fast (ko)
    by x-ai
    92%
    Bayern München HOME
    BTTS NO
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    53%
    O/U
    53%
    BTTS
    70%

Head-to-head

Bundesliga
Match dateTeamScoreTeamO/U 2.5BTTS
4/26/2025HOME
Bayern München
W 3 - 0 L
FSV Mainz 05
OU
12/14/2024
Bayern München
L 1 - 2 W
FSV Mainz 05
AWAY
OO
10/30/2024
Bayern München
W 4 - 0 L
FSV Mainz 05
AWAY
OU
3/9/2024HOME
Bayern München
W 8 - 1 L
FSV Mainz 05
OO
10/21/2023
Bayern München
W 3 - 1 L
FSV Mainz 05
AWAY
OO

Team recent

Bayern München Team recent

Bayern München logo
Bayern München
Home Team Matches
Match dateH/AVSScoreResultsO/U 2.5BTTSCor 9.5
12/6/2025
AWAY
Bayern München5 - 0WON-
11/29/2025
HOME
Bayern München3 - 1WOY-
11/22/2025
HOME
Bayern München6 - 2WOY-
11/8/2025
AWAY
Bayern München2 - 2DOY-
11/1/2025
HOME
Bayern München3 - 0WON-
10/25/2025
AWAY
Bayern München3 - 0WON-
10/18/2025
HOME
Bayern München2 - 1WOY-
10/4/2025
AWAY
Bayern München3 - 0WON-
9/26/2025
HOME
Bayern München4 - 0WON-
9/20/2025
AWAY
Bayern München4 - 1WOY-

FSV Mainz 05 Team recent

FSV Mainz 05 logo
FSV Mainz 05
Away Team Matches
Match dateH/AVSScoreResultsO/U 2.5BTTSCor 9.5
12/5/2025
HOME
FSV Mainz 050 - 1LUN-
11/30/2025
AWAY
FSV Mainz 050 - 4LON-
11/21/2025
HOME
FSV Mainz 051 - 1DUY-
11/9/2025
AWAY
FSV Mainz 050 - 1LUN-
11/1/2025
HOME
FSV Mainz 051 - 1DUY-
10/26/2025
AWAY
FSV Mainz 051 - 2LOY-
10/18/2025
HOME
FSV Mainz 053 - 4LOY-
10/5/2025
AWAY
FSV Mainz 050 - 4LON-
9/27/2025
HOME
FSV Mainz 050 - 2LUN-
9/20/2025
AWAY
FSV Mainz 054 - 1WOY-
O
Over
U
Under
Y
Yes
N
No

Odds

1x2
Bayern München
HOME
1.09
DRAW
11
FSV Mainz 05
AWAY
21
2.5 O/U
OVER
1.2
UNDER
4.5
BTTS
YES
1.95
NO
1.8
Lineups
Bayern München

Bayern München

(4-2-3-1)

6.8
Manuel Neuer
6.62
Tom Bischof
6.75
Hiroki Itō
7.51
Min-jae Kim
6.89
Josip Stanišić
7.05
Leon Goretzka
7.72
Joshua Kimmich
7
Serge Gnabry
7.01
Lennart Karl
7.72
Michael Olise
8.13
Harry Kane
6.5
Benedict Hollerbach
6.53
Jae-sung Lee
7.22
Kaishu Sano
6.4
Lennard Maloney
6.43
William Bøving
6.68
Nikolas Veratschnig
6.3
Kacper Potulski
6.51
Stefan Bell
6.66
Danny da Costa
6.7
Sota Kawasaki
8.3
Daniel Batz
FSV Mainz 05

FSV Mainz 05

(5-4-1)

Average Player Rating

Injuries / suspensions

Bayern München Injuries / suspensions

Bayern München logo
Bayern München
NameReasonTypeG/A
S. BoeyIllnessQuestionable0 / 0
L. DiazYellow CardsMissing Fixture7 / 6
J. MusialaBroken calfboneMissing Fixture0 / 0
A. DaviesKnee InjuryQuestionable0 / 0

FSV Mainz 05 Injuries / suspensions

FSV Mainz 05 logo
FSV Mainz 05
NameReasonTypeG/A
A. CaciThigh InjuryMissing Fixture0 / 0
M. DalKnee InjuryMissing Fixture0 / 0
D. KohrRed CardMissing Fixture1 / 0
P. MweneInactiveMissing Fixture0 / 0
P. NebelRed CardMissing Fixture1 / 0
R. ZentnerGroin InjuryMissing Fixture0 / 0
N. AmiriInactiveQuestionable3 / 1
S. WidmerCalf InjuryQuestionable1 / 0

League table

#TeamPlayedWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Bayern München1312104994037WWWDW
2RB Leipzig1492329161329LWDWL
3Borussia Dortmund1384123111228WWDDW
4Bayer Leverkusen1482430191126WLLWW
51899 Hoffenheim148242920926WLWDW
6Eintracht Frankfurt147342929024WLDWW
7VfB Stuttgart137152122-122LLDWL
8Union Berlin145361923-418WLLWD
91. FC Köln144462223-116LDDLL
10SC Freiburg134452022-216LWLWD
11Borussia Mönchengladbach144461822-416LWDWW
12Werder Bremen134451824-616LDLWD
13VfL Wolfsburg144372024-415WWDLL
14Hamburger SV144371524-915LWWLD
15FC Augsburg144191728-1113LWLWL
16FC St. Pauli143291326-1311WDLLL
171. FC Heidenheim143291330-1711LWWLL
18FSV Mainz 05131391124-136LLDLD